Shihui Jin,Toshiaki R Asakura,Hiroaki Murayama,Sung-Mok Jung,David Niyukuri,Joseph Nyandwi,Liliane Nkengurutse,Olivier Kamatari,Jue Tao Lim,Akira Endo,Borame L Dickens
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Disentangling temporal trends of clade Ib monkeypox virus transmission in Burundi.
Utilising mpox case data from Burundi between August 2024 and April 2025, we calibrated a mathematical model to quantify the temporal trends of clade Ib monkeypox virus transmission. The model outputs indicated a declining overall transmission trend. Children aged 0-4 and 5-9 years were estimated to be at higher risk of infection compared to older age groups, while sexual contact was inferred to contribute up to 50% of the overall transmission.
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