信息技术投资与劳动力转移：来自韩国的证据

IF 6.4 2区管理学 Q1 COMMUNICATION

Telecommunications Policy Pub Date : 2025-08-01 DOI:10.1016/j.telpol.2025.102999

Joonbae Lee

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引用次数: 0

摘要

人们普遍担心，许多企业为了取代人力，在人工智能（AI）和云技术等IT领域投入了大量资金。使用新颖的韩国数据，我们验证了这种影响是否存在于企业IT投资和劳动力规模的横截面变化中。在公司层面上，每个工人的IT投资翻一番对整个经济的影响与总劳动力规模减少60多名工人有关。与此同时，IT投资似乎正在提高生产率，这反映在它与总工资账单和人均平均工资的正相关关系中。IT投资的总体效果似乎是劳动收入占比的下降。尽管在同一时期，政府大力推动采用新的信息技术，但分析表明，这一努力应辅以额外的政策措施，以减轻减少人力参与生产的潜在影响。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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IT investment and labor displacement: Evidence from Korea

There is widespread concern that many companies heavily invest in IT, such as artificial intelligence (AI) and cloud technologies, in order to replace human labor. Using novel Korean data, we verify whether such an effect is present in the cross-sectional variation among firms’ IT investment and workforce size. At the firm level, the economy-wide effect of doubling IT investment per worker is associated with a reduction of over 60 workers in total workforce size. Meanwhile, IT investment seems to be enhancing productivity, as reflected in its positive association with both the total salary bill and the average wage per capita. The overall effect of IT investment appears to be a decrease in the labor share. Despite the strong government-led push for the adoption of new IT technologies during the same period, the analysis suggests that this effort should be complemented by additional policy measures to mitigate the potential impacts of reduced human involvement in production.

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来源期刊

Telecommunications Policy 工程技术-电信学

CiteScore

10.80

自引率

12.50%

发文量

122

审稿时长

38 days

期刊介绍： Telecommunications Policy is concerned with the impact of digitalization in the economy and society. The journal is multidisciplinary, encompassing conceptual, theoretical and empirical studies, quantitative as well as qualitative. The scope includes policy, regulation, and governance; big data, artificial intelligence and data science; new and traditional sectors encompassing new media and the platform economy; management, entrepreneurship, innovation and use. Contributions may explore these topics at national, regional and international levels, including issues confronting both developed and developing countries. The papers accepted by the journal meet high standards of analytical rigor and policy relevance.