{"title":"探索混合和透明水文建模的Kolmogorov-Arnold神经网络","authors":"Xin Jing, Xue Yang, Jungang Luo, Ganggang Zuo","doi":"10.1016/j.envsoft.2025.106648","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The limited interpretability of deep learning models poses challenges for their integration into process-based hydrological frameworks. To explore potential solutions, we develop K50, a hybrid model that incorporates Kolmogorov–Arnold Networks (KAN) into the Exp-Hydro model. Based on the CAMELS dataset, this study undertakes the following investigations. First, we compare the predictive performance of K50 with that of the Multilayer Perceptron (MLP)-based hybrid model. Second, we visualize the KAN's activation functions to reveal the functional relationships between key input variables and runoff generation. Third, we apply symbolic regression to these functions to derive basin-specific empirical formulas. The results indicate that K50 achieves predictive accuracy comparable to the MLP-based model, while offering an interpretable representation of internal processes. The empirical functions derived from KAN can provide simplified expressions that support physical reasoning. These findings suggest that KAN has the potential to contribute to more interpretable and transparent hybrid hydrological modeling.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":310,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Modelling & Software","volume":"193 ","pages":"Article 106648"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6000,"publicationDate":"2025-08-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Exploring Kolmogorov-Arnold neural networks for hybrid and transparent hydrological modeling\",\"authors\":\"Xin Jing, Xue Yang, Jungang Luo, Ganggang Zuo\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.envsoft.2025.106648\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>The limited interpretability of deep learning models poses challenges for their integration into process-based hydrological frameworks. To explore potential solutions, we develop K50, a hybrid model that incorporates Kolmogorov–Arnold Networks (KAN) into the Exp-Hydro model. Based on the CAMELS dataset, this study undertakes the following investigations. First, we compare the predictive performance of K50 with that of the Multilayer Perceptron (MLP)-based hybrid model. Second, we visualize the KAN's activation functions to reveal the functional relationships between key input variables and runoff generation. Third, we apply symbolic regression to these functions to derive basin-specific empirical formulas. The results indicate that K50 achieves predictive accuracy comparable to the MLP-based model, while offering an interpretable representation of internal processes. The empirical functions derived from KAN can provide simplified expressions that support physical reasoning. These findings suggest that KAN has the potential to contribute to more interpretable and transparent hybrid hydrological modeling.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":310,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Environmental Modelling & Software\",\"volume\":\"193 \",\"pages\":\"Article 106648\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":4.6000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-08-08\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Environmental Modelling & Software\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"93\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1364815225003329\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"环境科学与生态学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Environmental Modelling & Software","FirstCategoryId":"93","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1364815225003329","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Exploring Kolmogorov-Arnold neural networks for hybrid and transparent hydrological modeling
The limited interpretability of deep learning models poses challenges for their integration into process-based hydrological frameworks. To explore potential solutions, we develop K50, a hybrid model that incorporates Kolmogorov–Arnold Networks (KAN) into the Exp-Hydro model. Based on the CAMELS dataset, this study undertakes the following investigations. First, we compare the predictive performance of K50 with that of the Multilayer Perceptron (MLP)-based hybrid model. Second, we visualize the KAN's activation functions to reveal the functional relationships between key input variables and runoff generation. Third, we apply symbolic regression to these functions to derive basin-specific empirical formulas. The results indicate that K50 achieves predictive accuracy comparable to the MLP-based model, while offering an interpretable representation of internal processes. The empirical functions derived from KAN can provide simplified expressions that support physical reasoning. These findings suggest that KAN has the potential to contribute to more interpretable and transparent hybrid hydrological modeling.
期刊介绍:
Environmental Modelling & Software publishes contributions, in the form of research articles, reviews and short communications, on recent advances in environmental modelling and/or software. The aim is to improve our capacity to represent, understand, predict or manage the behaviour of environmental systems at all practical scales, and to communicate those improvements to a wide scientific and professional audience.