多产业区域CCUS集群布局优化:排放密集型区域的碳中和路径

Jianqiao Zhang , Liang Zhao , Li Jin , Chen Zhu , Haiou Wang , Lijuan Wang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

快速减缓全球气候变化需要变革性技术创新,以实现深度脱碳。中国已承诺到2030年达到碳排放峰值和到2060年实现碳中和的双重碳目标,强调了这一挑战的紧迫性和规模。虽然碳捕集、利用与封存(CCUS)已成为一种有前景的方法,但其在排放密集型工业集群地区的大规模实施面临着重大的基础设施挑战。具体而言,区域CCUS集群和二氧化碳运输网络的最佳布局尚不清楚,特别是在中国江苏省等高度工业化地区,不同的工业部门和不同的地质构造为CCUS的部署带来了复杂的源汇匹配挑战。在本研究中,我们开发了空间(战略管道和技术集成分析布局)模型,通过整合主要工业源的排放数据和地质构造的储存潜力,从产业集群的角度优化CCUS在排放密集型地区的部署。通过源汇匹配,将模型应用于江苏省高、中、低三种减排目标情景。结果表明:江苏省排放源与地质储存资源之间存在显著的空间异质性。以苏南地区为例,该地区的二氧化碳排放强度较大,占全省总排放量的63%,而其地质储存量仅占全省的0.03%。高、中、低减排目标下区域CCUS集群部署的最优布局分别实现了1.4、1.1和0.9 Gt的CO2总储存量,管网长度分别为4629、2513和1433 km。这些布局具有规模经济效益,单位减排成本在93.84 - 179.31元/吨CO2之间。研究结果确立了通过区域CCUS集群化部署实现显著减排的技术和经济可行性,解决了忽视产业集群热点现象的关键空白。本研究进一步强调了区域间协调、区域地质存储资源管理和综合基础设施规划对实现CCUS集群经济效益的重要性。本研究为政策制定者在排放密集型工业地区制定CCUS集群战略提供了可操作的见解,有助于实现区域碳中和的更广泛目标。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Optimizing regional CCUS clusterization deployment for multi-industrial sectors: A carbon neutrality pathway for emission-intensive region

Optimizing regional CCUS clusterization deployment for multi-industrial sectors: A carbon neutrality pathway for emission-intensive region
Rapid mitigation of global climate change demands transformative technological innovations to achieve deep decarbonization. China has pledged the dual carbon goals of peaking carbon emissions by 2030 and achieving carbon neutrality by 2060, underscoring the urgency and scale of the challenge. While Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Storage (CCUS) has emerged as a promising approach, its large-scale implementation in emission-intensive industrial clustered region faces significant infrastructural challenges. Specifically, the optimal layout of regional CCUS clusterization and CO2 transport networks remains unclear, particularly in highly industrialized regions such as China’s Jiangsu Province, where diverse industrial sectors and varied geological formations create complex source-sink matching challenges for CCUS deployment. In this study, we developed the SPATIAL (Strategic Pipeline And Technical Integration Analysis Layout) model that enables the optimization of CCUS deployment in emission-intensive regions from an industrial cluster perspective by integrating data of emissions from major industrial sources and storage potential from geological formations. The model was applied to Jiangsu Province under high, medium, and low emission reduction target scenarios through source-sink matching. Results show significant spatial heterogeneity between emission sources and geological storage resources in Jiangsu Province. For example, southern Jiangsu, characterized by high-intensity CO2 emission clusters, accounts for 63 % of the province’s total emissions while holding only 0.03 % of the province’s geological storage potential. The optimal layout for regional CCUS clusterization deployment under high, medium, and low emission reduction targets achieve total CO2 storage of 1.4, 1.1, and 0.9 Gt, respectively, supported by pipeline networks of 4629, 2513, and 1433 km. These layouts demonstrate economies of scale, with unit emission reduction costs ranging from 93.84 to 179.31 CNY/t CO2. Our findings establish the technical and economic feasibility of achieving significant emission reductions through regional CCUS clusterization deployment and address a critical gap in ignoring the hot spot phenomenon of industrial cluster. This study further emphasizes the importance of inter-regional coordination, regional geological storage resource management, and integrated infrastructure planning in realizing cost-effective CCUS clusterization implementation. This study provides policymakers with actionable insights for formulating CCUS clusterization strategies in emission-intensive industrial regions, contributing to the broader goal of regional carbon neutrality.
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