无症状病例、传播阻断药物、迁移和筛查的疟疾元种群模型。

IF 2.6 4区 工程技术 Q1 Mathematics
S Y Tchoumi, J Banasiak, R Ouifki
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们考虑了一个双斑块疟疾模型,其中个体可以在斑块之间自由移动。我们假设一个地点有更好的资源来对抗这种疾病,比如筛查设施和传播阻断药物(tbd)的可用性,这些药物提供了全面的(尽管在减弱)免疫力和非传染性。此外,在入境点对前往该地点的个人进行筛查,当局可以拒绝受感染的个人入境,也可以允许他们入境,但立即实施TBD。然而,非法进入这个补丁也是可能的。我们对模型进行了定性分析,重点关注地方性均衡的出现和后向分岔的发生。此外,我们综合分析了低迁移率的模型,使用最近改进的正则摄动理论。我们用数值模拟来总结这篇论文,这些模拟特别表明,允许检测到的病例进入并在资源更充足的地点对其进行治疗,而不是将已发现的感染者驱逐出境,让他们冒着非法进入该地点的风险,可以更好地控制疟疾。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A meta-population model of malaria with asymptomatic cases, transmission blocking drugs, migration and screening.

We consider a two-Patch malaria model, where the individuals can freely move between the patches. We assume that one site has better resources to fight the disease, such as screening facilities and the availability of transmission-blocking drugs (TBDs) that offer full, though waning, immunity and non-infectivity. Moreover, individuals moving to this site are screened at the entry points, and the authorities can either refuse entry to infected individuals or allow them in but immediately administer a TBD. However, an illegal entry into this Patch is also possible. We provide a qualitative analysis of the model, focusing on the emergence of endemic equilibria and the occurrence of backward bifurcations. Furthermore, we comprehensively analyse the model with low migration rates using recent refinements of the regular perturbation theory. We conclude the paper with numerical simulations that show, in particular, that malaria can be better controlled by allowing the entry of detected cases and treating them in the better-resourced site rather than deporting the identified infectives and risking them entering the site illegally.

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来源期刊
Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering 工程技术-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
3.90
自引率
7.70%
发文量
586
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering (MBE) is an interdisciplinary Open Access journal promoting cutting-edge research, technology transfer and knowledge translation about complex data and information processing. MBE publishes Research articles (long and original research); Communications (short and novel research); Expository papers; Technology Transfer and Knowledge Translation reports (description of new technologies and products); Announcements and Industrial Progress and News (announcements and even advertisement, including major conferences).
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