负责天基气候地球工程的研究

IF 5.2 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Rob Bellamy
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引用次数: 0

摘要

将短波太阳辐射反射到远离地球的地方可以帮助降低全球变暖超过1.5°C的风险。地球上关于太阳辐射调节或地球工程的建议一直是大多数研究的焦点,但由于在地球系统内部故意进行大规模干预,因此面临更大的风险和不确定性。基于空间的地球工程方法通过改变地球大气层外的太阳常数,提出了相对更安全、更可预测的可能性。为了确定这些方法对气候政策的可能贡献——以及对外层空间其他共同利益的期望——显然需要负责任地推进研究。这一点的关键在于考虑社会价值和利益,以评估采取哪些方法(如果有的话),并制定适当的治理安排。在这篇文章中,我回顾了迄今为止我们从非常有限的天基地球工程社会评估中了解到的情况,确定了围绕风险、自然性、治理、延迟、可行性、成本、收益和参与等主题的关注,并列出了未来负责任研究的一系列优先事项。然后,我研究了这些评估对天基地球工程治理的影响,考虑到全球研究网络、预防性法规、高层原则、多边进程和全球参与的作用。最后,在提出一个扩大和开放框架效应的研究议程之前,我反思了框架效应在基于空间的地球工程的社会参与中的重要性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Responsible research for space-based climate geoengineering
Reflecting shortwave solar radiation away from the Earth could help to reduce the risks of overshooting 1.5°C of global warming. Terrestrial proposals for solar radiation modification, or geoengineering, have been the focus of most research, but suffer from the greater risks and uncertainties that arise from deliberate large-scale intervention inside Earth’s systems. Space-based geoengineering methods suggest relatively safer and more predictable possibilities by altering the solar constant outside of the Earth’s atmosphere. To determine the possible contributions of these methods to climate policy – and to other co-beneficial aspirations in outer space – there is a clear need to responsibly advance research. The key to this lies with accounting for societal values and interests in evaluating which methods to take forward (if any), and in developing appropriate governance arrangements. In this article I review what we know from the very limited societal evaluations of space-based geoengineering so far, identifying thematic concerns around risks, naturalness, governance, delay, feasibility, cost, benefits, and participation, and set out a range of future priorities for responsible research. I then examine the implications of these evaluations for space-based geoengineering governance, considering the roles of global research networks, precautionary regulations, high level principles, multilateral processes, and global engagement. I conclude by reflecting on the importance of framing effects in societal engagements with space-based geoengineering, before proposing a research agenda to broaden out and open them up.
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来源期刊
Environmental Science & Policy
Environmental Science & Policy 环境科学-环境科学
CiteScore
10.90
自引率
8.30%
发文量
332
审稿时长
68 days
期刊介绍: Environmental Science & Policy promotes communication among government, business and industry, academia, and non-governmental organisations who are instrumental in the solution of environmental problems. It also seeks to advance interdisciplinary research of policy relevance on environmental issues such as climate change, biodiversity, environmental pollution and wastes, renewable and non-renewable natural resources, sustainability, and the interactions among these issues. The journal emphasises the linkages between these environmental issues and social and economic issues such as production, transport, consumption, growth, demographic changes, well-being, and health. However, the subject coverage will not be restricted to these issues and the introduction of new dimensions will be encouraged.
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