Claudia Cristina Gonçalves Pastorello, Caroline Dos Santos Costa, Rafael Moreira Claro, Maria Laura da Costa Louzada
{"title":"2006年至2021年间巴西成年人肥胖增长率的变化趋势。","authors":"Claudia Cristina Gonçalves Pastorello, Caroline Dos Santos Costa, Rafael Moreira Claro, Maria Laura da Costa Louzada","doi":"10.1590/1413-81232025307.19882023","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The aim of this article is to analyze and quantify changes in acceleration and/or deceleration in temporal trends in the prevalence of overweight and obesity in adults in Brazilian capitals and the Federal District between 2006 and 2021. Using data from Risk and Protective Factors Surveillance System for Chronic Diseases by Telephone Interviews (Vigitel), joinpoint regression analyses were performed to identify potential inflection points in trends and to estimate the annual percentage change (VPA) of overweight and obesity prevalence. Obesity prevalence increased from 11.9% in 2006 to 22.4% in 2021, and that of overweight from 37.3% in 2006 to 58.8% in 2021. The increase in obesity suggests an annual growth rate of 5.8% (95%CI 4.7; 7.0) in the period from 2006 to 2012, and after that, a slower annual rate of 2.7% (95%CI 2.1; 3.3) between 2012 and 2021. The same trend pattern occurs for overweight prevalence, which grew by 2.9% (95%CI 2.7; 3.2) from 2006 to 2013, and by 1.3% (95%CI 1.1; 1.5) from 2013 to 2021. Reductions in the growth rates were more intense for women with less than 8 years of schooling. The results indicate a likely deceleration in the growth rates of the prevalence of overweight and obesity from 2012/2013 among Brazilian adults.</p>","PeriodicalId":10195,"journal":{"name":"Ciencia & saude coletiva","volume":"30 7","pages":"e19882023"},"PeriodicalIF":1.2000,"publicationDate":"2025-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Shifting trends in obesity growth rates in Brazilian adults between 2006 and 2021.\",\"authors\":\"Claudia Cristina Gonçalves Pastorello, Caroline Dos Santos Costa, Rafael Moreira Claro, Maria Laura da Costa Louzada\",\"doi\":\"10.1590/1413-81232025307.19882023\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><p>The aim of this article is to analyze and quantify changes in acceleration and/or deceleration in temporal trends in the prevalence of overweight and obesity in adults in Brazilian capitals and the Federal District between 2006 and 2021. Using data from Risk and Protective Factors Surveillance System for Chronic Diseases by Telephone Interviews (Vigitel), joinpoint regression analyses were performed to identify potential inflection points in trends and to estimate the annual percentage change (VPA) of overweight and obesity prevalence. Obesity prevalence increased from 11.9% in 2006 to 22.4% in 2021, and that of overweight from 37.3% in 2006 to 58.8% in 2021. The increase in obesity suggests an annual growth rate of 5.8% (95%CI 4.7; 7.0) in the period from 2006 to 2012, and after that, a slower annual rate of 2.7% (95%CI 2.1; 3.3) between 2012 and 2021. The same trend pattern occurs for overweight prevalence, which grew by 2.9% (95%CI 2.7; 3.2) from 2006 to 2013, and by 1.3% (95%CI 1.1; 1.5) from 2013 to 2021. Reductions in the growth rates were more intense for women with less than 8 years of schooling. The results indicate a likely deceleration in the growth rates of the prevalence of overweight and obesity from 2012/2013 among Brazilian adults.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":10195,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Ciencia & saude coletiva\",\"volume\":\"30 7\",\"pages\":\"e19882023\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.2000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-07-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Ciencia & saude coletiva\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"3\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1590/1413-81232025307.19882023\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"医学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"2024/6/27 0:00:00\",\"PubModel\":\"Epub\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Ciencia & saude coletiva","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1590/1413-81232025307.19882023","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2024/6/27 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH","Score":null,"Total":0}
Shifting trends in obesity growth rates in Brazilian adults between 2006 and 2021.
The aim of this article is to analyze and quantify changes in acceleration and/or deceleration in temporal trends in the prevalence of overweight and obesity in adults in Brazilian capitals and the Federal District between 2006 and 2021. Using data from Risk and Protective Factors Surveillance System for Chronic Diseases by Telephone Interviews (Vigitel), joinpoint regression analyses were performed to identify potential inflection points in trends and to estimate the annual percentage change (VPA) of overweight and obesity prevalence. Obesity prevalence increased from 11.9% in 2006 to 22.4% in 2021, and that of overweight from 37.3% in 2006 to 58.8% in 2021. The increase in obesity suggests an annual growth rate of 5.8% (95%CI 4.7; 7.0) in the period from 2006 to 2012, and after that, a slower annual rate of 2.7% (95%CI 2.1; 3.3) between 2012 and 2021. The same trend pattern occurs for overweight prevalence, which grew by 2.9% (95%CI 2.7; 3.2) from 2006 to 2013, and by 1.3% (95%CI 1.1; 1.5) from 2013 to 2021. Reductions in the growth rates were more intense for women with less than 8 years of schooling. The results indicate a likely deceleration in the growth rates of the prevalence of overweight and obesity from 2012/2013 among Brazilian adults.
期刊介绍:
Ciência & Saúde Coletiva publishes debates, analyses, and results of research on a Specific Theme considered current and relevant to the field of Collective Health. Its abbreviated title is Ciênc. saúde coletiva, which should be used in bibliographies, footnotes and bibliographical references and strips.