{"title":"产业政策的贸易效应:优惠协定是一种保护吗?","authors":"Alessandro Barattieri , Aaditya Mattoo , Daria Taglioni","doi":"10.1016/j.jpolmod.2025.06.015","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper explores the trade effects of industrial policy (IP), focusing on the role of preferential trade agreements (PTAs). The analysis uses data on product-level bilateral trade, industrial policy announcements, and rules on subsidies in different PTAs. The introduction of a new IP measure in a destination market reduces export growth to that market by about 0.28 percent. However, exports from fellow members of PTAs are not adversely affected and may be positively affected if the agreements have deep disciplines on subsidies. These findings suggest that PTAs have a shielding effect against the trade distorting effects of industrial policies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48015,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Policy Modeling","volume":"47 4","pages":"Pages 830-841"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1000,"publicationDate":"2025-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Trade effects of industrial policies: Are preferential agreements a shield?\",\"authors\":\"Alessandro Barattieri , Aaditya Mattoo , Daria Taglioni\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.jpolmod.2025.06.015\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>This paper explores the trade effects of industrial policy (IP), focusing on the role of preferential trade agreements (PTAs). The analysis uses data on product-level bilateral trade, industrial policy announcements, and rules on subsidies in different PTAs. The introduction of a new IP measure in a destination market reduces export growth to that market by about 0.28 percent. However, exports from fellow members of PTAs are not adversely affected and may be positively affected if the agreements have deep disciplines on subsidies. These findings suggest that PTAs have a shielding effect against the trade distorting effects of industrial policies.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":48015,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Policy Modeling\",\"volume\":\"47 4\",\"pages\":\"Pages 830-841\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":3.1000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-07-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Policy Modeling\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0161893825000651\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Policy Modeling","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0161893825000651","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Trade effects of industrial policies: Are preferential agreements a shield?
This paper explores the trade effects of industrial policy (IP), focusing on the role of preferential trade agreements (PTAs). The analysis uses data on product-level bilateral trade, industrial policy announcements, and rules on subsidies in different PTAs. The introduction of a new IP measure in a destination market reduces export growth to that market by about 0.28 percent. However, exports from fellow members of PTAs are not adversely affected and may be positively affected if the agreements have deep disciplines on subsidies. These findings suggest that PTAs have a shielding effect against the trade distorting effects of industrial policies.
期刊介绍:
The Journal of Policy Modeling is published by Elsevier for the Society for Policy Modeling to provide a forum for analysis and debate concerning international policy issues. The journal addresses questions of critical import to the world community as a whole, and it focuses upon the economic, social, and political interdependencies between national and regional systems. This implies concern with international policies for the promotion of a better life for all human beings and, therefore, concentrates on improved methodological underpinnings for dealing with these problems.