2006年至2021年间巴西成年人肥胖增长率的变化趋势。

IF 1.2 4区 医学 Q4 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH
Ciencia & saude coletiva Pub Date : 2025-07-01 Epub Date: 2024-06-27 DOI:10.1590/1413-81232025307.19882023
Claudia Cristina Gonçalves Pastorello, Caroline Dos Santos Costa, Rafael Moreira Claro, Maria Laura da Costa Louzada
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文的目的是分析和量化2006年至2021年间巴西首都和联邦区成年人超重和肥胖患病率的加速和/或减速时间趋势的变化。利用电话访谈慢性病风险和保护因素监测系统(Vigitel)的数据,进行联点回归分析,以确定趋势中的潜在拐点,并估计超重和肥胖患病率的年百分比变化(VPA)。肥胖患病率从2006年的11.9%增加到2021年的22.4%,超重患病率从2006年的37.3%增加到2021年的58.8%。肥胖的增加表明年增长率为5.8%(95%可信区间4.7;7.0),之后,年增长率放缓至2.7% (95%CI 2.1;3.3) 2012年至2021年。超重患病率也出现了同样的趋势模式,增加了2.9%(95%可信区间为2.7;3.2),从2006年到2013年下降1.3% (95%CI 1.1;1.5)从2013年到2021年。对于受教育时间少于8年的女性来说,增长率的下降更为明显。研究结果表明,从2012/2013年起,巴西成年人超重和肥胖患病率的增长率可能有所下降。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Shifting trends in obesity growth rates in Brazilian adults between 2006 and 2021.

The aim of this article is to analyze and quantify changes in acceleration and/or deceleration in temporal trends in the prevalence of overweight and obesity in adults in Brazilian capitals and the Federal District between 2006 and 2021. Using data from Risk and Protective Factors Surveillance System for Chronic Diseases by Telephone Interviews (Vigitel), joinpoint regression analyses were performed to identify potential inflection points in trends and to estimate the annual percentage change (VPA) of overweight and obesity prevalence. Obesity prevalence increased from 11.9% in 2006 to 22.4% in 2021, and that of overweight from 37.3% in 2006 to 58.8% in 2021. The increase in obesity suggests an annual growth rate of 5.8% (95%CI 4.7; 7.0) in the period from 2006 to 2012, and after that, a slower annual rate of 2.7% (95%CI 2.1; 3.3) between 2012 and 2021. The same trend pattern occurs for overweight prevalence, which grew by 2.9% (95%CI 2.7; 3.2) from 2006 to 2013, and by 1.3% (95%CI 1.1; 1.5) from 2013 to 2021. Reductions in the growth rates were more intense for women with less than 8 years of schooling. The results indicate a likely deceleration in the growth rates of the prevalence of overweight and obesity from 2012/2013 among Brazilian adults.

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来源期刊
Ciencia & saude coletiva
Ciencia & saude coletiva PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH-
CiteScore
3.60
自引率
11.80%
发文量
533
审稿时长
12 weeks
期刊介绍: Ciência & Saúde Coletiva publishes debates, analyses, and results of research on a Specific Theme considered current and relevant to the field of Collective Health. Its abbreviated title is Ciênc. saúde coletiva, which should be used in bibliographies, footnotes and bibliographical references and strips.
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