Aquaculture isn’t always the answer: rethinking blue transitions through justice and community experience

Aquaculture interventions and policies are now fundamental in sustainability agendas, particularly in supporting small-scale fisheries and coastal communities. These policies often rely on the “blue transitions” theory of change, which posits that an expansion of aquaculture will aid in recovering declining fish stocks and enhancing livelihoods. However, the blue transitions theory is relatively new, leaving many aspects uncertain, especially regarding how transition stages unfold and impact communities as they are expected to transform livelihoods. Frequently, these policies adopt a top-down approach driven by political and corporate interests at global or national levels, emphasizing environmental and economic benefits while neglecting local social, cultural, and historical contexts. This study aims to identify gaps in current blue transition policies at the local level through two empirical case studies in Baja California Sur, Mexico. Additionally, it evaluates the suitability of existing frameworks for incorporating justice in food system transitions for seafood system transitions and provides insights for developing more equitable blue food policies. Using an exploratory mixed methods approach from 2021 to 2023, including ethnography, interviews, surveys, and focus groups, this research delves into the complexities of aquaculture policies for communities going through blue transitions. Findings indicate that these policies often prioritize economic development over social, cultural, and historical considerations, leading to injustices within communities. The case studies reveal impacts and challenges such as intra-community conflict, illegal fishing, and threats to food security and resilience, as well as benefits like momentary economic gains. Applying a framework for just food system transitions, we advocate for flexible, community-centric policies that recognize local heterogeneity and empower communities to shape their transitions, including deciding whether a transition is appropriate. This study underscores the limitations of viewing aquaculture as a panacea for small-scale fisheries’ challenges, emphasizing the need for holistic, multiscale management approaches. Contextualizing blue transitions within local realities and prioritizing food justice can promote just and equitable outcomes that address the nuanced needs of diverse coastal communities amidst global pressures.