农业技术对撒哈拉以南非洲可持续农业的影响:实现可持续发展目标2.4的分位数回归方法

IF 5.8 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Barış Kantoğlu, Meral Çabaş, Azad Erdem, Abdulmuttalip Pilatin, Abdulkadir Barut, Magdalena Radulescu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

地球上的农业温室气体排放既威胁着粮食安全和气候变化。联合国呼吁到2030年实现粮食安全和可持续农业以消除饥饿。可持续发展目标2.4涉及抵御气候变化和生产可持续粮食的抗灾农业做法。只有通过农业技术(AgriTech)才能实现农业的数字化转型,从而实现有弹性的农业实践。AgriTech可以通过提高生产效率来满足日益增长的粮食需求,同时通过应对气候变化和水资源短缺等问题来提高资源效率。本研究的目的是研究农业技术的使用对撒哈拉以南非洲(SSA)国家可持续农业的影响。该分析使用了2000年至2022年期间来自20个SSA国家的面板数据。在本研究中,矩量分位数回归方法(MMQR)在变量相互作用中提供了跨分位数的一致结果,而广义矩量方法(GMM)和核正则化最小二乘法(KRLS)方法确保了结果的一致性。研究结果证实,农业技术(ATECH)和农业增加值(agw)对SSA国家的可持续农业有显著贡献。ATECH和agw变量的系数均为负,各分位数均有统计学意义。这表明,当SSA农业技术利用和农业增加值增加时,农业排放减少,环境改善。然而,农业信贷(ACRD)不足以减少农业排放。此外,农业工人(AEMP)和互联网使用(INT)有助于减少农业排放到60和50分位数,而这种影响在更高的分位数水平上消失。这些结果强调了将绿色采购和绿色信贷支持的绿色生产技术纳入农业生产的重要性,以实现南撒哈拉地区的农业可持续发展目标。SSA社会应采取促进农民获得农业绿色信贷的政策。应该增加增加农民上网的基础设施建设。应向农业工人提供绿色生产和可持续发展的意识。研究结果表明,农业技术、农业增长、农业劳动力和互联网使用减少了农业排放,而信贷使用增加了农业排放。农业技术利用(ATECH)和农业附加值(agw)在各分位数上呈显著负相关,表明农业技术利用和农业附加值的增加减少了农业温室气体排放。AgriTech在低排放分位数的减排潜力较高(10-30%),而在高排放分位数的减排效果相对较弱。农业信贷(ACRD)仅在低排放分位数(25%)提供环境改善,不足以减少高排放分位数的排放。农业劳动(AEMP)和互联网使用(INT)显著减少了10-50%分位数的排放,而这种影响在更高的分位数上消失。农民减排的成功直接依赖于他们的互联网接入。面板瞬时动量分位数回归(MMQR)更倾向于捕获异质相互作用,并且通过GMM和KRLS方法证实了结果的稳健性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impacts of agritech on sustainable agriculture in Sub-Saharan Africa: a quantile regression approach towards SDG 2.4

Agricultural greenhouse gas emissions on the planet threaten both food security and climate change. The United Nations is calling for food security and sustainable agriculture to end hunger by 2030. Sustainable Development Goal 2.4 addresses resilient agricultural practices to combat climate change and produce sustainable food. Resilient agricultural practices are only possible with agricultural technologies (AgriTech) that will create a digital transformation in agriculture. AgriTech can meet the increasing food demand by increasing production efficiency while increasing resource efficiency by combating problems such as climate change and water scarcity. The aim of this study is to examine the impacts of AgriTech usage on sustainable agriculture in Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries. The analyses were conducted using panel data from 20 SSA countries between 2000 and 2022. In this study, MMQR (Method of Moments Quantile Regression) provided consistent results across quantiles in variable interactions, while GMM (Generalized Method of Moments) and KRLS (Kernel Regularized Least Squares Method) approaches were used to ensure consistency of results. The findings confirm that AgriTech (ATECH) and agricultural value added (AGRW) contribute significantly to sustainable agriculture in SSA countries. The coefficients of ATECH and AGRW variables are negative and statistically significant in all quantiles. This shows that when AgriTech use and agricultural value added increase in SSA, emissions from agriculture decrease and the environment improves. However, agricultural credits (ACRD) are insufficient to reduce agricultural emissions. Furthermore, agricultural workers (AEMP) and internet use (INT) help reduce agricultural emissions up to the 60th and 50th quantiles, while this effect disappears at higher quantile levels. These results emphasize the importance of integrating green procurement and green production technologies supported by green credits into agricultural production in order to achieve sustainable agricultural development goals in SSA. Policies that facilitate farmers’ access to agricultural green credits should be adopted in SSA societies. Infrastructure works that will increase farmers’ access to the internet should be increased. Awareness of agricultural workers on green production and sustainability should be provided to agricultural workers.

Highlights.

  • The results show that agricultural technologies, agricultural growth, agricultural labor, and internet use reduce agricultural emissions in SSAcountries, while credit use increases agricultural emissions.

  • AgriTech use (ATECH) and agricultural value-added (AGRW) have statistically significant negative coefficients in all quantiles, indicating that increasing AgriTech and value-added reduce agricultural greenhouse gas emissions.

  • The potential of AgriTech to reduce emissions is higher in low-emission quantiles (10–30%), while the effect is relatively weaker in high-emission quantiles.

  • Agricultural credits (ACRD) only provide environmental improvements in the low-emission quantile (25%) and are insufficient to reduce emissions in high quantiles.

  • Agricultural labor (AEMP) and internet use (INT) significantly reduced emissions at 10–50% quantiles, while this effect disappeared at higher quantiles. Farmers’ success in reducing emissions is directly dependent on their internet access.

  • Panel instantaneous momentum quantile regression (MMQR) was preferred to capture heterogeneous interactions, and the robustness of the results was confirmed with the GMM and KRLS approaches.

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来源期刊
Carbon Balance and Management
Carbon Balance and Management Environmental Science-Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law
CiteScore
7.60
自引率
0.00%
发文量
17
审稿时长
14 weeks
期刊介绍: Carbon Balance and Management is an open access, peer-reviewed online journal that encompasses all aspects of research aimed at developing a comprehensive policy relevant to the understanding of the global carbon cycle. The global carbon cycle involves important couplings between climate, atmospheric CO2 and the terrestrial and oceanic biospheres. The current transformation of the carbon cycle due to changes in climate and atmospheric composition is widely recognized as potentially dangerous for the biosphere and for the well-being of humankind, and therefore monitoring, understanding and predicting the evolution of the carbon cycle in the context of the whole biosphere (both terrestrial and marine) is a challenge to the scientific community. This demands interdisciplinary research and new approaches for studying geographical and temporal distributions of carbon pools and fluxes, control and feedback mechanisms of the carbon-climate system, points of intervention and windows of opportunity for managing the carbon-climate-human system. Carbon Balance and Management is a medium for researchers in the field to convey the results of their research across disciplinary boundaries. Through this dissemination of research, the journal aims to support the work of the Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change (IPCC) and to provide governmental and non-governmental organizations with instantaneous access to continually emerging knowledge, including paradigm shifts and consensual views.
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