比特币的涨跌是如何改变你的下注方式的

IF 1.8 4区经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS

Economics Letters Pub Date : 2025-08-19 DOI:10.1016/j.econlet.2025.112564

Barna Bakó, Máté Csaba Sándor

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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们研究了基于区块链的LuckyBit平台上比特币价格波动与赌博行为之间的关系。利用四年的交易数据，我们分析了比特币的汇率、价格变动和波动性如何影响关键的赌博指标，包括下注规模、赌博频率和风险偏好。采用回归模型和聚类技术，我们确定了不同赌徒群体之间不同的行为反应。我们的研究结果显示，较高的比特币价格水平与风险承担增加有关，但赌博频率减少，而较高的每周价格波动导致所有玩家群体的平均下注规模显着减少。这些结果表明，赌徒将比特币的价格走势视为心理参考点，以类似于传统金融决策的方式影响他们的投注决策。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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How Bitcoin’s ups and downs are changing the way you bet

We investigate the relationship between Bitcoin price fluctuations and gambling behavior on the blockchain-based LuckyBit platform. Using transaction data spanning four years, we analyze how Bitcoin’s exchange rate, price movements and volatility impact key gambling metrics, including bet size, gambling frequency, and risk appetite. Employing regression models and clustering techniques, we identify distinct behavioral responses among different gambler cohorts. Our findings reveal that higher Bitcoin price levels are associated with increased risk-taking but reduced gambling frequency, whereas higher weekly price volatility leads to a significant reduction in average bet sizes across all player groups. These results suggest that gamblers perceive Bitcoin’s price movements as a psychological reference point, influencing their betting decisions in a manner similar to traditional financial decision-making.

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来源期刊

Economics Letters ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

3.20

自引率

5.00%

发文量

348

审稿时长

30 days

期刊介绍： Many economists today are concerned by the proliferation of journals and the concomitant labyrinth of research to be conquered in order to reach the specific information they require. To combat this tendency, Economics Letters has been conceived and designed outside the realm of the traditional economics journal. As a Letters Journal, it consists of concise communications (letters) that provide a means of rapid and efficient dissemination of new results, models and methods in all fields of economic research.