cordex -非洲区域气候模式ALARO-0的评价

IF 2.8 3区 地球科学 Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
Laura Decorte, Michiel Van Ginderachter, Erna Blancquaert, Sam Crauwels, Rafiq Hamdi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

评估气候变化的区域和局部影响需要高分辨率气候数据。因此,本研究首次利用区域气候模式ALARO-0对非洲区域进行了12.5 km分辨率的模拟。该模拟使用多个参考数据集进行评估,包括观测数据集、再分析数据集和其他模型模拟。总体而言,ALARO-0在模拟月平均和季节平均温度方面的表现与参考文献相当。然而,ALARO-0系统地低估了日温度范围,其偏差与非洲其他区域气候模式运行的偏差相似或更高。在降水方面发现了一些明显的偏差,在大多数非洲地区有高估的趋势。然而,ALARO-0在估计西非季风降雨的开始时间和单峰形态方面优于其他现有模式。观测资料集中的降水值分布相对较大,特别是在高海拔地区,这使得对这些地区的模式进行评估变得困难和不可靠。总而言之,ALARO-0显示了作为非洲区域气候模式的潜力,总的来说,在模拟平均温度和降水方面的表现令人满意,并且与其他模式和观测结果一致。然而,在某些区域或在模拟最低和最高温度时需要偏差校正,因为偏差可能达到很高的值。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Evaluation of the Regional Climate Model ALARO-0 Over the CORDEX-Africa Domain

Evaluation of the Regional Climate Model ALARO-0 Over the CORDEX-Africa Domain

Evaluation of the Regional Climate Model ALARO-0 Over the CORDEX-Africa Domain

Evaluation of the Regional Climate Model ALARO-0 Over the CORDEX-Africa Domain

Evaluation of the Regional Climate Model ALARO-0 Over the CORDEX-Africa Domain

High-resolution climate data is needed for assessing the regional and local impact of climate change. Therefore, in this study, for the first time, a simulation at the resolution of 12.5 km was done over the African domain using the regional climate model ALARO-0. This simulation was evaluated using multiple reference datasets, including observations, a reanalysis dataset, and other model simulations. In general, the performance of ALARO-0 in simulating mean monthly and seasonal temperature was comparable to the references. However, ALARO-0 systematically underestimated the daily temperature range, with biases similar to or higher than those of other regional climate model runs over Africa. Some notable biases were found for precipitation, with a tendency towards overestimation over most African regions. ALARO-0 is, however, outperforming the other existing model runs in estimating both the timing of the onset and the unimodal shape of the West African monsoon rainfall. A relatively large spread of precipitation values in the observational datasets was observed, especially over highly elevated areas, which makes the evaluation of the models over these regions difficult and less reliable. To conclude, ALARO-0 shows potential as a regional climate model over Africa, as in general, the performance in simulating mean temperature and precipitation was satisfactory and in accordance with other models and observations. Bias corrections are, however, needed over certain regions or when simulating minimum and maximum temperature, as biases could reach high values.

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来源期刊
International Journal of Climatology
International Journal of Climatology 地学-气象与大气科学
CiteScore
7.50
自引率
7.70%
发文量
417
审稿时长
4 months
期刊介绍: The International Journal of Climatology aims to span the well established but rapidly growing field of climatology, through the publication of research papers, short communications, major reviews of progress and reviews of new books and reports in the area of climate science. The Journal’s main role is to stimulate and report research in climatology, from the expansive fields of the atmospheric, biophysical, engineering and social sciences. Coverage includes: Climate system science; Local to global scale climate observations and modelling; Seasonal to interannual climate prediction; Climatic variability and climate change; Synoptic, dynamic and urban climatology, hydroclimatology, human bioclimatology, ecoclimatology, dendroclimatology, palaeoclimatology, marine climatology and atmosphere-ocean interactions; Application of climatological knowledge to environmental assessment and management and economic production; Climate and society interactions
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