{"title":"成为贝叶斯就是从混合数据中学习贝叶斯网络","authors":"Marco Grzegorczyk","doi":"10.1016/j.ijar.2025.109549","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We develop a new Bayesian model to infer the structure of Bayesian networks from hybrid data, that is, data containing a mix of continuous (Gaussian) and discrete (categorical) variables. In line with state-of-the-art hybrid Bayesian network models, we do not allow discrete variables to have continuous parents. However, our new model differs from existing approaches by incorporating discrete variables through multivariate linear regression rather than mixture modeling. In our model, the continuous variables follow a multivariate Gaussian distribution with a shared covariance matrix, while the mean vector varies across different configurations.</div><div>As with all Bayesian network models, we use directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) to represent conditional dependency relations among the continuous variables. For our Gaussian distribution, this requires the covariance matrix to be consistent with the structure of the DAG. Our key idea is to apply multivariate linear regression, using the discrete variables as potential covariates to adjust the mean vector of the multivariate Gaussian distribution. Each continuous variable is associated with its own regression model and discrete parent set. Since the values of the discrete variables vary across observations, the mean vector becomes observation-specific.</div><div>This enables mean-adjustment of the continuous variables for their discrete parents while simultaneously inferring a Gaussian Bayesian network among them. In simulation studies, we compare our new model against two state-of-the-art hybrid Bayesian network models and demonstrate that both existing models have conceptual shortcomings, positioning our new hybrid Bayesian network model as a strong alternative.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13842,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Approximate Reasoning","volume":"187 ","pages":"Article 109549"},"PeriodicalIF":3.0000,"publicationDate":"2025-08-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Being Bayesian about learning Bayesian networks from hybrid data\",\"authors\":\"Marco Grzegorczyk\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.ijar.2025.109549\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>We develop a new Bayesian model to infer the structure of Bayesian networks from hybrid data, that is, data containing a mix of continuous (Gaussian) and discrete (categorical) variables. In line with state-of-the-art hybrid Bayesian network models, we do not allow discrete variables to have continuous parents. However, our new model differs from existing approaches by incorporating discrete variables through multivariate linear regression rather than mixture modeling. In our model, the continuous variables follow a multivariate Gaussian distribution with a shared covariance matrix, while the mean vector varies across different configurations.</div><div>As with all Bayesian network models, we use directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) to represent conditional dependency relations among the continuous variables. For our Gaussian distribution, this requires the covariance matrix to be consistent with the structure of the DAG. Our key idea is to apply multivariate linear regression, using the discrete variables as potential covariates to adjust the mean vector of the multivariate Gaussian distribution. Each continuous variable is associated with its own regression model and discrete parent set. Since the values of the discrete variables vary across observations, the mean vector becomes observation-specific.</div><div>This enables mean-adjustment of the continuous variables for their discrete parents while simultaneously inferring a Gaussian Bayesian network among them. In simulation studies, we compare our new model against two state-of-the-art hybrid Bayesian network models and demonstrate that both existing models have conceptual shortcomings, positioning our new hybrid Bayesian network model as a strong alternative.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":13842,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"International Journal of Approximate Reasoning\",\"volume\":\"187 \",\"pages\":\"Article 109549\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":3.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-08-20\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"International Journal of Approximate Reasoning\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"94\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0888613X25001902\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"计算机科学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"International Journal of Approximate Reasoning","FirstCategoryId":"94","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0888613X25001902","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"计算机科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
Being Bayesian about learning Bayesian networks from hybrid data
We develop a new Bayesian model to infer the structure of Bayesian networks from hybrid data, that is, data containing a mix of continuous (Gaussian) and discrete (categorical) variables. In line with state-of-the-art hybrid Bayesian network models, we do not allow discrete variables to have continuous parents. However, our new model differs from existing approaches by incorporating discrete variables through multivariate linear regression rather than mixture modeling. In our model, the continuous variables follow a multivariate Gaussian distribution with a shared covariance matrix, while the mean vector varies across different configurations.
As with all Bayesian network models, we use directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) to represent conditional dependency relations among the continuous variables. For our Gaussian distribution, this requires the covariance matrix to be consistent with the structure of the DAG. Our key idea is to apply multivariate linear regression, using the discrete variables as potential covariates to adjust the mean vector of the multivariate Gaussian distribution. Each continuous variable is associated with its own regression model and discrete parent set. Since the values of the discrete variables vary across observations, the mean vector becomes observation-specific.
This enables mean-adjustment of the continuous variables for their discrete parents while simultaneously inferring a Gaussian Bayesian network among them. In simulation studies, we compare our new model against two state-of-the-art hybrid Bayesian network models and demonstrate that both existing models have conceptual shortcomings, positioning our new hybrid Bayesian network model as a strong alternative.
期刊介绍:
The International Journal of Approximate Reasoning is intended to serve as a forum for the treatment of imprecision and uncertainty in Artificial and Computational Intelligence, covering both the foundations of uncertainty theories, and the design of intelligent systems for scientific and engineering applications. It publishes high-quality research papers describing theoretical developments or innovative applications, as well as review articles on topics of general interest.
Relevant topics include, but are not limited to, probabilistic reasoning and Bayesian networks, imprecise probabilities, random sets, belief functions (Dempster-Shafer theory), possibility theory, fuzzy sets, rough sets, decision theory, non-additive measures and integrals, qualitative reasoning about uncertainty, comparative probability orderings, game-theoretic probability, default reasoning, nonstandard logics, argumentation systems, inconsistency tolerant reasoning, elicitation techniques, philosophical foundations and psychological models of uncertain reasoning.
Domains of application for uncertain reasoning systems include risk analysis and assessment, information retrieval and database design, information fusion, machine learning, data and web mining, computer vision, image and signal processing, intelligent data analysis, statistics, multi-agent systems, etc.