{"title":"气候风险会影响家庭消费吗?来自中国的证据","authors":"Jialong Li , Jiao Li","doi":"10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107270","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Climate change is gradually reshaping consumption patterns, with extreme weather events exerting substantial negative effects. This paper examines the causal connection between household consumption and physical climate risk for a sample of households from the China Household Finance Survey (CHFS) between 2011 and 2019. The findings reveal that physical climate risks significantly decrease household consumption, which is driven by reductions in household income. We also find that commercial insurance can mitigate the negative impact of physical climate risk on household consumption, and the effects are stronger for households with low education levels, and those in adverse climatic regions and rural areas. These findings offer new insights into consumer behavior amid physical climate risks and provide implications for targeted policies supporting vulnerable groups.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48419,"journal":{"name":"Economic Modelling","volume":"152 ","pages":"Article 107270"},"PeriodicalIF":4.7000,"publicationDate":"2025-08-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Does climate risk impact household consumption? Evidence from China\",\"authors\":\"Jialong Li , Jiao Li\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107270\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>Climate change is gradually reshaping consumption patterns, with extreme weather events exerting substantial negative effects. This paper examines the causal connection between household consumption and physical climate risk for a sample of households from the China Household Finance Survey (CHFS) between 2011 and 2019. The findings reveal that physical climate risks significantly decrease household consumption, which is driven by reductions in household income. We also find that commercial insurance can mitigate the negative impact of physical climate risk on household consumption, and the effects are stronger for households with low education levels, and those in adverse climatic regions and rural areas. These findings offer new insights into consumer behavior amid physical climate risks and provide implications for targeted policies supporting vulnerable groups.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":48419,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Economic Modelling\",\"volume\":\"152 \",\"pages\":\"Article 107270\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":4.7000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-08-19\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Economic Modelling\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264999325002652\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Economic Modelling","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264999325002652","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Does climate risk impact household consumption? Evidence from China
Climate change is gradually reshaping consumption patterns, with extreme weather events exerting substantial negative effects. This paper examines the causal connection between household consumption and physical climate risk for a sample of households from the China Household Finance Survey (CHFS) between 2011 and 2019. The findings reveal that physical climate risks significantly decrease household consumption, which is driven by reductions in household income. We also find that commercial insurance can mitigate the negative impact of physical climate risk on household consumption, and the effects are stronger for households with low education levels, and those in adverse climatic regions and rural areas. These findings offer new insights into consumer behavior amid physical climate risks and provide implications for targeted policies supporting vulnerable groups.
期刊介绍:
Economic Modelling fills a major gap in the economics literature, providing a single source of both theoretical and applied papers on economic modelling. The journal prime objective is to provide an international review of the state-of-the-art in economic modelling. Economic Modelling publishes the complete versions of many large-scale models of industrially advanced economies which have been developed for policy analysis. Examples are the Bank of England Model and the US Federal Reserve Board Model which had hitherto been unpublished. As individual models are revised and updated, the journal publishes subsequent papers dealing with these revisions, so keeping its readers as up to date as possible.