调查行人碰撞伤害模式:儿童和非儿童的比较研究

IF 6.2 1区 工程技术 Q1 ERGONOMICS
Zifei Wang , Huizhong Guo , Chengxin Zhang , Zhen Hu , Feng Zhou , Zhaonan Sun , Rini Sherony , Shan Bao
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引用次数: 0

摘要

行人伤害仍然是一个令人关注的公共卫生问题,儿童行人由于其独特的身体和认知特征而特别容易受到伤害。本研究使用Lasso逻辑回归和先进的机器学习技术,特别是Catboost和SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations)值来解释模型,对儿童(≤14岁)和非儿童(>;14岁)行人的伤害严重程度模式进行了综合分析。通过分析碰撞报告抽样系统(CRSS)从2016年到2021年的六年全国碰撞数据,我们确定了影响两个年龄组伤害结果的重要因素。我们的研究结果表明,在不同的年龄组和建模方法中,有几个变量与伤害严重程度一致,包括限速、照明条件、行人年龄、行人影响因素、车辆事前运动、车辆车身类型、交通控制和十字路口。然而,关键的分歧出现了。对于儿童行人,仅通过统计建模方法识别道路表面和行人位置,而驾驶员年龄、吸毒、伴随状态和碰撞年份等因素仅在CatBoost模型中发现。相比之下,非儿童模型确定了一系列更广泛的与驾驶员相关的因素,包括年龄、饮酒和吸毒,这些因素对儿童的影响较小。该研究证明了将机器学习与传统统计方法相结合的价值,可以捕捉复杂的关系,并提高对弱势道路使用者伤害严重程度的理解。这些发现为了解不同年龄组的行人伤害模式提供了有价值的见解,为有针对性的干预措施提供了信息,旨在提高行人安全。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Investigating pedestrian crash injury patterns: A comparative study of children and non-children
Pedestrian injuries remain a public health concern, with child pedestrians being particularly vulnerable due to their unique physical and cognitive characteristics. This study presents a comprehensive analysis comparing injury severity patterns between child (14 years) and non-child (>14 years) pedestrians using Lasso logistic regression and advanced machine learning techniques, specifically Catboost with SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) values to interpret the models. By analyzing six years of national crash data from the Crash Report Sampling System (CRSS) from 2016 to 2021, we identify significant factors influencing injury outcomes for both age groups. Our findings reveal that several variables were consistently associated with injury severity across both age groups and modeling approaches, including speed limit, lighting condition, pedestrian age, pedestrian contributing factor, vehicle pre-event movement, vehicle body type, traffic control, and intersection. However, key differences emerged. For child pedestrians, roadway surface and pedestrian position were identified only through a statistical modeling approach, while factors such as driver age, drug involvement, accompanying status, and year of crash were only found in the CatBoost model. In contrast, non-child models identified a broader set of driver-related factors, including age, drinking, and drug usage, which were less influential for children. The study demonstrates the value of integrating machine learning with traditional statistical methods to capture complex relationships and improve the understanding of injury severity for vulnerable road users. These findings offer valuable insights into pedestrian injury patterns across different age groups, informing targeted interventions aimed at enhancing pedestrian safety.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
11.90
自引率
16.90%
发文量
264
审稿时长
48 days
期刊介绍: Accident Analysis & Prevention provides wide coverage of the general areas relating to accidental injury and damage, including the pre-injury and immediate post-injury phases. Published papers deal with medical, legal, economic, educational, behavioral, theoretical or empirical aspects of transportation accidents, as well as with accidents at other sites. Selected topics within the scope of the Journal may include: studies of human, environmental and vehicular factors influencing the occurrence, type and severity of accidents and injury; the design, implementation and evaluation of countermeasures; biomechanics of impact and human tolerance limits to injury; modelling and statistical analysis of accident data; policy, planning and decision-making in safety.
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