英国脱欧对劳动力需求的实际影响:来自企业层面数据的证据

IF 4 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Hang Do , Kiet Tuan Duong , Luu Duc Toan Huynh , Nam T. Vu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

利用自2016年公投以来未改变其所在地的英国公司与爱尔兰边境的距离来隔离英国脱欧在公司层面的影响,我们发现,2020年实施英国脱欧导致受影响的公司相对于未受影响的公司平均削减高达15.7%的劳动力。这些受影响的公司也更有可能有较低的增长预期,更有可能增加他们的研发支出。此外,拥有事先的贸易敞口,无论是与欧盟还是与欧盟以外的国家,都有助于减轻英国脱欧的负面影响。这些结果突出了贸易风险敞口和预期渠道的作用,并支持了企业优先考虑创新以应对英国退欧的假设。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Real effects of Brexit on labor demand: Evidence from firm-level data
Using the distance to the Irish border of UK firms that have not changed their location since the 2016 Referendum to isolate the effects of Brexit at the firm level, we find that Brexit implementation in 2020 caused exposed firms to cut their workforce by up to 15.7% on average relative to non-exposed firms. These exposed firms are also more likely to have lower growth expectations and more likely to increase their research and development (R&D) expenditure. In addition, having ex-ante trade exposure, either with or outside the EU, can help alleviate such negative effects of Brexit. Such results highlight the role of trade exposure and the expectation channel, and support the hypothesis that firms prioritize innovations in response to Brexit.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.80
自引率
6.10%
发文量
98
期刊介绍: The Journal of International Economics is intended to serve as the primary outlet for theoretical and empirical research in all areas of international economics. These include, but are not limited to the following: trade patterns, commercial policy; international institutions; exchange rates; open economy macroeconomics; international finance; international factor mobility. The Journal especially encourages the submission of articles which are empirical in nature, or deal with issues of open economy macroeconomics and international finance. Theoretical work submitted to the Journal should be original in its motivation or modelling structure. Empirical analysis should be based on a theoretical framework, and should be capable of replication.
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