{"title":"CEO任期和战略时间范围:探索决策轨迹","authors":"Maximilian Weis","doi":"10.1016/j.jbusres.2025.115649","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper examines how a CEO’s strategic time horizon—the temporal distance considered when making strategic decisions—evolves across their tenure. While upper echelons research links CEO cognition to firm outcomes, it often overlooks shifts occurring throughout a CEO’s tenure. Drawing on tenure-based models and cognitive psychology, the study theorizes an inverted U-shaped relationship: early-tenure CEOs focus on short-term goals to build credibility, mid-tenure CEOs adopt long-term perspectives as power grows, and late-tenure CEOs return to short-term priorities due to legacy concerns. The study also explores differences between insider and outsider CEOs, proposing that outsider CEOs maintain shorter time horizons throughout. Using growth modeling on data from 1,034 S&P 900 CEOs between 2004 and 2022, the findings support the hypothesized trajectory and moderation effect. The study contributes to upper echelons theory, CEO tenure research, and behavioral strategy by highlighting the dynamic and context-dependent nature of CEO temporal decision-making.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":15123,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Business Research","volume":"200 ","pages":"Article 115649"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8000,"publicationDate":"2025-08-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"CEO tenure and strategic time horizons: Exploring the trajectory of decision-making\",\"authors\":\"Maximilian Weis\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.jbusres.2025.115649\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>This paper examines how a CEO’s strategic time horizon—the temporal distance considered when making strategic decisions—evolves across their tenure. While upper echelons research links CEO cognition to firm outcomes, it often overlooks shifts occurring throughout a CEO’s tenure. Drawing on tenure-based models and cognitive psychology, the study theorizes an inverted U-shaped relationship: early-tenure CEOs focus on short-term goals to build credibility, mid-tenure CEOs adopt long-term perspectives as power grows, and late-tenure CEOs return to short-term priorities due to legacy concerns. The study also explores differences between insider and outsider CEOs, proposing that outsider CEOs maintain shorter time horizons throughout. Using growth modeling on data from 1,034 S&P 900 CEOs between 2004 and 2022, the findings support the hypothesized trajectory and moderation effect. The study contributes to upper echelons theory, CEO tenure research, and behavioral strategy by highlighting the dynamic and context-dependent nature of CEO temporal decision-making.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":15123,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Business Research\",\"volume\":\"200 \",\"pages\":\"Article 115649\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":9.8000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-08-15\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Business Research\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"91\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0148296325004722\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"管理学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"BUSINESS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Business Research","FirstCategoryId":"91","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0148296325004722","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"BUSINESS","Score":null,"Total":0}
CEO tenure and strategic time horizons: Exploring the trajectory of decision-making
This paper examines how a CEO’s strategic time horizon—the temporal distance considered when making strategic decisions—evolves across their tenure. While upper echelons research links CEO cognition to firm outcomes, it often overlooks shifts occurring throughout a CEO’s tenure. Drawing on tenure-based models and cognitive psychology, the study theorizes an inverted U-shaped relationship: early-tenure CEOs focus on short-term goals to build credibility, mid-tenure CEOs adopt long-term perspectives as power grows, and late-tenure CEOs return to short-term priorities due to legacy concerns. The study also explores differences between insider and outsider CEOs, proposing that outsider CEOs maintain shorter time horizons throughout. Using growth modeling on data from 1,034 S&P 900 CEOs between 2004 and 2022, the findings support the hypothesized trajectory and moderation effect. The study contributes to upper echelons theory, CEO tenure research, and behavioral strategy by highlighting the dynamic and context-dependent nature of CEO temporal decision-making.
期刊介绍:
The Journal of Business Research aims to publish research that is rigorous, relevant, and potentially impactful. It examines a wide variety of business decision contexts, processes, and activities, developing insights that are meaningful for theory, practice, and/or society at large. The research is intended to generate meaningful debates in academia and practice, that are thought provoking and have the potential to make a difference to conceptual thinking and/or practice. The Journal is published for a broad range of stakeholders, including scholars, researchers, executives, and policy makers. It aids the application of its research to practical situations and theoretical findings to the reality of the business world as well as to society. The Journal is abstracted and indexed in several databases, including Social Sciences Citation Index, ANBAR, Current Contents, Management Contents, Management Literature in Brief, PsycINFO, Information Service, RePEc, Academic Journal Guide, ABI/Inform, INSPEC, etc.