Delphine Kervella , Franc Casanova-Ferrer , Camille N. Kotton , Laura Donadeu , Deepali Kumar , Silvia Pineda , Elena Crespo , Maria Meneghini , José González-Costelo , Elena García-Romero , Laura Lladó , Alba Cachero , Edoardo Melilli , Irina B. Torres , Anna Martínez-Lacalle , Zaira Castañeda , Mónica Martinez-Gallo , Oscar Len , Ibai Los-Arcos , Enric Trilla-Herrera , Oriol Bestard
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Torres , Anna Martínez-Lacalle , Zaira Castañeda , Mónica Martinez-Gallo , Oscar Len , Ibai Los-Arcos , Enric Trilla-Herrera , Oriol Bestard","doi":"10.1016/j.ekir.2025.06.056","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Introduction</h3><div>The interferon gamma (IFN-γ) enzyme-linked immunosorbent spot is a highly sensitive immune assay that enables the assessment of cytomegalovirus (CMV)-specific cell-mediated immunity (CMI) and can identify at-risk transplant patients of CMV infection; however, its clinical implementation remains elusive.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>We developed a novel CMV-CMI risk-score based on the standardized T-SPOT.CMV assay against 2 CMV antigens (immediate-early protein 1 [IE-1] and 65 kDa phosphoprotein [pp65]), a biomarker predicting CMV infection, both high viral replication, and disease by performing a pooled analysis of 570 kidney transplants participating in different clinical trials and subsequently validating it in 146 consecutives solid organ transplants (SOT) in an interventional trial. By incorporating clinical variables into the CMV-CMI risk-score, we built an integrative prognostic system quantifying the risk of CMV infection (CMV-PrognosTIC score) using elastic net penalized regression analysis.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>In the pooled derivation cohort, whereas specific IE-1/pp65-specific CMV-CMI frequencies independently correlated with high risk of CMV infection (areas under the curve [AUCs]: 0.694, <em>P</em> < 0.0001; 0.719, <em>P</em> < 0.0001, respectively), by combining both responses, 3 CMV-CMI risk-scores appeared, accurately discriminating low-risk (LR) from intermediate-risk (IR) and high-risk (HR) patients (98.7% negative predictive value [NPV], 97.2% sensitivity). Its prospective implementation guiding decision-making in an independent SOT cohort confirmed the very high NPV and sensitivity identifying LR patients. By integrating type of preventive therapy, patient age, and donor (D) and recipient (R) CMV-serostatus to the CMV-CMI risk-score, we generated a global risk-prognostic model showing accurate discrimination and calibration in both derivation (AUC: 0.807) and validation cohorts (AUC: 0.719).</div></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><div>We developed a robust CMV-PrognosTIC score to quantify the risk of CMV infection in SOT, which may be readily implemented in clinical transplantation to personalize CMV preventive therapies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17761,"journal":{"name":"Kidney International Reports","volume":"10 9","pages":"Pages 3044-3057"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7000,"publicationDate":"2025-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A New Prognostic Score Based on Cell-Mediated Immunity for Cytomegalovirus Infection After Transplantation\",\"authors\":\"Delphine Kervella , Franc Casanova-Ferrer , Camille N. Kotton , Laura Donadeu , Deepali Kumar , Silvia Pineda , Elena Crespo , Maria Meneghini , José González-Costelo , Elena García-Romero , Laura Lladó , Alba Cachero , Edoardo Melilli , Irina B. 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By incorporating clinical variables into the CMV-CMI risk-score, we built an integrative prognostic system quantifying the risk of CMV infection (CMV-PrognosTIC score) using elastic net penalized regression analysis.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>In the pooled derivation cohort, whereas specific IE-1/pp65-specific CMV-CMI frequencies independently correlated with high risk of CMV infection (areas under the curve [AUCs]: 0.694, <em>P</em> < 0.0001; 0.719, <em>P</em> < 0.0001, respectively), by combining both responses, 3 CMV-CMI risk-scores appeared, accurately discriminating low-risk (LR) from intermediate-risk (IR) and high-risk (HR) patients (98.7% negative predictive value [NPV], 97.2% sensitivity). Its prospective implementation guiding decision-making in an independent SOT cohort confirmed the very high NPV and sensitivity identifying LR patients. 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A New Prognostic Score Based on Cell-Mediated Immunity for Cytomegalovirus Infection After Transplantation
Introduction
The interferon gamma (IFN-γ) enzyme-linked immunosorbent spot is a highly sensitive immune assay that enables the assessment of cytomegalovirus (CMV)-specific cell-mediated immunity (CMI) and can identify at-risk transplant patients of CMV infection; however, its clinical implementation remains elusive.
Methods
We developed a novel CMV-CMI risk-score based on the standardized T-SPOT.CMV assay against 2 CMV antigens (immediate-early protein 1 [IE-1] and 65 kDa phosphoprotein [pp65]), a biomarker predicting CMV infection, both high viral replication, and disease by performing a pooled analysis of 570 kidney transplants participating in different clinical trials and subsequently validating it in 146 consecutives solid organ transplants (SOT) in an interventional trial. By incorporating clinical variables into the CMV-CMI risk-score, we built an integrative prognostic system quantifying the risk of CMV infection (CMV-PrognosTIC score) using elastic net penalized regression analysis.
Results
In the pooled derivation cohort, whereas specific IE-1/pp65-specific CMV-CMI frequencies independently correlated with high risk of CMV infection (areas under the curve [AUCs]: 0.694, P < 0.0001; 0.719, P < 0.0001, respectively), by combining both responses, 3 CMV-CMI risk-scores appeared, accurately discriminating low-risk (LR) from intermediate-risk (IR) and high-risk (HR) patients (98.7% negative predictive value [NPV], 97.2% sensitivity). Its prospective implementation guiding decision-making in an independent SOT cohort confirmed the very high NPV and sensitivity identifying LR patients. By integrating type of preventive therapy, patient age, and donor (D) and recipient (R) CMV-serostatus to the CMV-CMI risk-score, we generated a global risk-prognostic model showing accurate discrimination and calibration in both derivation (AUC: 0.807) and validation cohorts (AUC: 0.719).
Conclusion
We developed a robust CMV-PrognosTIC score to quantify the risk of CMV infection in SOT, which may be readily implemented in clinical transplantation to personalize CMV preventive therapies.
期刊介绍:
Kidney International Reports, an official journal of the International Society of Nephrology, is a peer-reviewed, open access journal devoted to the publication of leading research and developments related to kidney disease. With the primary aim of contributing to improved care of patients with kidney disease, the journal will publish original clinical and select translational articles and educational content related to the pathogenesis, evaluation and management of acute and chronic kidney disease, end stage renal disease (including transplantation), acid-base, fluid and electrolyte disturbances and hypertension. Of particular interest are submissions related to clinical trials, epidemiology, systematic reviews (including meta-analyses) and outcomes research. The journal will also provide a platform for wider dissemination of national and regional guidelines as well as consensus meeting reports.