Boyan Liu , Song Song , Wenlong Liu , Yuqi Hu , Cuiling Wei , Lingyue Zhou , Qi Sun , Wenxin Tian , Rachel Yui Ki Chu , Ian Chi Kei Wong , Ivan Fan Ngai Hung , Eric Yuk Fai Wan , Xue Li , Celine Sze Ling Chui , Esther Wai Yin Chan , Carlos King Ho Wong , Francisco Tsz Tsun Lai
{"title":"在既往存在合并症的人群中,疫苗接种状况导致的covid -19后多病发病率:一项基于人群的队列研究","authors":"Boyan Liu , Song Song , Wenlong Liu , Yuqi Hu , Cuiling Wei , Lingyue Zhou , Qi Sun , Wenxin Tian , Rachel Yui Ki Chu , Ian Chi Kei Wong , Ivan Fan Ngai Hung , Eric Yuk Fai Wan , Xue Li , Celine Sze Ling Chui , Esther Wai Yin Chan , Carlos King Ho Wong , Francisco Tsz Tsun Lai","doi":"10.1016/j.jinf.2025.106597","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><div>Long-term health consequences of COVID-19, particularly among individuals with pre-existing chronic diseases, are not fully understood. This study investigates whether SARS-CoV-2 infection increases the risk of developing multimorbidity (≥2 chronic conditions) and evaluates protective effects of vaccination.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>We analyzed territory-wide electronic health records from Hong Kong, linking Hospital Authority data with COVID-19 infection and vaccination records from the Department of Health. A retrospective matched-cohort study was conducted among patients with one pre-existing chronic condition. Participants were stratified into three groups: (1) no documented COVID-19 infection, (2) COVID-19 infection with incomplete vaccination (<3 doses), and (3) COVID-19 infection with full vaccination (≥3 doses). The primary outcome was the incidence of a second chronic condition from a pre-specified list.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Among 1,038,175 eligible individuals, 68,975 (6.64%) developed multimorbidity over a median follow-up of 192 days (IQR: 96–313). The non-COVID-19 group (51,288 cases) had an incidence rate of 68.88 per 1000 person-years (95% CI: 68.18–69.37). In contrast, the COVID-19/unvaccinated group (9455 cases) exhibited a significantly higher rate (86.58; 95% CI: 84.85–88.35). The COVID-19/vaccinated group (8232 cases) showed a moderated rate (72.84; 95% CI: 71.27–74.43). Adjusted incidence rate ratios were 1.26 (95% CI: 1.23–1.29) for unvaccinated and 1.08 (95% CI: 1.05–1.11) for vaccinated individuals compared to the non-COVID-19 group. Results remained consistent across age, sex, and comorbidity subgroups.</div></div><div><h3>Interpretation</h3><div>COVID-19 infection is associated with an increased risk of multimorbidity in patients with pre-existing conditions. Full vaccination attenuates this risk substantially, highlighting its critical role in mitigating post-infection complications.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":50180,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Infection","volume":"91 3","pages":"Article 106597"},"PeriodicalIF":11.9000,"publicationDate":"2025-08-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Post-COVID-19 multimorbidity incidence by prior vaccination status in people with a pre-existing comorbidity: A population-based cohort study\",\"authors\":\"Boyan Liu , Song Song , Wenlong Liu , Yuqi Hu , Cuiling Wei , Lingyue Zhou , Qi Sun , Wenxin Tian , Rachel Yui Ki Chu , Ian Chi Kei Wong , Ivan Fan Ngai Hung , Eric Yuk Fai Wan , Xue Li , Celine Sze Ling Chui , Esther Wai Yin Chan , Carlos King Ho Wong , Francisco Tsz Tsun Lai\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.jinf.2025.106597\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><h3>Background</h3><div>Long-term health consequences of COVID-19, particularly among individuals with pre-existing chronic diseases, are not fully understood. This study investigates whether SARS-CoV-2 infection increases the risk of developing multimorbidity (≥2 chronic conditions) and evaluates protective effects of vaccination.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>We analyzed territory-wide electronic health records from Hong Kong, linking Hospital Authority data with COVID-19 infection and vaccination records from the Department of Health. A retrospective matched-cohort study was conducted among patients with one pre-existing chronic condition. Participants were stratified into three groups: (1) no documented COVID-19 infection, (2) COVID-19 infection with incomplete vaccination (<3 doses), and (3) COVID-19 infection with full vaccination (≥3 doses). The primary outcome was the incidence of a second chronic condition from a pre-specified list.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Among 1,038,175 eligible individuals, 68,975 (6.64%) developed multimorbidity over a median follow-up of 192 days (IQR: 96–313). The non-COVID-19 group (51,288 cases) had an incidence rate of 68.88 per 1000 person-years (95% CI: 68.18–69.37). In contrast, the COVID-19/unvaccinated group (9455 cases) exhibited a significantly higher rate (86.58; 95% CI: 84.85–88.35). The COVID-19/vaccinated group (8232 cases) showed a moderated rate (72.84; 95% CI: 71.27–74.43). Adjusted incidence rate ratios were 1.26 (95% CI: 1.23–1.29) for unvaccinated and 1.08 (95% CI: 1.05–1.11) for vaccinated individuals compared to the non-COVID-19 group. Results remained consistent across age, sex, and comorbidity subgroups.</div></div><div><h3>Interpretation</h3><div>COVID-19 infection is associated with an increased risk of multimorbidity in patients with pre-existing conditions. 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Post-COVID-19 multimorbidity incidence by prior vaccination status in people with a pre-existing comorbidity: A population-based cohort study
Background
Long-term health consequences of COVID-19, particularly among individuals with pre-existing chronic diseases, are not fully understood. This study investigates whether SARS-CoV-2 infection increases the risk of developing multimorbidity (≥2 chronic conditions) and evaluates protective effects of vaccination.
Methods
We analyzed territory-wide electronic health records from Hong Kong, linking Hospital Authority data with COVID-19 infection and vaccination records from the Department of Health. A retrospective matched-cohort study was conducted among patients with one pre-existing chronic condition. Participants were stratified into three groups: (1) no documented COVID-19 infection, (2) COVID-19 infection with incomplete vaccination (<3 doses), and (3) COVID-19 infection with full vaccination (≥3 doses). The primary outcome was the incidence of a second chronic condition from a pre-specified list.
Results
Among 1,038,175 eligible individuals, 68,975 (6.64%) developed multimorbidity over a median follow-up of 192 days (IQR: 96–313). The non-COVID-19 group (51,288 cases) had an incidence rate of 68.88 per 1000 person-years (95% CI: 68.18–69.37). In contrast, the COVID-19/unvaccinated group (9455 cases) exhibited a significantly higher rate (86.58; 95% CI: 84.85–88.35). The COVID-19/vaccinated group (8232 cases) showed a moderated rate (72.84; 95% CI: 71.27–74.43). Adjusted incidence rate ratios were 1.26 (95% CI: 1.23–1.29) for unvaccinated and 1.08 (95% CI: 1.05–1.11) for vaccinated individuals compared to the non-COVID-19 group. Results remained consistent across age, sex, and comorbidity subgroups.
Interpretation
COVID-19 infection is associated with an increased risk of multimorbidity in patients with pre-existing conditions. Full vaccination attenuates this risk substantially, highlighting its critical role in mitigating post-infection complications.
期刊介绍:
The Journal of Infection publishes original papers on all aspects of infection - clinical, microbiological and epidemiological. The Journal seeks to bring together knowledge from all specialties involved in infection research and clinical practice, and present the best work in the ever-changing field of infection.
Each issue brings you Editorials that describe current or controversial topics of interest, high quality Reviews to keep you in touch with the latest developments in specific fields of interest, an Epidemiology section reporting studies in the hospital and the general community, and a lively correspondence section.