Molecular investigation on measles cases rise and variants co-circulation in the Lazio region, Italy.

Purpose: In 2023-2024, measles cases progressively increased in Europe. Multiple outbreaks were reported and viral strains with three-nucleotide mutations potentially compromising diagnostic testing were identified. We analyzed the first cases of measles reported in Lazio (Central Italy) from September 2023 to March 2024, combining molecular characterization and phylogenetic analysis with epidemiological investigation to identify transmission chains and evaluate the sensitivity of PCR tests adopted on circulating viral strains.

Methods: We tested samples collected through routine measles and rubella surveillance for IgM, IgG and Real-Time PCR. We sequenced positive samples with higher viral titers using an amplicon-based whole-genome next-generation sequencing (WG-NGS) approach and performed mutational and phylogenetic analysis. Furthermore, we tested the sensitivity of the PCR molecular diagnostic assay adopted in our laboratory to identify the mutated strains.

Results: Of the 39 suspected cases, 28 were confirmed. Endemic cases were 82%; of these, 78% were sporadic at epidemiological investigation. From 21 high-titer samples, we obtained 14 strains belonging to the D8 genotype. Phylogenetic analysis identified four distinct clusters: three associating 50% of sporadic cases, and one confirming the epidemiological investigation. Several mutational patterns were identified, one of which had three nucleotide mutations potentially affecting the diagnostic test. However, our routine diagnostic PCR tests are able to detect mutated strains at different dilutions.

Conclusion: Our results demonstrate that WG-NGS can be used to distinguish transmission chains and identify infection clusters to improve surveillance activity and enable the implementation of more targeted control measures, highlighting the importance of integrated epidemiological and genomic surveillance.