{"title":"EXPRESS: c反应蛋白联合血小板对脓毒症进展和预后的预测价值:一项回顾性队列研究。","authors":"Tengfei Chen, Maoyu Ding, Yumei Yang, Qinxiang Yang, Wei Guo, Xiaolong Xu, Qingquan Liu","doi":"10.1177/10815589251375026","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>This retrospective cohort study aimed to explore the predictive value of the C-reactive protein (CRP)/platelet count (PLT) ratio for sepsis progression and prognosis. A total of 237 sepsis patients admitted to the ICU between January 2019 and November 2024 were divided into survivor (<i>n</i> = 157) and non-survivor (<i>n</i> = 80) groups based on 28-day outcomes. Intergroup comparison, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, survival analysis, LASSO regression analysis, and Cox regression analysis were employed to evaluate the impact of clinical data, dynamic CRP/PLT ratios (on days 1 and 7), and change degree ((CRP/PLT day 7 - CRP/PLT day 1)/CRP/PLT day 1) on the progression and prognosis of sepsis. The non-survivor group showed significantly higher CRP/PLT ratios on day 1 (0.80 vs 0.39, <i>p</i> < 0.001), day 7 (1.40 vs 0.29, <i>p</i> < 0.001), and change degree (0.44 vs -0.31, <i>p</i> < 0.001) compared to the survivor group. Time-dependent ROC analysis revealed the CRP/PLT ratio on day 7 had the highest prognostic accuracy for short-term mortality (AUC = 0.819). After LASSO selection and multivariable adjustment, CRP/PLT ratio on day 7 > 0.51 (HR = 2.21, 95% CI: 1.17, 4.15) and change degree > -0.04 (HR = 1.89, 95% CI: 1.06, 3.38) remained significant prognostic factors for mortality. These findings suggest the CRP/PLT ratio, particularly on day 7, and the change degree can serve as effective indicators for the early assessment of mortality risk in sepsis patients, aiding clinical prognosis and treatment adjustment.</p>","PeriodicalId":520677,"journal":{"name":"Journal of investigative medicine : the official publication of the American Federation for Clinical Research","volume":" ","pages":"10815589251375026"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0000,"publicationDate":"2025-08-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"The predictive value of C-reactive protein combined with platelets for the progression and prognosis of sepsis: A retrospective cohort study.\",\"authors\":\"Tengfei Chen, Maoyu Ding, Yumei Yang, Qinxiang Yang, Wei Guo, Xiaolong Xu, Qingquan Liu\",\"doi\":\"10.1177/10815589251375026\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><p>This retrospective cohort study aimed to explore the predictive value of the C-reactive protein (CRP)/platelet count (PLT) ratio for sepsis progression and prognosis. A total of 237 sepsis patients admitted to the ICU between January 2019 and November 2024 were divided into survivor (<i>n</i> = 157) and non-survivor (<i>n</i> = 80) groups based on 28-day outcomes. Intergroup comparison, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, survival analysis, LASSO regression analysis, and Cox regression analysis were employed to evaluate the impact of clinical data, dynamic CRP/PLT ratios (on days 1 and 7), and change degree ((CRP/PLT day 7 - CRP/PLT day 1)/CRP/PLT day 1) on the progression and prognosis of sepsis. The non-survivor group showed significantly higher CRP/PLT ratios on day 1 (0.80 vs 0.39, <i>p</i> < 0.001), day 7 (1.40 vs 0.29, <i>p</i> < 0.001), and change degree (0.44 vs -0.31, <i>p</i> < 0.001) compared to the survivor group. Time-dependent ROC analysis revealed the CRP/PLT ratio on day 7 had the highest prognostic accuracy for short-term mortality (AUC = 0.819). After LASSO selection and multivariable adjustment, CRP/PLT ratio on day 7 > 0.51 (HR = 2.21, 95% CI: 1.17, 4.15) and change degree > -0.04 (HR = 1.89, 95% CI: 1.06, 3.38) remained significant prognostic factors for mortality. These findings suggest the CRP/PLT ratio, particularly on day 7, and the change degree can serve as effective indicators for the early assessment of mortality risk in sepsis patients, aiding clinical prognosis and treatment adjustment.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":520677,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of investigative medicine : the official publication of the American Federation for Clinical Research\",\"volume\":\" \",\"pages\":\"10815589251375026\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-08-25\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of investigative medicine : the official publication of the American Federation for Clinical Research\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1177/10815589251375026\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of investigative medicine : the official publication of the American Federation for Clinical Research","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1177/10815589251375026","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
本回顾性队列研究旨在探讨c反应蛋白(CRP)/血小板计数(PLT)比值对脓毒症进展及预后的预测价值。在2019年1月至2024年11月期间,共有237例脓毒症患者入住ICU,根据28天的预后分为幸存者组(n=157)和非幸存者组(n=80)。采用组间比较、ROC曲线分析、生存分析、LASSO回归分析、Cox回归分析评价临床资料、动态CRP/PLT比值(第1、7天)、变化程度[(CRP/PLT第7天- CRP/PLT第1天)/CRP/PLT第1天]对脓毒症进展及预后的影响。非幸存者组在第1天的CRP/PLT比值(0.80 vs. 0.39, P 0.51 (HR=2.21, 95% CI: 1.17, 4.15)和变化程度> -0.04 (HR=1.89, 95% CI: 1.06, 3.38)仍然是死亡率的重要预后因素。以上结果提示,CRP/PLT比值,特别是第7天的CRP/PLT比值及其变化程度可作为早期评估脓毒症患者死亡风险的有效指标,有助于临床预后和治疗调整。
The predictive value of C-reactive protein combined with platelets for the progression and prognosis of sepsis: A retrospective cohort study.
This retrospective cohort study aimed to explore the predictive value of the C-reactive protein (CRP)/platelet count (PLT) ratio for sepsis progression and prognosis. A total of 237 sepsis patients admitted to the ICU between January 2019 and November 2024 were divided into survivor (n = 157) and non-survivor (n = 80) groups based on 28-day outcomes. Intergroup comparison, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, survival analysis, LASSO regression analysis, and Cox regression analysis were employed to evaluate the impact of clinical data, dynamic CRP/PLT ratios (on days 1 and 7), and change degree ((CRP/PLT day 7 - CRP/PLT day 1)/CRP/PLT day 1) on the progression and prognosis of sepsis. The non-survivor group showed significantly higher CRP/PLT ratios on day 1 (0.80 vs 0.39, p < 0.001), day 7 (1.40 vs 0.29, p < 0.001), and change degree (0.44 vs -0.31, p < 0.001) compared to the survivor group. Time-dependent ROC analysis revealed the CRP/PLT ratio on day 7 had the highest prognostic accuracy for short-term mortality (AUC = 0.819). After LASSO selection and multivariable adjustment, CRP/PLT ratio on day 7 > 0.51 (HR = 2.21, 95% CI: 1.17, 4.15) and change degree > -0.04 (HR = 1.89, 95% CI: 1.06, 3.38) remained significant prognostic factors for mortality. These findings suggest the CRP/PLT ratio, particularly on day 7, and the change degree can serve as effective indicators for the early assessment of mortality risk in sepsis patients, aiding clinical prognosis and treatment adjustment.