应用生态学中基于主体的模型:为野生动物保护和管理设计基于数据的模拟

IF 2.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ECOLOGY
Ecosphere Pub Date : 2025-09-02 DOI:10.1002/ecs2.70342
Kilian J. Murphy
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引用次数: 0

摘要

基于主体的模型(ABMs)越来越被认为是应用生态学中模拟物种行为、生态相互作用和管理响应的有价值的工具。然而,由于依赖于简化的表示和缺乏与经验数据的整合,它们在保护和政策背景下的采用受到限制。本文提出了一个结构化的、数据知情的框架,用于使用高分辨率空间、行为和环境数据集开发应用ABMs。通过结合遥测数据、遥感产品和现场级生态监测,该框架能够实现生态系统的现实模拟,可用于虚拟测试管理策略和政策干预。这些模型支持实时场景测试,通过识别知识差距来指导现场数据收集,并促进与利益相关者的透明沟通。我们通过发表的獾运动和牛结核病风险的案例研究来证明这一框架的实用性,展示了它如何揭示具有疾病管理意义的紧急行为模式。通过为模型开发、验证和利益相关者参与制定可重复的协议,本研究增强了ABMs在保护规划、生物多样性监测和人类与野生动物冲突缓解方面的可及性和适用性。该框架支持基于证据的决策,同时促进透明度、适应性和跨部门协作。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Agent-based models in applied ecology: Designing data-informed simulations for wildlife conservation and management

Agent-based models in applied ecology: Designing data-informed simulations for wildlife conservation and management

Agent-based models in applied ecology: Designing data-informed simulations for wildlife conservation and management

Agent-based models in applied ecology: Designing data-informed simulations for wildlife conservation and management

Agent-based models in applied ecology: Designing data-informed simulations for wildlife conservation and management

Agent-based models (ABMs) are increasingly recognized as valuable tools in applied ecology for simulating species behavior, ecological interactions, and responses to management. However, their adoption in conservation and policy contexts has been limited by a reliance on simplified representations and a lack of integration with empirical data. This paper presents a structured, data-informed framework for developing applied ABMs using high-resolution spatial, behavioral, and environmental datasets. By incorporating telemetry data, remote sensing products, and site-level ecological monitoring, the framework enables realistic simulations of ecological systems that can be used to virtually test management strategies and policy interventions. These models support real-time scenario testing, guide field data collection by identifying knowledge gaps, and facilitate transparent communication with stakeholders. We demonstrate the utility of this framework using a published case study on badger movement and bovine tuberculosis risk in a disturbance-driven landscape, showing how it reveals emergent behavioral patterns with implications for disease management. By formalizing a repeatable protocol for model development, validation, and stakeholder engagement, this research enhances the accessibility and applicability of ABMs in conservation planning, biodiversity monitoring, and human–wildlife conflict mitigation. The framework supports evidence-based decision-making while promoting transparency, adaptability, and cross-sector collaboration.

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来源期刊
Ecosphere
Ecosphere ECOLOGY-
CiteScore
4.70
自引率
3.70%
发文量
378
审稿时长
15 weeks
期刊介绍: The scope of Ecosphere is as broad as the science of ecology itself. The journal welcomes submissions from all sub-disciplines of ecological science, as well as interdisciplinary studies relating to ecology. The journal''s goal is to provide a rapid-publication, online-only, open-access alternative to ESA''s other journals, while maintaining the rigorous standards of peer review for which ESA publications are renowned.
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