{"title":"预测钙钛矿太阳能电池在不同温度下性能的混合机器学习方法","authors":"Ali Rahmani , Farzin Hosseinifard , Mohsen Salimi , Majid Amidpour","doi":"10.1016/j.ecmx.2025.101217","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Renewable energy sources, particularly solar cells, play a crucial role in energy production, with silicon-based cells being the most common. However, perovskite solar cells have emerged as a promising alternative due to their diverse structural configurations and lower cost compared to traditional silicon cells. This study develops a unified model that integrates both classification and regression approaches to predict the optimal absorber material and assess the impact of temperature on solar cell performance. In the classification task, gradient boosting and random forest models demonstrated a higher area under the curve compared to other models. Before perovskite solar cells can be commercialized, experimental research must be conducted to better understand the factors influencing their performance. However, experiments are time-consuming and costly, and testing under varied conditions has its limitations. To overcome these challenges, machine learning is applied to improve and expand experimental data. With its high accuracy and speed, machine learning is widely used across various fields, including the development of perovskite solar cells. In this research, the impact of temperature on perovskite solar cells is examined. The goal was to gather experimental data and predict missing information. Among the three regression techniques applied, random forest regression yielded the highest accuracy at 98 %, while linear regression had the lowest at 75 %. Using the random forest approach, the power conversion efficiency at predicted temperatures of 55 °C, 75 °C, and 85 °C was found to be 99 %, 89 %, and 88 % of the initial value, respectively.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":37131,"journal":{"name":"Energy Conversion and Management-X","volume":"28 ","pages":"Article 101217"},"PeriodicalIF":7.6000,"publicationDate":"2025-08-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A hybrid machine learning approach for predicting the performance of perovskite solar cells under varying temperatures\",\"authors\":\"Ali Rahmani , Farzin Hosseinifard , Mohsen Salimi , Majid Amidpour\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.ecmx.2025.101217\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>Renewable energy sources, particularly solar cells, play a crucial role in energy production, with silicon-based cells being the most common. However, perovskite solar cells have emerged as a promising alternative due to their diverse structural configurations and lower cost compared to traditional silicon cells. This study develops a unified model that integrates both classification and regression approaches to predict the optimal absorber material and assess the impact of temperature on solar cell performance. In the classification task, gradient boosting and random forest models demonstrated a higher area under the curve compared to other models. Before perovskite solar cells can be commercialized, experimental research must be conducted to better understand the factors influencing their performance. However, experiments are time-consuming and costly, and testing under varied conditions has its limitations. To overcome these challenges, machine learning is applied to improve and expand experimental data. With its high accuracy and speed, machine learning is widely used across various fields, including the development of perovskite solar cells. In this research, the impact of temperature on perovskite solar cells is examined. The goal was to gather experimental data and predict missing information. Among the three regression techniques applied, random forest regression yielded the highest accuracy at 98 %, while linear regression had the lowest at 75 %. Using the random forest approach, the power conversion efficiency at predicted temperatures of 55 °C, 75 °C, and 85 °C was found to be 99 %, 89 %, and 88 % of the initial value, respectively.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":37131,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Energy Conversion and Management-X\",\"volume\":\"28 \",\"pages\":\"Article 101217\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":7.6000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-08-22\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Energy Conversion and Management-X\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590174525003496\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ENERGY & FUELS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Energy Conversion and Management-X","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590174525003496","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ENERGY & FUELS","Score":null,"Total":0}
A hybrid machine learning approach for predicting the performance of perovskite solar cells under varying temperatures
Renewable energy sources, particularly solar cells, play a crucial role in energy production, with silicon-based cells being the most common. However, perovskite solar cells have emerged as a promising alternative due to their diverse structural configurations and lower cost compared to traditional silicon cells. This study develops a unified model that integrates both classification and regression approaches to predict the optimal absorber material and assess the impact of temperature on solar cell performance. In the classification task, gradient boosting and random forest models demonstrated a higher area under the curve compared to other models. Before perovskite solar cells can be commercialized, experimental research must be conducted to better understand the factors influencing their performance. However, experiments are time-consuming and costly, and testing under varied conditions has its limitations. To overcome these challenges, machine learning is applied to improve and expand experimental data. With its high accuracy and speed, machine learning is widely used across various fields, including the development of perovskite solar cells. In this research, the impact of temperature on perovskite solar cells is examined. The goal was to gather experimental data and predict missing information. Among the three regression techniques applied, random forest regression yielded the highest accuracy at 98 %, while linear regression had the lowest at 75 %. Using the random forest approach, the power conversion efficiency at predicted temperatures of 55 °C, 75 °C, and 85 °C was found to be 99 %, 89 %, and 88 % of the initial value, respectively.
期刊介绍:
Energy Conversion and Management: X is the open access extension of the reputable journal Energy Conversion and Management, serving as a platform for interdisciplinary research on a wide array of critical energy subjects. The journal is dedicated to publishing original contributions and in-depth technical review articles that present groundbreaking research on topics spanning energy generation, utilization, conversion, storage, transmission, conservation, management, and sustainability.
The scope of Energy Conversion and Management: X encompasses various forms of energy, including mechanical, thermal, nuclear, chemical, electromagnetic, magnetic, and electric energy. It addresses all known energy resources, highlighting both conventional sources like fossil fuels and nuclear power, as well as renewable resources such as solar, biomass, hydro, wind, geothermal, and ocean energy.