气候变化对亚洲人畜共患疾病发生和演变的影响。

IF 2.3 2区 农林科学 Q3 INFECTIOUS DISEASES
Roger S Morris, Masako Wada
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着亚洲气候在全球变暖的影响下发生变化,已知人畜共患病的发病率和空间分布将发生变化,并且由于更多地接触目前仅发生在野生动物中的生物,预计会出现新的人畜共患病。为了评估不同传播方式和生物体维持机制所带来的风险,提出了一种将疾病划分为9种类型的分类系统。所有被认为具有全球重要性的动物疾病和人畜共患病都可以归类为一种表型,或者在少数情况下可以归类为一种以上的流行病学上不同的表型。在每个表型中,提供了关于气候因素影响的现有证据,以说明这些疾病未来可能的演变以及目前可获得的不同疾病证据的程度。概述了可能影响亚洲新型人畜共患病原体出现的因素。可用于分析、预测和评估气候变化影响下疾病发生可能变化的方法范围迅速扩大;介绍了目前可用的工具类型。需要将这些方法纳入亚洲的监测和应对战略,并概述了实现这一目标的方法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Effect of Climate Change on Emergence and Evolution of Zoonotic Diseases in Asia.

As the climate of Asia changes under the influence of global warming, the incidence and spatial distribution of known zoonoses will evolve, and new zoonoses are expected to emerge as a result of greater exposure to organisms which currently occur only in wildlife. In order to evaluate the risks attached to different transmission methods and organism maintenance mechanisms, a classification system is provided which allocates diseases into nine epitypes. All animal diseases and zoonoses recognised as globally important can be categorised into an epitype, or in a few cases more than one epidemiologically distinct epitype. Within each epitype, evidence available on the effects of climatic factors is provided for selected diseases of zoonotic importance to illustrate likely future evolution of these diseases and the extent of currently available evidence for different diseases. Factors which are likely to influence the emergence of novel zoonotic pathogens in Asia are outlined. The range of methods available for analysis, prediction, and evaluation of likely changes in disease occurrence under the influence of climate change has grown rapidly; an introduction is given to the types of tools now available. These methods will need to be integrated into a surveillance and response strategy for Asia, and an approach to achieve this is outlined.

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来源期刊
Zoonoses and Public Health
Zoonoses and Public Health 医学-传染病学
CiteScore
5.30
自引率
4.20%
发文量
115
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: Zoonoses and Public Health brings together veterinary and human health researchers and policy-makers by providing a venue for publishing integrated and global approaches to zoonoses and public health. The Editors will consider papers that focus on timely collaborative and multi-disciplinary research in zoonoses and public health. This journal provides rapid publication of original papers, reviews, and potential discussion papers embracing this collaborative spirit. Papers should advance the scientific knowledge of the sources, transmission, prevention and control of zoonoses and be authored by scientists with expertise in areas such as microbiology, virology, parasitology and epidemiology. Articles that incorporate recent data into new methods, applications, or approaches (e.g. statistical modeling) which enhance public health are strongly encouraged.
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