公众气候关注与政策转变:了解对中国碳价的共同影响

Haoxi Chen
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引用次数: 0

摘要

为有效控制温室气体排放,碳交易体系作为最有效的工具之一受到广泛关注。本研究采用更广阔的视角,分析和比较自上而下的气候政策变化和自下而上的公众气候关注和意识这两种社会力量对中国碳交易价格的影响。研究发现,在不同的市场条件下,自上而下的政策转移和自下而上的公众关注对碳交易价格产生了不对称的影响,在分布尾部的影响尤为显著。这些力量与碳交易价格之间的因果关系往往与重大气候政策变化和极端气候事件同时发生。这项研究强调了在气候政策设计中采用双轨方法的重要性,认识到有效的碳市场稳定取决于监管一致性和积极的社会参与。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Public climate concern and policy shifts: Understanding the joint impact on carbon prices in China
To effectively control greenhouse gas emissions, the carbon trading system has gained widespread attention as one of the most effective tools. This study adopts a broader perspective to analyse and compare the impacts of two societal forces — top-down climate policy changes and bottom-up public climate concern and awareness — on carbon trading prices in China. The findings disclose that top-down policy shifts and bottom-up public concern exert asymmetric effects on carbon trading prices under different market conditions, with particularly pronounced impacts in the distribution tails. The causal relationships between these forces and carbon trading prices often coincide with major climate policy changes and extreme climate events. This study underscores the importance of a dual-track approach in climate policy design, recognising that effective carbon market stability hinges on both regulatory consistency and active societal engagement.
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