[Prognostic Significance of Monocyte Count in Patients with Non-Severe Aplastic Anemia].

Objective: To investigate the prognostic value of peripheral blood absolute monocyte count(AMC) in non-severe aplastic anaemia(NSAA) patients.

Methods: 178 patients with NSAA who attended the Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University from April 2008 to September 2020 were retrospectively analyzed, and the optimal cut-off value of peripheral blood AMC was determined by the receiver operating characteristic curve of the subjects, and they were divided into low AMC group (48 patients) and normal AMC group (130 patients), and the differences in clinical characteristics between the two groups were compared. Overall survival(OS) and progression-free survival(PFS) were analyzed by Kaplan-Meier. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis were used to determine the independent prognostic value of AMC.

Results: Among 178 NSAA patients, 105(59.0%) were male and 73(41.0%) were female, with a median age of 31(18-87) years old, a median follow-up time of 58 months (range: 6 months-175 months), and a median AMC of 0.15×10⁹/L ［range: (0.01-0.59)×10⁹/L)］. The proportion of granulocytes (27.5% vs 36.0%, P < 0.05), and the proportion of mature monocytes (1% vs 2%, P < 0.05) in the low AMC group were lower than that in the normal AMC group; the proportion of mature lymphocytes in the low AMC group was higher than that in the normal AMC group (54% vs 50%, P < 0.05). However, there was no significantly different in the proportion of erythropoietic cells and stages of the erythropoietic cells between the two groups ( P >0.05). CR (27.7% vs 10.4%) and ORR (75.4% vs 56.3%) in the normal AMC group were higher than that in the low AMC group. Compared with patients in the low AMC group, AA patients in the normal AMC had better 5-year OS (98.5% vs 86.9%, P < 0.01), and the 5-year PFS (86.0% vs 58.9%, P < 0.01). Also, the 10-year survival rate of patients in the normal AMC group was higher than that in the low AMC group (98.5% vs 60.5%,P < 0.01). Univariate analysis showed that age, reticulocyte count, AMC<0.1×10⁹/L and the proportion of bone marrow mature monocytes were related with patients survival. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that monocyte count reduction was not an independent poor prognostic factor in NSAA patients （HR =4.474，95%CI ：0.508-44.390； P =0.172）.

Conclusion: Low AMC level at initial diagnosis is not an independent prognostic factor for NSAA patients, but still suggest potential prognostic value of AMC.