{"title":"没有预期效用的游戏动态一致性","authors":"Andrés Perea","doi":"10.1016/j.jet.2025.106067","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Within dynamic games we are interested in conditions on the players' preferences that imply <em>dynamic consistency</em> and the existence of <em>sequentially optimal strategies</em>. The latter means that the strategy is optimal at each of the player's information sets, given his beliefs there. To explore these properties we assume, following <span><span>Gilboa and Schmeidler (2003)</span></span> and <span><span>Perea (2025a)</span></span>, that every player holds a <em>conditional preference relation</em> – a mapping that assigns to every probabilistic belief about the opponents' strategies a preference relation over his own strategies. We identify sets of very basic conditions on the conditional preference relations that guarantee dynamic consistency and the existence of sequentially optimal strategies, respectively. These conditions are implied by, but are much weaker than, assuming expected utility. Moreover, it is shown that non-expected utility is compatible with dynamic consistency and consequentialism in our framework.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48393,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Theory","volume":"229 ","pages":"Article 106067"},"PeriodicalIF":1.2000,"publicationDate":"2025-08-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Dynamic consistency in games without expected utility\",\"authors\":\"Andrés Perea\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.jet.2025.106067\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>Within dynamic games we are interested in conditions on the players' preferences that imply <em>dynamic consistency</em> and the existence of <em>sequentially optimal strategies</em>. The latter means that the strategy is optimal at each of the player's information sets, given his beliefs there. To explore these properties we assume, following <span><span>Gilboa and Schmeidler (2003)</span></span> and <span><span>Perea (2025a)</span></span>, that every player holds a <em>conditional preference relation</em> – a mapping that assigns to every probabilistic belief about the opponents' strategies a preference relation over his own strategies. We identify sets of very basic conditions on the conditional preference relations that guarantee dynamic consistency and the existence of sequentially optimal strategies, respectively. These conditions are implied by, but are much weaker than, assuming expected utility. Moreover, it is shown that non-expected utility is compatible with dynamic consistency and consequentialism in our framework.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":48393,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Economic Theory\",\"volume\":\"229 \",\"pages\":\"Article 106067\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.2000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-08-21\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Economic Theory\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022053125001139\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Economic Theory","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022053125001139","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Dynamic consistency in games without expected utility
Within dynamic games we are interested in conditions on the players' preferences that imply dynamic consistency and the existence of sequentially optimal strategies. The latter means that the strategy is optimal at each of the player's information sets, given his beliefs there. To explore these properties we assume, following Gilboa and Schmeidler (2003) and Perea (2025a), that every player holds a conditional preference relation – a mapping that assigns to every probabilistic belief about the opponents' strategies a preference relation over his own strategies. We identify sets of very basic conditions on the conditional preference relations that guarantee dynamic consistency and the existence of sequentially optimal strategies, respectively. These conditions are implied by, but are much weaker than, assuming expected utility. Moreover, it is shown that non-expected utility is compatible with dynamic consistency and consequentialism in our framework.
期刊介绍:
The Journal of Economic Theory publishes original research on economic theory and emphasizes the theoretical analysis of economic models, including the study of related mathematical techniques. JET is the leading journal in economic theory. It is also one of nine core journals in all of economics. Among these journals, the Journal of Economic Theory ranks fourth in impact-adjusted citations.