提高灾害恢复力的综合成熟度模型:比较分析与框架建议

IF 4.5 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
Ricardo Gacitua
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引用次数: 0

摘要

由于气候变化和城市扩张,自然灾害的频率和规模正在加剧,对防备、响应和恢复系统提出了前所未有的要求。现有的成熟度模型涉及灾害管理的具体方面——例如复原力、应急响应或数据互操作性——但仍然是碎片化的,缺乏综合视角。为了克服这些限制,我们提出了集成成熟度模型(IMM),这是一个统一的六阶段框架,指导组织通过意识、准备、协调、弹性和优化。通过对已建立模型的比较分析,IMM将利益相关者协作、技术集成和政策协调纳入每个阶段。我们通过专家研讨会、智利的多案例研究和48小时火山爆发模拟来验证IMM,测量决策速度、数据共享准确性和协议遵守情况,并使用线性混合效应模型跟踪六个月的成熟度进展。结果显示,在响应时间(高达40%)、资源效率(高达35%)和社区复原力方面,以及加强机构间协作和持续采用方面,统计上都有显著改善。通过将最佳实践综合为一种可扩展、适应性强的工具,国际灾害管理机制为从业者和政策制定者提供了一份全面的路线图,帮助他们在不同情况下加强抗灾能力。通过专家研讨会、多案例研究和智利国家背景下的基于场景的测试,该模型为其实际可行性和类似高风险环境的逐步可转移性提供了早期见解。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
IMM: An Integrated Maturity Model for enhancing disaster resilience: A comparative analysis and framework proposal
Natural disasters are intensifying in frequency and magnitude due to climate change and urban expansion, placing unprecedented demands on preparedness, response and recovery systems. Existing maturity models address specific facets of disaster management – such as resilience, emergency response or data interoperability – but remain fragmented and lack an integrative perspective. To overcome these limitations, we propose the Integrated Maturity Model (IMM), a unified six-stage framework that guides organizations through Awareness, Preparedness, Coordination, Resilience and Optimization. Drawing on a comparative analysis of established models, the IMM incorporates stakeholder collaboration, technology integration and policy alignment into each stage. We validated the IMM via expert workshops, multi-case studies in Chile and a 48-hour volcanic eruption simulation, measuring decision-making speed, data-sharing accuracy and protocol adherence, and tracking maturity progression over six months with linear mixed-effects models. Results demonstrate statistically significant improvements in response time (up to 40%), resource efficiency (up to 35%) and community resilience, as well as enhanced inter-agency collaboration and sustained adoption. By synthesizing best practices into a scalable, adaptable tool, the IMM offers practitioners and policymakers a comprehensive roadmap for strengthening disaster resilience across diverse contexts.
Validated through expert workshops, multi-case studies, and scenario-based testing in Chile’s national context, the model offers early insights into its practical viability and incremental transferability to similar high-risk environments.
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来源期刊
International journal of disaster risk reduction
International journal of disaster risk reduction GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARYMETEOROLOGY-METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
CiteScore
8.70
自引率
18.00%
发文量
688
审稿时长
79 days
期刊介绍: The International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction (IJDRR) is the journal for researchers, policymakers and practitioners across diverse disciplines: earth sciences and their implications; environmental sciences; engineering; urban studies; geography; and the social sciences. IJDRR publishes fundamental and applied research, critical reviews, policy papers and case studies with a particular focus on multi-disciplinary research that aims to reduce the impact of natural, technological, social and intentional disasters. IJDRR stimulates exchange of ideas and knowledge transfer on disaster research, mitigation, adaptation, prevention and risk reduction at all geographical scales: local, national and international. Key topics:- -multifaceted disaster and cascading disasters -the development of disaster risk reduction strategies and techniques -discussion and development of effective warning and educational systems for risk management at all levels -disasters associated with climate change -vulnerability analysis and vulnerability trends -emerging risks -resilience against disasters. The journal particularly encourages papers that approach risk from a multi-disciplinary perspective.
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