传染病和内源性循环:封锁一举两得

IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS
David Desmarchelier, Magali Jaoul-Grammare, Guillaume Morel, Thi K. C. Pham
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文建立了一个考虑传染病的竞争Ramsey-Cass-Koopmans框架。封锁是为了控制疾病的传播。考虑到动力学,当感染者的份额足够增加到消费的边际效用时,通过Hopf分岔,在地方性稳态附近可以出现稳定的极限环。特别地,我们证明了可以调整锁定以同时获得极限环消失和疾病根除(Bogdanov-Takens分岔)。从这个意义上说,封锁是一箭双雕。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Infectious disease and endogenous cycles: Lockdown hits two birds with one stone

This paper develops a competitive Ramsey–Cass–Koopmans framework in which an infectious disease is considered. A lockdown is introduced to control the disease spread. Considering the dynamics, a stable limit cycle can emerge near the endemic steady-state, through a Hopf bifurcation, when the share of infectives increases sufficiently the marginal utility of consumption. Particularly, we prove that it is possible to tune the lockdown to simultaneously obtain the limit cycle disappearance and the disease eradication (Bogdanov–Takens bifurcation). In this sense, the lockdown allows hitting two birds with one stone.

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