Associations between serum lipid profiles and the incidence of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in the UK Biobank.

Objective: To investigate the relationship between serum lipid levels and the risk of Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in the UK Biobank.

Methods: We performed this prospective study in 381,938 adults without COPD from UK Biobank. Serum high-density cholesterol (HDL-C), low-density cholesterol (LDL-C), total cholesterol (TC), triglyceride (TG), apolipoprotein A (ApoA) and apolipoprotein B (ApoB) were measured and classified into quintiles. Restricted cubic spline (RCS) analysis was applied to visualize the dose-response relationship between lipids and COPD risk and Cox proportional hazard models to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

Results: We documented 10,443 incident COPD cases. Nonlinear relationships were found between HDL-C, LDL-C, TC, ApoA, ApoB and COPD risk with RCS analysis (P values for non-linearity < 0.05). Accordingly, multivariable-adjusted regression analysis indicated abnormal HDL-C and ApoA, and low LDL-C, TC and ApoB were associated with increased risk of COPD. Compared to intermediate quintile (Q3) group, both high or low HDL-C and ApoA were associated with risk of COPD. Corresponding HRs (95% CIs) were 1.15 (1.08-1.22), 1.16 (1.09-1.23) in Q1 group and 1.08 (1.01-1.16), 1.07 (1.00-1.14) in Q5 group. For LDL-C, TC and ApoB, there were more than 29% higher risk was observed in Q1 group with HRs (95% CIs) of 1.34 (1.27-1.42), 1.38 (1.30-1.46) and 1.29 (1.21-1.37), while HRs (95% CIs) were 0.88 (0.83-0.94), 0.92 (0.86-0.98) and 0.90 (0.84-0.95) in Q5 groups. We also observed the interactions between specific lipids and age at recruitment, sex and smoking status with stratified analysis.

Conclusions: Our study provides the first evidence demonstrating the associations between six major serum lipids and COPD risk, revealing multiple nonlinear relationships. There were U-shaped associations between serum HDL-C, ApoA and COPD risk, and L-shaped associations between LDL-C, TC, ApoB and COPD risk.