2011年至2021年加泰罗尼亚山区事故严重程度:有序回归分析

IF 2 3区 医学 Q3 CRITICAL CARE MEDICINE
Albert Martínez , Angel Blanch , Carles Comas
{"title":"2011年至2021年加泰罗尼亚山区事故严重程度:有序回归分析","authors":"Albert Martínez ,&nbsp;Angel Blanch ,&nbsp;Carles Comas","doi":"10.1016/j.injury.2025.112672","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Mountain accidents have increased over the last decade all around the globe mostly due to a raise of mountain activity practitioners. Outcomes of accidents usually imply evacuation, traumatic injuries or even cardiovascular events. Sex, age, activity, altitude, experience, and equipment adequacy relate to accidents as direct causes or moderators of accident severity. This study focuses on the mountain accidents in Catalonia with descriptive and ordinal regression analysis aiming to characterize a victim vulnerability profile, which remains largely unexplored. The current sample includes 3257 mountain rescue operations from the Catalan Fire Department records between 2011 and 2021. Descriptive analysis showed that the most common profile was being hiker (63 %), climber (11.6 %), mountain biker (10.2 %), man (60.3 %), going in group (84.3 %), occurring in weekends (53.7 %), and suffering traumatic events (61.4 %) or needing technical support (20.4 %). Moreover, the main causes of fatality were falls and cardiovascular issues with the latter showing the higher fatality rate (55.5 %). Ordinal regression analysis explained a modest amount of variance (Nagelkerke R<sup>2</sup> = 0.12), suggesting that predictors of higher severity were Group, Altitude, Male, Gathering, Mountain Biking and other practices such as Hunting. Recommendation to rescue teams comprise standardizing and potentiate data collection, conducting awareness campaigns targeted mainly to hikers, mountain bikers and elderly men, and to reinforce awareness campaigns and rescue teams during weekends.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54978,"journal":{"name":"Injury-International Journal of the Care of the Injured","volume":"56 10","pages":"Article 112672"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0000,"publicationDate":"2025-08-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Severity of mountain accidents in Catalonia over the period 2011 to 2021: An ordinal regression analysis\",\"authors\":\"Albert Martínez ,&nbsp;Angel Blanch ,&nbsp;Carles Comas\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.injury.2025.112672\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>Mountain accidents have increased over the last decade all around the globe mostly due to a raise of mountain activity practitioners. Outcomes of accidents usually imply evacuation, traumatic injuries or even cardiovascular events. Sex, age, activity, altitude, experience, and equipment adequacy relate to accidents as direct causes or moderators of accident severity. This study focuses on the mountain accidents in Catalonia with descriptive and ordinal regression analysis aiming to characterize a victim vulnerability profile, which remains largely unexplored. The current sample includes 3257 mountain rescue operations from the Catalan Fire Department records between 2011 and 2021. Descriptive analysis showed that the most common profile was being hiker (63 %), climber (11.6 %), mountain biker (10.2 %), man (60.3 %), going in group (84.3 %), occurring in weekends (53.7 %), and suffering traumatic events (61.4 %) or needing technical support (20.4 %). Moreover, the main causes of fatality were falls and cardiovascular issues with the latter showing the higher fatality rate (55.5 %). Ordinal regression analysis explained a modest amount of variance (Nagelkerke R<sup>2</sup> = 0.12), suggesting that predictors of higher severity were Group, Altitude, Male, Gathering, Mountain Biking and other practices such as Hunting. Recommendation to rescue teams comprise standardizing and potentiate data collection, conducting awareness campaigns targeted mainly to hikers, mountain bikers and elderly men, and to reinforce awareness campaigns and rescue teams during weekends.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":54978,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Injury-International Journal of the Care of the Injured\",\"volume\":\"56 10\",\"pages\":\"Article 112672\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-08-08\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Injury-International Journal of the Care of the Injured\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"3\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0020138325005327\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"医学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"CRITICAL CARE MEDICINE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Injury-International Journal of the Care of the Injured","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0020138325005327","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"CRITICAL CARE MEDICINE","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

在过去的十年里,全球各地的登山事故有所增加,这主要是由于登山活动从业者的增加。事故的结果通常意味着疏散、创伤性伤害甚至心血管事件。性别、年龄、活动、海拔、经验和设备是否充足与事故有关,是事故严重程度的直接原因或调节因素。本研究的重点是加泰罗尼亚的山区事故,采用描述性和有序回归分析,旨在描述受害者脆弱性概况,这在很大程度上仍未被探索。目前的样本包括2011年至2021年间加泰罗尼亚消防部门记录的3257次山地救援行动。描述性分析显示,最常见的特征是徒步旅行者(63%)、登山者(11.6%)、山地自行车手(10.2%)、男性(60.3%)、群体活动(84.3%)、周末活动(53.7%)、遭受创伤事件(61.4%)或需要技术支持(20.4%)。此外,死亡的主要原因是跌倒和心血管疾病,后者的死亡率较高(55.5%)。有序回归分析解释了适度的差异(Nagelkerke R2 = 0.12),表明较高严重程度的预测因子是群体、海拔、男性、采集、山地自行车和其他活动,如狩猎。对救援队的建议包括标准化和加强数据收集,开展主要针对徒步旅行者、山地自行车手和老年人的宣传活动,以及在周末加强宣传活动和救援队。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Severity of mountain accidents in Catalonia over the period 2011 to 2021: An ordinal regression analysis
Mountain accidents have increased over the last decade all around the globe mostly due to a raise of mountain activity practitioners. Outcomes of accidents usually imply evacuation, traumatic injuries or even cardiovascular events. Sex, age, activity, altitude, experience, and equipment adequacy relate to accidents as direct causes or moderators of accident severity. This study focuses on the mountain accidents in Catalonia with descriptive and ordinal regression analysis aiming to characterize a victim vulnerability profile, which remains largely unexplored. The current sample includes 3257 mountain rescue operations from the Catalan Fire Department records between 2011 and 2021. Descriptive analysis showed that the most common profile was being hiker (63 %), climber (11.6 %), mountain biker (10.2 %), man (60.3 %), going in group (84.3 %), occurring in weekends (53.7 %), and suffering traumatic events (61.4 %) or needing technical support (20.4 %). Moreover, the main causes of fatality were falls and cardiovascular issues with the latter showing the higher fatality rate (55.5 %). Ordinal regression analysis explained a modest amount of variance (Nagelkerke R2 = 0.12), suggesting that predictors of higher severity were Group, Altitude, Male, Gathering, Mountain Biking and other practices such as Hunting. Recommendation to rescue teams comprise standardizing and potentiate data collection, conducting awareness campaigns targeted mainly to hikers, mountain bikers and elderly men, and to reinforce awareness campaigns and rescue teams during weekends.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
CiteScore
4.00
自引率
8.00%
发文量
699
审稿时长
96 days
期刊介绍: Injury was founded in 1969 and is an international journal dealing with all aspects of trauma care and accident surgery. Our primary aim is to facilitate the exchange of ideas, techniques and information among all members of the trauma team.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:604180095
Book学术官方微信