{"title":"加拿大《大麻法》对魁省与毒品和酒精有关的碰撞的影响：对五个主要城市的中断时间序列分析。","authors":"José Ignacio Nazif-Munoz, Marie Claude Ouimet","doi":"10.1080/15389588.2025.2537145","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>This study examines the impact of non-medical cannabis laws (NMCLs) on road safety outcomes, specifically focusing on drug- and alcohol-related traffic crashes. Using cannabis sales data as a proxy for consumption trends, the study aims to assess how changes in cannabis availability may influence road safety outcomes, particularly exploring the potential for drugs and alcohol to have distinct yet related influences on impaired driving.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>An interrupted time-series design was used to assess the impact of NMCLs on daily drug- and alcohol-related traffic crashes, including fatalities and severe injuries (KSI). The analysis covered five cities in the province of Québec-Montréal, Québec, Laval, Longueuil, and Sherbrooke-using data from January 1, 2015; to December 31, 2022. The dependent variables included KSI, drug-related crashes, and alcohol-related crashes, while the independent variables were daily cannabis legal sales (kg) and total legal and estimated illegal cannabis sales. Control variables accounted for temperature, time trends, and the COVID-19 non-pharmaceutical interventions' index for the province of Québec (QCnPI-Index). To estimate effects, we applied Generalized Linear Models using Negative binomial regression, followed by a random-effects meta-analysis to assess overall effects across cities.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Higher total cannabis sales were significantly associated with a 12% increase in drug-related crashes (IRR: 1.12; 95% CI: 1.01-1.27) and a 12% rise in alcohol-related crashes (IRR: 1.12; 95% CI: 1.06-1.18) across all cities combined. In Montréal, cannabis sales were linked to an 87% increase in drug-related crashes (IRR: 1.87; 95% CI: 1.54-2.28) and a 93% increase in alcohol-related crashes (IRR: 1.93; 95% CI: 1.58-2.36). In Longueuil, drug-related crashes rose by 76% (IRR: 1.76; 95% CI: 1.02-3.02) and alcohol-related crashes by 43% (IRR: 1.43; 95% CI: 1.08-1.92). Québec City only showed a 44% increase in alcohol-related crashes (IRR: 1.44; 95% CI: 1.28-1.64). No significant associations were found in Laval or Sherbrooke.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>The findings suggest that increased cannabis availability, as measured by cannabis sales, is associated with higher rates of both drug- and alcohol-related crashes, particularly in Montréal and Longueuil. These results support the hypothesis that changes in cannabis availability may influence two distinct impaired driving patterns, highlighting the need for region-specific road safety interventions.</p>","PeriodicalId":54422,"journal":{"name":"Traffic Injury Prevention","volume":" ","pages":"1-9"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9000,"publicationDate":"2025-08-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Impact of Canada's Cannabis Act on drug- and alcohol-related collisions in Québec: an interrupted time-series analysis of five major cities.\",\"authors\":\"José Ignacio Nazif-Munoz, Marie Claude Ouimet\",\"doi\":\"10.1080/15389588.2025.2537145\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>This study examines the impact of non-medical cannabis laws (NMCLs) on road safety outcomes, specifically focusing on drug- and alcohol-related traffic crashes. Using cannabis sales data as a proxy for consumption trends, the study aims to assess how changes in cannabis availability may influence road safety outcomes, particularly exploring the potential for drugs and alcohol to have distinct yet related influences on impaired driving.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>An interrupted time-series design was used to assess the impact of NMCLs on daily drug- and alcohol-related traffic crashes, including fatalities and severe injuries (KSI). The analysis covered five cities in the province of Québec-Montréal, Québec, Laval, Longueuil, and Sherbrooke-using data from January 1, 2015; to December 31, 2022. The dependent variables included KSI, drug-related crashes, and alcohol-related crashes, while the independent variables were daily cannabis legal sales (kg) and total legal and estimated illegal cannabis sales. Control variables accounted for temperature, time trends, and the COVID-19 non-pharmaceutical interventions' index for the province of Québec (QCnPI-Index). To estimate effects, we applied Generalized Linear Models using Negative binomial regression, followed by a random-effects meta-analysis to assess overall effects across cities.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Higher total cannabis sales were significantly associated with a 12% increase in drug-related crashes (IRR: 1.12; 95% CI: 1.01-1.27) and a 12% rise in alcohol-related crashes (IRR: 1.12; 95% CI: 1.06-1.18) across all cities combined. In Montréal, cannabis sales were linked to an 87% increase in drug-related crashes (IRR: 1.87; 95% CI: 1.54-2.28) and a 93% increase in alcohol-related crashes (IRR: 1.93; 95% CI: 1.58-2.36). In Longueuil, drug-related crashes rose by 76% (IRR: 1.76; 95% CI: 1.02-3.02) and alcohol-related crashes by 43% (IRR: 1.43; 95% CI: 1.08-1.92). Québec City only showed a 44% increase in alcohol-related crashes (IRR: 1.44; 95% CI: 1.28-1.64). No significant associations were found in Laval or Sherbrooke.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>The findings suggest that increased cannabis availability, as measured by cannabis sales, is associated with higher rates of both drug- and alcohol-related crashes, particularly in Montréal and Longueuil. These results support the hypothesis that changes in cannabis availability may influence two distinct impaired driving patterns, highlighting the need for region-specific road safety interventions.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":54422,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Traffic Injury Prevention\",\"volume\":\" \",\"pages\":\"1-9\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.9000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-08-19\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Traffic Injury Prevention\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"3\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1080/15389588.2025.2537145\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"工程技术\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Traffic Injury Prevention","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1080/15389588.2025.2537145","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH","Score":null,"Total":0}
Impact of Canada's Cannabis Act on drug- and alcohol-related collisions in Québec: an interrupted time-series analysis of five major cities.
Objective: This study examines the impact of non-medical cannabis laws (NMCLs) on road safety outcomes, specifically focusing on drug- and alcohol-related traffic crashes. Using cannabis sales data as a proxy for consumption trends, the study aims to assess how changes in cannabis availability may influence road safety outcomes, particularly exploring the potential for drugs and alcohol to have distinct yet related influences on impaired driving.
Methods: An interrupted time-series design was used to assess the impact of NMCLs on daily drug- and alcohol-related traffic crashes, including fatalities and severe injuries (KSI). The analysis covered five cities in the province of Québec-Montréal, Québec, Laval, Longueuil, and Sherbrooke-using data from January 1, 2015; to December 31, 2022. The dependent variables included KSI, drug-related crashes, and alcohol-related crashes, while the independent variables were daily cannabis legal sales (kg) and total legal and estimated illegal cannabis sales. Control variables accounted for temperature, time trends, and the COVID-19 non-pharmaceutical interventions' index for the province of Québec (QCnPI-Index). To estimate effects, we applied Generalized Linear Models using Negative binomial regression, followed by a random-effects meta-analysis to assess overall effects across cities.
Results: Higher total cannabis sales were significantly associated with a 12% increase in drug-related crashes (IRR: 1.12; 95% CI: 1.01-1.27) and a 12% rise in alcohol-related crashes (IRR: 1.12; 95% CI: 1.06-1.18) across all cities combined. In Montréal, cannabis sales were linked to an 87% increase in drug-related crashes (IRR: 1.87; 95% CI: 1.54-2.28) and a 93% increase in alcohol-related crashes (IRR: 1.93; 95% CI: 1.58-2.36). In Longueuil, drug-related crashes rose by 76% (IRR: 1.76; 95% CI: 1.02-3.02) and alcohol-related crashes by 43% (IRR: 1.43; 95% CI: 1.08-1.92). Québec City only showed a 44% increase in alcohol-related crashes (IRR: 1.44; 95% CI: 1.28-1.64). No significant associations were found in Laval or Sherbrooke.
Conclusion: The findings suggest that increased cannabis availability, as measured by cannabis sales, is associated with higher rates of both drug- and alcohol-related crashes, particularly in Montréal and Longueuil. These results support the hypothesis that changes in cannabis availability may influence two distinct impaired driving patterns, highlighting the need for region-specific road safety interventions.
期刊介绍：
The purpose of Traffic Injury Prevention is to bridge the disciplines of medicine, engineering, public health and traffic safety in order to foster the science of traffic injury prevention. The archival journal focuses on research, interventions and evaluations within the areas of traffic safety, crash causation, injury prevention and treatment.
General topics within the journal''s scope are driver behavior, road infrastructure, emerging crash avoidance technologies, crash and injury epidemiology, alcohol and drugs, impact injury biomechanics, vehicle crashworthiness, occupant restraints, pedestrian safety, evaluation of interventions, economic consequences and emergency and clinical care with specific application to traffic injury prevention. The journal includes full length papers, review articles, case studies, brief technical notes and commentaries.
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