CalfSim工具:一个免费且用户友好的决策支持工具,用于设计和模拟奶牛的优化喂养计划-预测评估研究

IF 2.2
T.E. Da Silva, J.H.C. Costa
{"title":"CalfSim工具:一个免费且用户友好的决策支持工具,用于设计和模拟奶牛的优化喂养计划-预测评估研究","authors":"T.E. Da Silva,&nbsp;J.H.C. Costa","doi":"10.3168/jdsc.2025-0777","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Optimizing calf feeding strategies is critical for improving performance, health, and weaning transitions of preweaning animals. Despite the updated National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine (NASEM, 2021) <em>Nutrient Requirements of Dairy Cattle</em>, decision support tools integrating these equations for simulating optimized calf feeding strategies remain limited. To address this gap, we developed and tested the CalfSim, a free, user-friendly decision support tool designed to simulate and optimize feeding plans for dairy calves. CalfSim incorporates inputs that farmers can readily collect, enabling users to establish baseline scenarios, explore “what-if” questions, and evaluate the impacts of nutritional strategies on calf performance and rearing cost. The tool is built based on NASEM (2021) equations, with adaptations for predicting energy-allowable growth and solid feed intake under varying conditions. CalfSim's performance predictions were assessed using data from 27 studies, 24 from the <em>Journal of Dairy Science</em> and 3 other unpublished studies (n = 76 treatments, 258 BW observations, and 1,585 calves), demonstrating accurate and precise predictions (root mean square error = 8.56 kg, R<sup>2</sup> = 0.91, and concordance correlation coefficient = 0.93). However, farm-specific factors (e.g., disease incidence, environmental stress, genetics) can influence predictions, and these factors are not accounted for. This highlights the need for on-farm data to assist users in making more informed decisions (e.g., by comparing scenarios, calculating cost per kilogram of gain). CalfSim provides actionable insights for designing cost-effective feeding plans, making it a valuable resource for dairy nutritionists, farmers, students, and consultants.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":94061,"journal":{"name":"JDS communications","volume":"6 5","pages":"Pages 654-659"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2000,"publicationDate":"2025-07-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"CalfSim tool: A free and user-friendly decision support tool for designing and simulating optimized feeding plans for dairy calves—A prediction assessment study\",\"authors\":\"T.E. Da Silva,&nbsp;J.H.C. Costa\",\"doi\":\"10.3168/jdsc.2025-0777\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>Optimizing calf feeding strategies is critical for improving performance, health, and weaning transitions of preweaning animals. Despite the updated National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine (NASEM, 2021) <em>Nutrient Requirements of Dairy Cattle</em>, decision support tools integrating these equations for simulating optimized calf feeding strategies remain limited. To address this gap, we developed and tested the CalfSim, a free, user-friendly decision support tool designed to simulate and optimize feeding plans for dairy calves. CalfSim incorporates inputs that farmers can readily collect, enabling users to establish baseline scenarios, explore “what-if” questions, and evaluate the impacts of nutritional strategies on calf performance and rearing cost. The tool is built based on NASEM (2021) equations, with adaptations for predicting energy-allowable growth and solid feed intake under varying conditions. CalfSim's performance predictions were assessed using data from 27 studies, 24 from the <em>Journal of Dairy Science</em> and 3 other unpublished studies (n = 76 treatments, 258 BW observations, and 1,585 calves), demonstrating accurate and precise predictions (root mean square error = 8.56 kg, R<sup>2</sup> = 0.91, and concordance correlation coefficient = 0.93). However, farm-specific factors (e.g., disease incidence, environmental stress, genetics) can influence predictions, and these factors are not accounted for. This highlights the need for on-farm data to assist users in making more informed decisions (e.g., by comparing scenarios, calculating cost per kilogram of gain). CalfSim provides actionable insights for designing cost-effective feeding plans, making it a valuable resource for dairy nutritionists, farmers, students, and consultants.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":94061,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"JDS communications\",\"volume\":\"6 5\",\"pages\":\"Pages 654-659\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.2000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-07-03\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"JDS communications\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666910225001085\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"JDS communications","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666910225001085","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

优化犊牛喂养策略对于改善断奶前动物的生产性能、健康状况和断奶过渡至关重要。尽管美国国家科学院、工程院和医学院(NASEM, 2021)更新了《奶牛营养需求》,但整合这些方程来模拟优化小牛喂养策略的决策支持工具仍然有限。为了解决这一问题,我们开发并测试了CalfSim,这是一个免费的、用户友好的决策支持工具,旨在模拟和优化奶牛的喂养计划。CalfSim纳入了农民可以随时收集的输入,使用户能够建立基线情景,探索“假设”问题,并评估营养策略对小牛生产性能和饲养成本的影响。该工具是基于NASEM(2021)方程构建的,可用于预测不同条件下的能量允许生长和固体采食量。CalfSim的性能预测数据来自27项研究,24项来自《乳制品科学杂志》(Journal of Dairy Science)和3项其他未发表的研究(n = 76个处理,258个体重观察值,1585头小牛),显示了准确和精确的预测(均方根误差= 8.56 kg, R2 = 0.91,一致性相关系数= 0.93)。然而,农场特有的因素(例如,疾病发病率、环境压力、遗传)可能影响预测,而这些因素没有被考虑在内。这凸显了对农场数据的需求,以帮助用户做出更明智的决策(例如,通过比较情景,计算每公斤收获的成本)。CalfSim为设计具有成本效益的喂养计划提供了可行的见解,使其成为乳制品营养学家,农民,学生和顾问的宝贵资源。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
CalfSim tool: A free and user-friendly decision support tool for designing and simulating optimized feeding plans for dairy calves—A prediction assessment study
Optimizing calf feeding strategies is critical for improving performance, health, and weaning transitions of preweaning animals. Despite the updated National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine (NASEM, 2021) Nutrient Requirements of Dairy Cattle, decision support tools integrating these equations for simulating optimized calf feeding strategies remain limited. To address this gap, we developed and tested the CalfSim, a free, user-friendly decision support tool designed to simulate and optimize feeding plans for dairy calves. CalfSim incorporates inputs that farmers can readily collect, enabling users to establish baseline scenarios, explore “what-if” questions, and evaluate the impacts of nutritional strategies on calf performance and rearing cost. The tool is built based on NASEM (2021) equations, with adaptations for predicting energy-allowable growth and solid feed intake under varying conditions. CalfSim's performance predictions were assessed using data from 27 studies, 24 from the Journal of Dairy Science and 3 other unpublished studies (n = 76 treatments, 258 BW observations, and 1,585 calves), demonstrating accurate and precise predictions (root mean square error = 8.56 kg, R2 = 0.91, and concordance correlation coefficient = 0.93). However, farm-specific factors (e.g., disease incidence, environmental stress, genetics) can influence predictions, and these factors are not accounted for. This highlights the need for on-farm data to assist users in making more informed decisions (e.g., by comparing scenarios, calculating cost per kilogram of gain). CalfSim provides actionable insights for designing cost-effective feeding plans, making it a valuable resource for dairy nutritionists, farmers, students, and consultants.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
JDS communications
JDS communications Animal Science and Zoology
CiteScore
2.00
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:604180095
Book学术官方微信