基于改进风险评估的石化工业园区应急系统双目标选址分配方法

IF 4.2 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CHEMICAL
Zixian Chen , Junhao Jiang , Jiahong Zhao , Jianwei Peng , Xiaochun Zhang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

石化工业区由于其产品的固有特性和潜在的多米诺骨牌效应,构成了重大的风险。本文以石油化工园区应急系统优化为研究对象。利用区域网格法和蒙特卡罗模拟,提出了一种考虑火灾爆炸后多米诺效应的改进的定量风险评估方法。在此基础上,以应急设施建设总成本最小、应急设施总风险降低最大化为目标,建立了双目标应急系统选址-分配模型。针对双目标问题,介绍了加权线性组合法和增广ε约束求解技术,并进行了比较。试验结果表明,AEC法在获得最优解方面具有较强的竞争力。并以中国大亚湾石化工业区为例,验证了该模型的有效性。与基于传统风险模型的推荐位置-分配方案相比,该方法将个体风险覆盖率提高了68.13%,事故区域覆盖率提高了50%,而总成本仅略有增加。本文是对石油化工园区风险评价与管理理论的补充。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The bi-objective emergency system location-allocation approach based on the improved risk assessment in petrochemical industrial zone
Petrochemical industrial zones pose significant risks due to the inherent properties of their products and the potential domino effect. This paper focuses on optimizing the emergency system in the petrochemical industrial zone. An improved quantitative risk assessment method considering the domino effect following fire and explosion incidents has been proposed, utilizing the regional gridding method and Monte Carlo simulation. On this basis, a bi-objective emergency system location-allocation model was established to minimize the total cost of emergency facility construction and maximize the total risk reduction covered by emergency facilities. To address the bi-objective problem, the weighted linear combination method and the augmented ε-constraint solution technique were introduced and compared. Tests indicated that the AEC method was more competitive in obtaining the optimal solution. Moreover, the proposed model was applied to the Daya Bay petrochemical industrial zone in China to verify its effectiveness. Compared to the recommended location-allocation plan based on the traditional risk model, the proposed method increased individual risk coverage by 68.13 % and accident area coverage by 50 %, incurring only a modest increase in total cost. This paper serves as a supplement to the theory of risk assessment and management in the petrochemical industrial zone.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
7.20
自引率
14.30%
发文量
226
审稿时长
52 days
期刊介绍: The broad scope of the journal is process safety. Process safety is defined as the prevention and mitigation of process-related injuries and damage arising from process incidents involving fire, explosion and toxic release. Such undesired events occur in the process industries during the use, storage, manufacture, handling, and transportation of highly hazardous chemicals.
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