Yadi Hao, Gen Li, Jiwei Lu, Wanrong Cheng, Quan Yuan, Zhihong Yao
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引用次数: 0
摘要
目的:建立基于知识图谱(KG)的框架,量化分析危险驾驶行为对道路交通安全的影响。方法:采用自顶向下的方法,构建包含7类危险行为因素(C1-C7)的多层KG模型。整合多源事故数据集,绘制危险行为因素、事故类型和事故原因之间的关系图。采用critical (Criteria Importance Through Intercriteria Correlation)方法计算了各种危险行为的安全风险等级。余弦相似度分析用于量化危险行为因素与计算风险指标之间的相关性。此外,基于kg的路径推理用于追踪危险行为与事故之间的因果链。结果:危险驾驶(C5)和驾驶员技术能力(C1)是影响交通事故最主要的两类危险因素,相关系数分别为0.995和0.987。追尾碰撞是C5最可能导致的事故类型,其条件概率为0.5。疲劳和超速被认为是最常见的行为诱因。KG路径分析有效追踪风险传播路径,突出事故成因的关键环节。结论:本研究将知识图的多维关联分析与CRITIC方法的权重优势相结合,通过图结构明确表达“危险行为-事故类型-事故原因”的因果链,全面分析交通事故的行为机制。
Knowledge graph-based safety risk evaluation method for hazardous behaviors of road transport vehicles.
Objective: This study aims to develop a knowledge graph (KG)-based framework to quantify and analyze the impact of hazardous driving behaviors on road transport safety.
Method: A top-down approach was adopted to construct a multilayered KG incorporating seven categories of hazardous behavior factors (C1-C7). Multisource accident datasets were integrated to map the relationships among hazardous behavior factors, accident types, and accident causes. The Criteria Importance Through Intercriteria Correlation (CRITIC) method was applied to calculate the safety risk levels of various hazardous behaviors. Cosine similarity analysis was used to quantify correlations between hazardous behavioral factors and calculated risk metrics. Furthermore, KG-based path reasoning was used to trace causal chains linking hazardous behaviors to accidents.
Results: Dangerous driving (C5) and driver technical competency (C1) emerged as the two most influential risk factor categories, with correlation coefficients of 0.995 and 0.987, respectively. Rear-end collisions were identified as the most probable accident type caused by C5, with a conditional probability of 0.5. Fatigue and speeding were identified as the most common behavioral triggers. KG pathway analysis effectively traced risk propagation paths, highlighting key links in accident causation.
Conclusions: This study integrates the multidimensional correlation analysis of knowledge graphs with the weighting advantages of the CRITIC method, explicitly expressing the causal chain of "hazardous behavior-accident type-accident cause" through graph structures to comprehensively analyze the behavioral mechanisms of traffic accidents.
期刊介绍:
The purpose of Traffic Injury Prevention is to bridge the disciplines of medicine, engineering, public health and traffic safety in order to foster the science of traffic injury prevention. The archival journal focuses on research, interventions and evaluations within the areas of traffic safety, crash causation, injury prevention and treatment.
General topics within the journal''s scope are driver behavior, road infrastructure, emerging crash avoidance technologies, crash and injury epidemiology, alcohol and drugs, impact injury biomechanics, vehicle crashworthiness, occupant restraints, pedestrian safety, evaluation of interventions, economic consequences and emergency and clinical care with specific application to traffic injury prevention. The journal includes full length papers, review articles, case studies, brief technical notes and commentaries.