{"title":"预测地下矿山运输卡车行驶时间。","authors":"Victor Simon, Robert Pellerin, Michel Gamache","doi":"10.1007/s42461-025-01293-2","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Accurately predicting haul truck (HT) travel times (TT) in underground mines is essential for enhancing operational planning, as it allows planners to forecast extraction rates at each work face, minimize queue-related downtime, and ultimately increase productivity. However, in underground environments where GPS signals are unavailable, beacon-based locating systems have not yet been utilized for this predictive purpose. This study addresses that gap by introducing a machine learning approach for HT TT prediction that relies exclusively on beacon detection data, thus eliminating the need for traditional telemetry. The proposed method combines three route-segmentation strategies-full-route, short-segment, and major-segment predictions-with Gaussian mixture models, long short-term memory networks, and a stacking ensemble. Validated on two underground mines, it outperformed industry benchmarks, reducing prediction error by up to 34% on ascending routes and 18% on descending routes while achieving even greater precision for autonomous HTs. It showcases the untapped potential of beacon-based location systems for predictive applications, supporting mine planners.</p>","PeriodicalId":18588,"journal":{"name":"Mining, Metallurgy & Exploration","volume":"42 4","pages":"1989-2009"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0000,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12328533/pdf/","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Predicting Haul Truck Travel Times in Underground Mines.\",\"authors\":\"Victor Simon, Robert Pellerin, Michel Gamache\",\"doi\":\"10.1007/s42461-025-01293-2\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><p>Accurately predicting haul truck (HT) travel times (TT) in underground mines is essential for enhancing operational planning, as it allows planners to forecast extraction rates at each work face, minimize queue-related downtime, and ultimately increase productivity. However, in underground environments where GPS signals are unavailable, beacon-based locating systems have not yet been utilized for this predictive purpose. This study addresses that gap by introducing a machine learning approach for HT TT prediction that relies exclusively on beacon detection data, thus eliminating the need for traditional telemetry. The proposed method combines three route-segmentation strategies-full-route, short-segment, and major-segment predictions-with Gaussian mixture models, long short-term memory networks, and a stacking ensemble. Validated on two underground mines, it outperformed industry benchmarks, reducing prediction error by up to 34% on ascending routes and 18% on descending routes while achieving even greater precision for autonomous HTs. It showcases the untapped potential of beacon-based location systems for predictive applications, supporting mine planners.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":18588,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Mining, Metallurgy & Exploration\",\"volume\":\"42 4\",\"pages\":\"1989-2009\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-01-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12328533/pdf/\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Mining, Metallurgy & Exploration\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"5\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1007/s42461-025-01293-2\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"工程技术\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"2025/7/4 0:00:00\",\"PubModel\":\"Epub\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"METALLURGY & METALLURGICAL ENGINEERING\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Mining, Metallurgy & Exploration","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s42461-025-01293-2","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2025/7/4 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"METALLURGY & METALLURGICAL ENGINEERING","Score":null,"Total":0}
Predicting Haul Truck Travel Times in Underground Mines.
Accurately predicting haul truck (HT) travel times (TT) in underground mines is essential for enhancing operational planning, as it allows planners to forecast extraction rates at each work face, minimize queue-related downtime, and ultimately increase productivity. However, in underground environments where GPS signals are unavailable, beacon-based locating systems have not yet been utilized for this predictive purpose. This study addresses that gap by introducing a machine learning approach for HT TT prediction that relies exclusively on beacon detection data, thus eliminating the need for traditional telemetry. The proposed method combines three route-segmentation strategies-full-route, short-segment, and major-segment predictions-with Gaussian mixture models, long short-term memory networks, and a stacking ensemble. Validated on two underground mines, it outperformed industry benchmarks, reducing prediction error by up to 34% on ascending routes and 18% on descending routes while achieving even greater precision for autonomous HTs. It showcases the untapped potential of beacon-based location systems for predictive applications, supporting mine planners.
期刊介绍:
The aim of this international peer-reviewed journal of the Society for Mining, Metallurgy & Exploration (SME) is to provide a broad-based forum for the exchange of real-world and theoretical knowledge from academia, government and industry that is pertinent to mining, mineral/metallurgical processing, exploration and other fields served by the Society.
The journal publishes high-quality original research publications, in-depth special review articles, reviews of state-of-the-art and innovative technologies and industry methodologies, communications of work of topical and emerging interest, and other works that enhance understanding on both the fundamental and practical levels.