Detelina Ivanova , Subarna Bhattacharyya , Anthony Strawa , Steve Zornetzer , Stephanie Olinger , Leslie Field , Alexander Ivanov , Ethan Kusnadi , Jacob Kim
{"title":"评估局部人工增强波弗特环流海冰反照率对恢复北极海冰的影响","authors":"Detelina Ivanova , Subarna Bhattacharyya , Anthony Strawa , Steve Zornetzer , Stephanie Olinger , Leslie Field , Alexander Ivanov , Ethan Kusnadi , Jacob Kim","doi":"10.1016/j.coldregions.2025.104657","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>CMIP6 projections show that the Arctic could be ice-free by 2050, leading to global climate disruptions like destabilizing polar jets, stronger storms and prolonged droughts. Reducing greenhouse gas emissions alone will not be sufficient to preserve Arctic sea ice, necessitating additional climate restoration efforts. Field et al. (2018) proposed restoring sea ice by artificially enhancing surface sea ice albedo with reflective hollow glass microspheres (HGMs) and their modeling simulations show the potential of this technology in Arctic sea ice recovery. While Arctic-wide application is expensive, localized targeted deployments may be feasible. Here we investigate the impacts and efficacy of regional surface albedo modification (SAM) application in the Beaufort Gyre (BG) on the Arctic sea ice and atmospheric radiation budget. We simulate SAM in the BG region carrying out a ten-member ensemble of 50 years (2000–2050) integrations using a global CESM2 climate model. Our results show that ∼50 % surface albedo enhancement in the BG region reduces absorbed surface radiation by ∼5 W/m<sup>2</sup> and increases outgoing radiation at the top of the atmosphere by ∼4.34 W/m<sup>2</sup> during summer, comparable to the global anthropogenic radiative forcing of 4.5 W/m<sup>2</sup> in the underlying SSP2–4.5 scenario. These radiation budget changes cool the surface of Arctic annually by 0.78 °C, BG area by 3 °C and thicken the BG area summer sea ice by up to ∼1 m. Our findings suggest that targeted SAM could help preserve Arctic sea ice, and delay an ice-free Arctic ocean, offering a viable interim climate intervention.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":10522,"journal":{"name":"Cold Regions Science and Technology","volume":"241 ","pages":"Article 104657"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8000,"publicationDate":"2025-08-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Evaluating the impacts of localized artificial enhancement of sea ice albedo over Beaufort Gyre towards restoring Arctic Sea Ice\",\"authors\":\"Detelina Ivanova , Subarna Bhattacharyya , Anthony Strawa , Steve Zornetzer , Stephanie Olinger , Leslie Field , Alexander Ivanov , Ethan Kusnadi , Jacob Kim\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.coldregions.2025.104657\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>CMIP6 projections show that the Arctic could be ice-free by 2050, leading to global climate disruptions like destabilizing polar jets, stronger storms and prolonged droughts. Reducing greenhouse gas emissions alone will not be sufficient to preserve Arctic sea ice, necessitating additional climate restoration efforts. Field et al. (2018) proposed restoring sea ice by artificially enhancing surface sea ice albedo with reflective hollow glass microspheres (HGMs) and their modeling simulations show the potential of this technology in Arctic sea ice recovery. While Arctic-wide application is expensive, localized targeted deployments may be feasible. Here we investigate the impacts and efficacy of regional surface albedo modification (SAM) application in the Beaufort Gyre (BG) on the Arctic sea ice and atmospheric radiation budget. We simulate SAM in the BG region carrying out a ten-member ensemble of 50 years (2000–2050) integrations using a global CESM2 climate model. Our results show that ∼50 % surface albedo enhancement in the BG region reduces absorbed surface radiation by ∼5 W/m<sup>2</sup> and increases outgoing radiation at the top of the atmosphere by ∼4.34 W/m<sup>2</sup> during summer, comparable to the global anthropogenic radiative forcing of 4.5 W/m<sup>2</sup> in the underlying SSP2–4.5 scenario. These radiation budget changes cool the surface of Arctic annually by 0.78 °C, BG area by 3 °C and thicken the BG area summer sea ice by up to ∼1 m. Our findings suggest that targeted SAM could help preserve Arctic sea ice, and delay an ice-free Arctic ocean, offering a viable interim climate intervention.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":10522,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Cold Regions Science and Technology\",\"volume\":\"241 \",\"pages\":\"Article 104657\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":3.8000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-08-27\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Cold Regions Science and Technology\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"5\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0165232X2500240X\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"工程技术\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ENGINEERING, CIVIL\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Cold Regions Science and Technology","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0165232X2500240X","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ENGINEERING, CIVIL","Score":null,"Total":0}
Evaluating the impacts of localized artificial enhancement of sea ice albedo over Beaufort Gyre towards restoring Arctic Sea Ice
CMIP6 projections show that the Arctic could be ice-free by 2050, leading to global climate disruptions like destabilizing polar jets, stronger storms and prolonged droughts. Reducing greenhouse gas emissions alone will not be sufficient to preserve Arctic sea ice, necessitating additional climate restoration efforts. Field et al. (2018) proposed restoring sea ice by artificially enhancing surface sea ice albedo with reflective hollow glass microspheres (HGMs) and their modeling simulations show the potential of this technology in Arctic sea ice recovery. While Arctic-wide application is expensive, localized targeted deployments may be feasible. Here we investigate the impacts and efficacy of regional surface albedo modification (SAM) application in the Beaufort Gyre (BG) on the Arctic sea ice and atmospheric radiation budget. We simulate SAM in the BG region carrying out a ten-member ensemble of 50 years (2000–2050) integrations using a global CESM2 climate model. Our results show that ∼50 % surface albedo enhancement in the BG region reduces absorbed surface radiation by ∼5 W/m2 and increases outgoing radiation at the top of the atmosphere by ∼4.34 W/m2 during summer, comparable to the global anthropogenic radiative forcing of 4.5 W/m2 in the underlying SSP2–4.5 scenario. These radiation budget changes cool the surface of Arctic annually by 0.78 °C, BG area by 3 °C and thicken the BG area summer sea ice by up to ∼1 m. Our findings suggest that targeted SAM could help preserve Arctic sea ice, and delay an ice-free Arctic ocean, offering a viable interim climate intervention.
期刊介绍:
Cold Regions Science and Technology is an international journal dealing with the science and technical problems of cold environments in both the polar regions and more temperate locations. It includes fundamental aspects of cryospheric sciences which have applications for cold regions problems as well as engineering topics which relate to the cryosphere.
Emphasis is given to applied science with broad coverage of the physical and mechanical aspects of ice (including glaciers and sea ice), snow and snow avalanches, ice-water systems, ice-bonded soils and permafrost.
Relevant aspects of Earth science, materials science, offshore and river ice engineering are also of primary interest. These include icing of ships and structures as well as trafficability in cold environments. Technological advances for cold regions in research, development, and engineering practice are relevant to the journal. Theoretical papers must include a detailed discussion of the potential application of the theory to address cold regions problems. The journal serves a wide range of specialists, providing a medium for interdisciplinary communication and a convenient source of reference.