重新审视金融发展对高收入国家经济增长、人类发展和可持续发展的作用。

IF 8.4 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Journal of Environmental Management Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-09 DOI:10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.126874
Muhammad Arslan Abdullah, Xiao Han, Muhammad Asif Amjad, Samariddin Makhmudov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着全球议程转向可持续发展,理解金融与长期发展目标之间的微妙关系至关重要,特别是在金融结构复杂的国家。本研究考察了金融发展在影响77个高收入国家的三个关键发展指标方面的作用:经济增长(人均GDP)、可持续发展指数(SDI)和人类发展指数(HDI)。采用面板分位数回归(PQR)方法捕捉因变量分布中潜在的非线性效应,同时使用工具变量面板分位数回归(IV-PQR)技术验证结果的稳健性,以解决潜在的内质性问题。分析显示,金融发展与发展指标(包括人均GDP、SDI和HDI)之间呈倒u型关系。结果表明,初始金融发展对各类发展指标均有促进作用;它的好处逐渐减少,并最终下降超过一定的阈值。进一步线性化的边际效应显示,少数选定的国家位于曲线的左侧,这表明金融发展既促进了经济发展,也促进了人类发展。然而,在金融发展和SDI方面,许多国家处于曲线的右侧,这表明过度金融化会导致环境退化,阻碍实现可持续发展目标的进程。本研究强调,更高程度的金融化并不总是更好的选择,尤其是在金融体系支持实体经济的能力超过监管能力的情况下。政策建议包括促进金融平衡发展、加强金融监管、将可持续性纳入金融体系以及使金融政策与可持续发展目标保持一致。研究结果强调,必须谨慎对待财政深化,确保其支持长期、包容和可持续发展。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Revisit the role of financial development on economic growth, human development, and sustainable development in higher-income countries.

As the global agenda shifts toward sustainability, understanding the nuanced relationship between finance and long-term development goals is crucial, especially in countries with complex financial architectures. This study examines the role of financial development in influencing three key development indicators: economic growth (GDP per capita), the Sustainable Development Index (SDI), and the Human Development Index (HDI) across 77 high-income countries. The Panel Quantile Regression (PQR) approach is employed to capture potential non-linear effects across the distribution of the dependent variables, while the robustness of the results is validated using the Instrumental Variable Panel Quantile Regression (IV-PQR) technique to address potential endogeneity concerns. The analysis reveals an inverted U-shaped relationship between financial development and development indicators, including GDP per capita, SDI, and HDI. It shows that initial financial development fosters all types of development indicators; its benefits diminish and eventually decline beyond a certain threshold. The further linearized marginal effect reveals that a few selected countries are positioned on the left side of the curve, indicating that financial development enhances both economic and human development. However, many countries are positioned on the right side of the curve regarding financial development and SDI, suggesting that excessive financialization contributes to environmental degradation and hampers progress toward sustainability goals. This study emphasizes that higher financialization is not always a better choice, particularly when financial systems outpace regulatory capacity in supporting the real economy. Policy recommendations include promoting balanced financial development, strengthening financial regulations, integrating sustainability into financial systems, and aligning financial policies with Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). The findings underscore the essential for a cautious approach to fiscal deepening, ensuring that it supports long-term, inclusive, and sustainable development.

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来源期刊
Journal of Environmental Management
Journal of Environmental Management 环境科学-环境科学
CiteScore
13.70
自引率
5.70%
发文量
2477
审稿时长
84 days
期刊介绍: The Journal of Environmental Management is a journal for the publication of peer reviewed, original research for all aspects of management and the managed use of the environment, both natural and man-made.Critical review articles are also welcome; submission of these is strongly encouraged.
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