没有预期效用的游戏动态一致性

IF 1.2 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS
Andrés Perea
{"title":"没有预期效用的游戏动态一致性","authors":"Andrés Perea","doi":"10.1016/j.jet.2025.106067","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Within dynamic games we are interested in conditions on the players' preferences that imply <em>dynamic consistency</em> and the existence of <em>sequentially optimal strategies</em>. The latter means that the strategy is optimal at each of the player's information sets, given his beliefs there. To explore these properties we assume, following <span><span>Gilboa and Schmeidler (2003)</span></span> and <span><span>Perea (2025a)</span></span>, that every player holds a <em>conditional preference relation</em> – a mapping that assigns to every probabilistic belief about the opponents' strategies a preference relation over his own strategies. We identify sets of very basic conditions on the conditional preference relations that guarantee dynamic consistency and the existence of sequentially optimal strategies, respectively. These conditions are implied by, but are much weaker than, assuming expected utility. Moreover, it is shown that non-expected utility is compatible with dynamic consistency and consequentialism in our framework.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48393,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Theory","volume":"229 ","pages":"Article 106067"},"PeriodicalIF":1.2000,"publicationDate":"2025-08-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Dynamic consistency in games without expected utility\",\"authors\":\"Andrés Perea\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.jet.2025.106067\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>Within dynamic games we are interested in conditions on the players' preferences that imply <em>dynamic consistency</em> and the existence of <em>sequentially optimal strategies</em>. The latter means that the strategy is optimal at each of the player's information sets, given his beliefs there. To explore these properties we assume, following <span><span>Gilboa and Schmeidler (2003)</span></span> and <span><span>Perea (2025a)</span></span>, that every player holds a <em>conditional preference relation</em> – a mapping that assigns to every probabilistic belief about the opponents' strategies a preference relation over his own strategies. We identify sets of very basic conditions on the conditional preference relations that guarantee dynamic consistency and the existence of sequentially optimal strategies, respectively. These conditions are implied by, but are much weaker than, assuming expected utility. Moreover, it is shown that non-expected utility is compatible with dynamic consistency and consequentialism in our framework.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":48393,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Economic Theory\",\"volume\":\"229 \",\"pages\":\"Article 106067\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.2000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-08-21\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Economic Theory\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022053125001139\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Economic Theory","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022053125001139","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

在动态博弈中,我们感兴趣的是玩家偏好的条件,这意味着动态一致性和顺序最优策略的存在。后者意味着该策略在每个玩家的信息集合中都是最优的。为了探索这些属性,我们按照Gilboa和Schmeidler(2003)和Perea (2025a)的假设,每个玩家都有一个条件偏好关系——一个映射,它赋予每个关于对手策略的概率信念一个相对于自己策略的偏好关系。我们分别确定了保证动态一致性和顺序最优策略存在的条件偏好关系的一组非常基本的条件。这些条件是由假设预期效用隐含的,但比假设预期效用弱得多。此外,在我们的框架中,非期望效用与动态一致性和结果主义是相容的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Dynamic consistency in games without expected utility
Within dynamic games we are interested in conditions on the players' preferences that imply dynamic consistency and the existence of sequentially optimal strategies. The latter means that the strategy is optimal at each of the player's information sets, given his beliefs there. To explore these properties we assume, following Gilboa and Schmeidler (2003) and Perea (2025a), that every player holds a conditional preference relation – a mapping that assigns to every probabilistic belief about the opponents' strategies a preference relation over his own strategies. We identify sets of very basic conditions on the conditional preference relations that guarantee dynamic consistency and the existence of sequentially optimal strategies, respectively. These conditions are implied by, but are much weaker than, assuming expected utility. Moreover, it is shown that non-expected utility is compatible with dynamic consistency and consequentialism in our framework.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
CiteScore
2.50
自引率
12.50%
发文量
135
期刊介绍: The Journal of Economic Theory publishes original research on economic theory and emphasizes the theoretical analysis of economic models, including the study of related mathematical techniques. JET is the leading journal in economic theory. It is also one of nine core journals in all of economics. Among these journals, the Journal of Economic Theory ranks fourth in impact-adjusted citations.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:604180095
Book学术官方微信