具有结构感染群体的疟疾动力学全局渐近稳定性建模

IF 2.9 3区 物理与天体物理 Q2 PHYSICS, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
Kashif Ali, M. A. Abdelkawy, Ali Raza, S. F. Abimbade, Syed T. R. Rizvi, Ibtehal Alazman, Aly R. Seadawy
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在过去几十年中,疟疾已成为对公众健康的严重威胁,特别是在气候有利于蚊子繁殖的热带和亚热带地区。这些昆虫是这种疾病的主要携带者,通过叮咬将其传播给人类。在这里,我们制定了一个数学框架来探索疟疾的传播,并纳入了一个结构化的感染人群。许多动力系统方法被用于研究人类媒介相互作用人群中的疟疾模型。首先,我们证明了模型状态变量随时间的非负解和有界解。然后,我们采用下一代算子的方法得到阈值参数\({\mathcal {R}}_m,\)。我们通过计算雅可比矩阵和Lyapunov函数理论证明了所提出的疟疾模型在\({\mathcal {R}}_m<1\)下是局部稳定和全局渐近稳定的。当基本繁殖数\({\mathcal {R}}_m>1\)时,疟疾模型显示出一个独特的地方性平衡点。因此,所提出的疟疾模型的独特的疟疾地方病稳定点被证明是全球稳定的,只要\({\mathcal {R}}_m>1\)。进行敏感性分析,以捕获引起人群中疟疾传播和控制的最重要参数。此外,还进行了模拟以支持研究的定性结果,并以图形方式展示了结果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Modeling global asymptotic stability of malaria dynamics with structured infectious population

Over the last few decades, malaria has become a serious risk to public health, particularly in tropical and sub-tropical areas where the climate is favorable for mosquito breeding. These insects are the primary carriers of the disease, transmitting it to humans through their bites. Here, we have formulated a mathematical framework that explores malaria transmission, incorporating a structured infectious population. Numerous dynamical system methodologies are instrumentalized in studying the malaria model in human-vector interacting populations. Firstly, we have proved that the model state variables has non-negative and bounded solutions throughout time. Then, we have obtained the threshold parameter \({\mathcal {R}}_m,\) by employing the next generation operator approach. We have proved that the proposed malaria model is stable locally and globally in an asymptotic manner by calculating the Jacobian matrix and Lyapunov function theory if \({\mathcal {R}}_m<1\). The malaria model is shown to have a unique endemic equilibrium point whenever the basic reproductive number \({\mathcal {R}}_m>1\). Consequently, the unique malaria-endemic steady point of the proposed malaria model is proven to be globally stable provided that \({\mathcal {R}}_m>1\). Sensitivity analysis is conducted to capture the most significant parameter causing malaria transmission and controlling in the human population. Furthermore, simulations are performed to support the qualitative results of the study, and the results are graphically presented.

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来源期刊
The European Physical Journal Plus
The European Physical Journal Plus PHYSICS, MULTIDISCIPLINARY-
CiteScore
5.40
自引率
8.80%
发文量
1150
审稿时长
4-8 weeks
期刊介绍: The aims of this peer-reviewed online journal are to distribute and archive all relevant material required to document, assess, validate and reconstruct in detail the body of knowledge in the physical and related sciences. The scope of EPJ Plus encompasses a broad landscape of fields and disciplines in the physical and related sciences - such as covered by the topical EPJ journals and with the explicit addition of geophysics, astrophysics, general relativity and cosmology, mathematical and quantum physics, classical and fluid mechanics, accelerator and medical physics, as well as physics techniques applied to any other topics, including energy, environment and cultural heritage.
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