前所未有的英国热浪协调了燃料湿度的驱动因素,造成了极端温带野火的风险。

IF 8.9 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Communications Earth & Environment Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-01 DOI:10.1038/s43247-025-02746-8
Katy Ivison, Kerryn Little, Alice Orpin, Claire M Belcher, Gareth D Clay, Stefan H Doerr, Thomas E L Smith, Roxane Andersen, Laura J Graham, Nicholas Kettridge
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引用次数: 0

摘要

气候变化导致在主要热浪期间出现更多的极端火灾天气。在温带的欧洲,灌木景观占主导地位,在这些事件中,燃料的水分含量决定了所构成的威胁。目前对温带燃料成分水分含量的控制及其对未来极端热浪的反应尚不清楚。我们在3年多的时间里对英国各地的活石南和死石南(Calluna vulgaris)和有机土壤水分含量进行了实地测量,包括在2022年7月热浪期间进行的密集采样活动。在这里,我们表明,活燃料的燃料水分含量与物候变量显著相关,死燃料仅与天气变量相关,而富含有机物的地面燃料与景观变量更相关。然而,在创纪录的2022年热浪期间,不同燃料成分的燃料湿度控制得到了协调,这些控制仅由天气驱动。这导致所有燃料成分在同一时间和地点同步出现超出当前季节性标准的极端干旱。因此,预计未来强烈的夏季热浪将在传统上不易发生火灾的地区形成最严重的起火、蔓延和影响条件,从而产生易受极端野火事件影响的潮湿温带景观。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Unprecedented UK heatwave harmonised drivers of fuel moisture creating extreme temperate wildfire risk.

Unprecedented UK heatwave harmonised drivers of fuel moisture creating extreme temperate wildfire risk.

Unprecedented UK heatwave harmonised drivers of fuel moisture creating extreme temperate wildfire risk.

Unprecedented UK heatwave harmonised drivers of fuel moisture creating extreme temperate wildfire risk.

Climate change is resulting in more extreme fire weather during major heatwaves. Across temperate Europe, shrub landscapes dominate the area burned, with the moisture content of fuels during these events determining the threat posed. Current controls on the moisture content of temperate fuel constituents and their response to future extreme heatwaves are not known. We took field measurements of live and dead heather (Calluna vulgaris) and organic soil moisture content across the UK over 3 years, including an intensive sampling campaign during the July 2022 heatwave. Here, we show that the fuel moisture content of live fuel is associated significantly with phenological variables, dead fuel only with weather variables, whilst organic-rich ground fuels are more associated with landscape variables. However, during the record 2022 heatwave there was a harmonisation in fuel moisture controls across different fuel constituents, with those controls being driven by weather alone. This caused synchronised extreme dryness outside of current seasonal norms across all fuel constituents at the same time and place. Future intense summer heatwaves can therefore be expected to align the most severe conditions for fire ignition, spread and impact in traditionally non-fire prone regions, producing humid temperate landscapes susceptible to extreme wildfire events.

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来源期刊
Communications Earth & Environment
Communications Earth & Environment Earth and Planetary Sciences-General Earth and Planetary Sciences
CiteScore
8.60
自引率
2.50%
发文量
269
审稿时长
26 weeks
期刊介绍: Communications Earth & Environment is an open access journal from Nature Portfolio publishing high-quality research, reviews and commentary in all areas of the Earth, environmental and planetary sciences. Research papers published by the journal represent significant advances that bring new insight to a specialized area in Earth science, planetary science or environmental science. Communications Earth & Environment has a 2-year impact factor of 7.9 (2022 Journal Citation Reports®). Articles published in the journal in 2022 were downloaded 1,412,858 times. Median time from submission to the first editorial decision is 8 days.
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