1990年至2021年高体重指数导致的三种女性盆腔癌的全球、地区和国家负担:2021年全球疾病负担研究和2050年预测的系统分析

IF 3 3区 医学 Q2 NUTRITION & DIETETICS
Yi Jiang, Lijing Jiao, Ling Xu, Yabin Gong, Chenbing Sun
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引用次数: 0

摘要

高身体质量指数(BMI)是女性结肠癌、直肠癌、卵巢癌和子宫癌的重要危险因素。目前关于其对这些癌症影响的综合研究是有限的。本文旨在通过使用全球疾病负担(GBD) 2021,探讨高BMI对这些癌症影响的区域和年龄差异以及三者之间的共性。从1990年至2021年检索这些癌症的死亡、残疾调整生命年(DALYs)及其年龄标准化率(ASRs),并使用估计的年百分比变化(EAPC)和百分比变化评估负担趋势。该研究还分析了21个地区的ASR与社会人口指数(SDI)的相关性,并使用贝叶斯年龄-时期模型(BAPC)模型预测了未来疾病负担的趋势。结果显示,自1990年以来,全球女性结肠癌和直肠癌的负担有所下降,但在2021年仍处于三种癌症中最高的水平。同时,这三种癌症在高收入地区的负担也很高。自1990年以来,高BMI导致的卵巢癌和子宫癌负担增加,这三种负担在中低收入地区和年轻人中增长最快。预计到2050年,这三者的负担将继续增加。这项研究证实,高BMI对这些癌症的影响是区域性和年龄特异性的,具有长期影响。因此,后续的公共卫生干预应根据国家和地区情况,采取更有针对性的肥胖预防和控制策略,有效减轻高BMI对这些癌症的不良影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The global, regional and national burden of three female pelvic cancers attributable to high BMI from 1990 to 2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 and projection to 2050.

High BMI is an important risk factor for female colon and rectal, ovarian and uterine cancers. Current comprehensive studies on its effects on these cancers are limited. This paper aims to explore regional and age differences in the impact of high BMI on these cancers and the commonalities among the three by using the Global Burden of Disease 2021. Deaths, disability-adjusted life years and their age-standardised rates for these cancers were retrieved from 1990 to 2021, and burden trends were assessed using the estimated annual percentage change and percentage changes. The study also analysed the correlation between age-standardised rate and socio-demographic index across twenty-one regions and projected future disease burden trends using the Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort model. Results showed that the global burden of female colon and rectal cancer declined since 1990 but remained at the highest level among the three cancers in 2021. At the same time, these three cancers had high burdens in high-income areas. Since 1990, ovarian and uterine cancer burdens attributable to high BMI increased, and all three burdens grew fastest in low-middle-income regions and among younger people. The burden of all three is projected to continue increasing through 2050. This study confirms that high BMI's impact on these cancers is regional and age-specific, with long-term effects. Therefore, subsequent public health interventions should adopt more targeted obesity prevention and control strategies based on national and regional situations to effectively mitigate the adverse effects of high BMI on these cancers.

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来源期刊
British Journal of Nutrition
British Journal of Nutrition 医学-营养学
CiteScore
6.60
自引率
5.60%
发文量
740
审稿时长
3 months
期刊介绍: British Journal of Nutrition is a leading international peer-reviewed journal covering research on human and clinical nutrition, animal nutrition and basic science as applied to nutrition. The Journal recognises the multidisciplinary nature of nutritional science and includes material from all of the specialities involved in nutrition research, including molecular and cell biology and nutritional genomics.
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