{"title":"命运vs选择","authors":"David B. LaFrance","doi":"10.1002/awwa.2495","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>Growing up in New England, there was a lot of water around. Going to college in Oregon, there were big, super-wide, deep rivers running through cities. Having lived most of my adult life in Colorado, there are, according to Zebulon Pike in Patty Limerick's 2012 <i>A Ditch in Time</i>, “sparsely flowing streams and rivers.”</p><p>Zebulon was a soldier and an explorer. In 1803, at the age of 27, he was living in St. Louis, Mo., when he was sent by President Thomas Jefferson to explore the western boundaries of the recently acquired expanse known as the Louisiana Purchase.</p><p>When Zebulon got to the foothills of what would later become Colorado, he not only belittled the limited flows of our streams but also professed that there was “no hope for an American Settlement” in this area. With these insights, he declared the fate of the “western front” would be the western borders of the Mississippi and Missouri Rivers—because “the prairies were incapable of cultivation for the new world.”</p><p>Despite this wisdom, and with time, others made a different choice. About 50 years later, gold was discovered in the “sparse” rivers flowing into the area known as Denver, and in 1859 the prospect of gold drew 100,000 people there.</p><p>As fate would have it, two events in 1881 would forever change water. The first was the creation of the American Water Works Association, which, interestingly, happened in St. Louis—the same place Zebulon started his 1803 western exploration. The second 1881 event: Denver became the capital city of Colorado (which became the 38th state in 1876—thus its nickname, the “Centennial State”).</p><p>You may be asking yourself, Why is Denver's becoming the capital of Colorado something that forever changed water? The simple answer: Denver is where AWWA is headquartered. Zebulon went from St. Louis to Denver, and so did AWWA. Was it fate or choice that created these parallel journeys?</p><p>There is at least one other fate-versus-choice water consideration related to these historical events. Like all cities, Denver would not exist without water—remember, the Colorado streams <i>sparsely flowed</i>. Take it from me—it was not fate but rather a series of choices about how to capture, clean, distribute, conserve, and reuse water that has allowed Denver to prosper. It could be fate, however, that brought AWWA to locate its headquarters in 1974 on land that was owned by Denver Water.</p><p>Personally, I am not a believer in fate. I don’t think too many water professionals are. It is hard to be in a profession where everyone everywhere depends on you, and people like you, to make the right choices about their water. Imagine a water professional waking up and saying, “Heck—I think I will just leave things to fate today.” That idea is funny only in that it is absurd; fate does not provide safe water.</p><p>The importance of choice, not fate, in shaping the future of water is obvious. That is why AWWA's Water 2050 initiative is so important. Think of two kayakers on the same river. One paddles through the rapids, making wise choices about the current, and eventually rests in a calm destination on the river. The other kayaker floats and allows the current to take them downstream, with the idea that any destination will be fine. Personally, I would want to be the first kayaker—paddling to the destination that I want. The second kayaker, on the other hand, is waiting for the future to come to them—and that future might be a waterfall.</p><p>It seems clear to me that waiting for the future to come to you (i.e., leaving the future to fate) is a bad strategy—in fact, it is not a strategy at all. Charting a path to the future you want requires a series of choices that, together, result in a strategy and increase the likelihood of a better outcome. It is this type of vision that launched Water 2050.</p><p>Decades from now, someone may reflect on the history we lived, and they may see connections that appear to be the results of fate—just as I have illustrated in the first part of this column. But we will know that (as John Connor said in the movie <i>Terminator 2</i>) “there is no fate but what we make.” You can learn more about the Water 2050 program on AWWA's website, awwa.org. We’d be happy to have you “paddle” with us.</p><p>One last factoid: Colorado has 58 mountains that rise above 14,000 feet in elevation. One of these mountains is named after Zebulon—Pike's Peak. When he first came to Colorado in 1803, he was enamored with the mountain and attempted to climb it, but he never reached the summit. I ask you—was it fate or choice?</p>","PeriodicalId":14785,"journal":{"name":"Journal ‐ American Water Works Association","volume":"117 7","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.4000,"publicationDate":"2025-08-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://awwa.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/awwa.2495","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Fate Versus Choice\",\"authors\":\"David B. LaFrance\",\"doi\":\"10.1002/awwa.2495\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>Growing up in New England, there was a lot of water around. Going to college in Oregon, there were big, super-wide, deep rivers running through cities. Having lived most of my adult life in Colorado, there are, according to Zebulon Pike in Patty Limerick's 2012 <i>A Ditch in Time</i>, “sparsely flowing streams and rivers.”</p><p>Zebulon was a soldier and an explorer. In 1803, at the age of 27, he was living in St. Louis, Mo., when he was sent by President Thomas Jefferson to explore the western boundaries of the recently acquired expanse known as the Louisiana Purchase.</p><p>When Zebulon got to the foothills of what would later become Colorado, he not only belittled the limited flows of our streams but also professed that there was “no hope for an American Settlement” in this area. With these insights, he declared the fate of the “western front” would be the western borders of the Mississippi and Missouri Rivers—because “the prairies were incapable of cultivation for the new world.”</p><p>Despite this wisdom, and with time, others made a different choice. About 50 years later, gold was discovered in the “sparse” rivers flowing into the area known as Denver, and in 1859 the prospect of gold drew 100,000 people there.</p><p>As fate would have it, two events in 1881 would forever change water. The first was the creation of the American Water Works Association, which, interestingly, happened in St. Louis—the same place Zebulon started his 1803 western exploration. The second 1881 event: Denver became the capital city of Colorado (which became the 38th state in 1876—thus its nickname, the “Centennial State”).</p><p>You may be asking yourself, Why is Denver's becoming the capital of Colorado something that forever changed water? The simple answer: Denver is where AWWA is headquartered. Zebulon went from St. Louis to Denver, and so did AWWA. Was it fate or choice that created these parallel journeys?</p><p>There is at least one other fate-versus-choice water consideration related to these historical events. Like all cities, Denver would not exist without water—remember, the Colorado streams <i>sparsely flowed</i>. Take it from me—it was not fate but rather a series of choices about how to capture, clean, distribute, conserve, and reuse water that has allowed Denver to prosper. It could be fate, however, that brought AWWA to locate its headquarters in 1974 on land that was owned by Denver Water.</p><p>Personally, I am not a believer in fate. I don’t think too many water professionals are. It is hard to be in a profession where everyone everywhere depends on you, and people like you, to make the right choices about their water. Imagine a water professional waking up and saying, “Heck—I think I will just leave things to fate today.” That idea is funny only in that it is absurd; fate does not provide safe water.</p><p>The importance of choice, not fate, in shaping the future of water is obvious. That is why AWWA's Water 2050 initiative is so important. Think of two kayakers on the same river. One paddles through the rapids, making wise choices about the current, and eventually rests in a calm destination on the river. The other kayaker floats and allows the current to take them downstream, with the idea that any destination will be fine. Personally, I would want to be the first kayaker—paddling to the destination that I want. The second kayaker, on the other hand, is waiting for the future to come to them—and that future might be a waterfall.</p><p>It seems clear to me that waiting for the future to come to you (i.e., leaving the future to fate) is a bad strategy—in fact, it is not a strategy at all. Charting a path to the future you want requires a series of choices that, together, result in a strategy and increase the likelihood of a better outcome. It is this type of vision that launched Water 2050.</p><p>Decades from now, someone may reflect on the history we lived, and they may see connections that appear to be the results of fate—just as I have illustrated in the first part of this column. But we will know that (as John Connor said in the movie <i>Terminator 2</i>) “there is no fate but what we make.” You can learn more about the Water 2050 program on AWWA's website, awwa.org. We’d be happy to have you “paddle” with us.</p><p>One last factoid: Colorado has 58 mountains that rise above 14,000 feet in elevation. One of these mountains is named after Zebulon—Pike's Peak. When he first came to Colorado in 1803, he was enamored with the mountain and attempted to climb it, but he never reached the summit. 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引用次数: 0
摘要
我在新英格兰长大,周围有很多水。在俄勒冈上大学的时候,有又大又宽又深的河流穿过城市。我成年后的大部分时间都在科罗拉多州度过,正如泽布伦·派克在帕蒂·利默里克(Patty Limerick) 2012年的《时光之沟》(A Ditch in Time)中所说,那里有“稀疏流动的小溪和河流”。西布伦是一名士兵和探险家。1803年,27岁的他住在密苏里州的圣路易斯,当时他被托马斯·杰斐逊(Thomas Jefferson)总统派去探索最近获得的大片土地的西部边界,这片土地被称为“路易斯安那购买地”。当西布伦到达后来成为科罗拉多州的山麓时,他不仅贬低了我们河流的有限流量,而且还宣称在这一地区“没有美国人定居的希望”。有了这些见解,他宣布“西部战线”的命运将是密西西比河和密苏里河的西部边界,因为“草原无法为新世界耕种。”尽管如此,随着时间的推移,其他人做出了不同的选择。大约50年后,在流入丹佛地区的“稀疏”河流中发现了黄金,1859年,金矿的前景吸引了10万人来到这里。命中注定,1881年发生的两件事永远地改变了水。首先是美国水务协会的成立,有趣的是,它发生在圣路易斯——西布伦1803年开始西部探险的地方。1881年的第二件大事:丹佛成为科罗拉多州的首府(科罗拉多州于1876年成为美国第38个州,因此别名“百年州”)。你可能会问自己,为什么丹佛成为科罗拉多州的首府永远改变了水?简单的答案是:丹佛是AWWA的总部所在地。西布伦从圣路易斯去了丹佛,AWWA也去了。是命运还是选择创造了这些平行的旅程?至少还有一个与这些历史事件有关的关于水的命运与选择的考虑。像所有的城市一样,没有水,丹佛将不复存在——别忘了,科罗拉多河的河流是稀疏的。听我说,这不是命运,而是一系列关于如何捕获、清洁、分配、保护和再利用水的选择,这些选择让丹佛繁荣起来。然而,可能是命运让AWWA在1974年将总部设在丹佛水务公司(Denver Water)拥有的土地上。就我个人而言,我不相信命运。我不认为很多水务专业人士是这样的。在这个行业里,每个地方的每个人都依赖于你,以及像你这样的人,对他们的水做出正确的选择,这是很难的。想象一下,一个水务专业人士醒来说:“见鬼,我想我今天只能听天由命了。”那个想法可笑之处在于它是荒谬的;命运不提供安全的水。在塑造水的未来方面,选择的重要性,而不是命运的重要性是显而易见的。这就是为什么AWWA的2050年水资源计划如此重要。想象两名皮划艇运动员在同一条河上。一个人划着桨穿过急流,对水流做出明智的选择,最终在河上一个平静的目的地休息。另一名皮划艇手漂浮在水面上,让水流把他们带到下游,他们认为任何目的地都没问题。就我个人而言,我想成为第一个划皮划艇到达我想要的目的地的人。另一方面,第二个皮划艇手正在等待未来的到来——这个未来可能是瀑布。在我看来,等待未来的到来(即,把未来交给命运)是一个糟糕的策略——事实上,它根本不是一个策略。规划一条通往你想要的未来的道路需要一系列的选择,这些选择共同形成一个战略,并增加获得更好结果的可能性。正是这种愿景推动了“水资源2050”计划的启动。几十年后,有人可能会反思我们生活的历史,他们可能会看到似乎是命运的结果的联系-正如我在本专栏的第一部分所说明的那样。但我们会知道(就像约翰·康纳在电影《终结者2》中说的那样)“没有命运,命运是我们自己创造的。”你可以在AWWA的网站awwa.org上了解更多关于2050年水资源计划的信息。我们很高兴你能和我们一起“划桨”。最后一个事实:科罗拉多州有58座海拔超过14000英尺的山脉。其中一座山是以西布伦派克峰命名的。当他1803年第一次来到科罗拉多州时,他被这座山迷住了,并试图攀登它,但他从未到达顶峰。我问你,这是命运还是选择?
Growing up in New England, there was a lot of water around. Going to college in Oregon, there were big, super-wide, deep rivers running through cities. Having lived most of my adult life in Colorado, there are, according to Zebulon Pike in Patty Limerick's 2012 A Ditch in Time, “sparsely flowing streams and rivers.”
Zebulon was a soldier and an explorer. In 1803, at the age of 27, he was living in St. Louis, Mo., when he was sent by President Thomas Jefferson to explore the western boundaries of the recently acquired expanse known as the Louisiana Purchase.
When Zebulon got to the foothills of what would later become Colorado, he not only belittled the limited flows of our streams but also professed that there was “no hope for an American Settlement” in this area. With these insights, he declared the fate of the “western front” would be the western borders of the Mississippi and Missouri Rivers—because “the prairies were incapable of cultivation for the new world.”
Despite this wisdom, and with time, others made a different choice. About 50 years later, gold was discovered in the “sparse” rivers flowing into the area known as Denver, and in 1859 the prospect of gold drew 100,000 people there.
As fate would have it, two events in 1881 would forever change water. The first was the creation of the American Water Works Association, which, interestingly, happened in St. Louis—the same place Zebulon started his 1803 western exploration. The second 1881 event: Denver became the capital city of Colorado (which became the 38th state in 1876—thus its nickname, the “Centennial State”).
You may be asking yourself, Why is Denver's becoming the capital of Colorado something that forever changed water? The simple answer: Denver is where AWWA is headquartered. Zebulon went from St. Louis to Denver, and so did AWWA. Was it fate or choice that created these parallel journeys?
There is at least one other fate-versus-choice water consideration related to these historical events. Like all cities, Denver would not exist without water—remember, the Colorado streams sparsely flowed. Take it from me—it was not fate but rather a series of choices about how to capture, clean, distribute, conserve, and reuse water that has allowed Denver to prosper. It could be fate, however, that brought AWWA to locate its headquarters in 1974 on land that was owned by Denver Water.
Personally, I am not a believer in fate. I don’t think too many water professionals are. It is hard to be in a profession where everyone everywhere depends on you, and people like you, to make the right choices about their water. Imagine a water professional waking up and saying, “Heck—I think I will just leave things to fate today.” That idea is funny only in that it is absurd; fate does not provide safe water.
The importance of choice, not fate, in shaping the future of water is obvious. That is why AWWA's Water 2050 initiative is so important. Think of two kayakers on the same river. One paddles through the rapids, making wise choices about the current, and eventually rests in a calm destination on the river. The other kayaker floats and allows the current to take them downstream, with the idea that any destination will be fine. Personally, I would want to be the first kayaker—paddling to the destination that I want. The second kayaker, on the other hand, is waiting for the future to come to them—and that future might be a waterfall.
It seems clear to me that waiting for the future to come to you (i.e., leaving the future to fate) is a bad strategy—in fact, it is not a strategy at all. Charting a path to the future you want requires a series of choices that, together, result in a strategy and increase the likelihood of a better outcome. It is this type of vision that launched Water 2050.
Decades from now, someone may reflect on the history we lived, and they may see connections that appear to be the results of fate—just as I have illustrated in the first part of this column. But we will know that (as John Connor said in the movie Terminator 2) “there is no fate but what we make.” You can learn more about the Water 2050 program on AWWA's website, awwa.org. We’d be happy to have you “paddle” with us.
One last factoid: Colorado has 58 mountains that rise above 14,000 feet in elevation. One of these mountains is named after Zebulon—Pike's Peak. When he first came to Colorado in 1803, he was enamored with the mountain and attempted to climb it, but he never reached the summit. I ask you—was it fate or choice?
期刊介绍:
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