Fan Yang , Hans Meerman , Yuli Shan , Zhenhua Zhang , Jinrui Zhang , Qi Li , Bingquan Zhang , Tianyang Lei , André Faaij
{"title":"2030-2050年中国钢铁工业脱碳的空间转型路径","authors":"Fan Yang , Hans Meerman , Yuli Shan , Zhenhua Zhang , Jinrui Zhang , Qi Li , Bingquan Zhang , Tianyang Lei , André Faaij","doi":"10.1016/j.resconrec.2025.108528","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>China’s steel industry has to achieve carbon-neutral by 2060, ideally by 2050. Current decarbonization roadmaps overlook the impact of resource geographical distribution on low-carbon technologies (scrap-based, H<sub>2</sub>-based and biomass combined CO<sub>2</sub> capture and storage [BECCS]). Here, we used a spatially explicit approach incorporating provincial available biomass/H<sub>2</sub>, steel plant locations and CO<sub>2</sub> storage sites combined a techno-economic selection model to explore carbon-neutral pathways for China’s steel industry (2030–2050). Results indicate that the modelling framework identifies the most cost-effective solutions for achieving nationwide carbon neutrality through a balanced mixture of above technologies, with BECCS being crucial. The mixture of options depend on the provincial availability and price levels of H<sub>2</sub> and biochar. Negative GHG emissions in one province can offset costly mitigation options in other provinces. Our results highlight the need for province-specific priorities for low-carbon steel plants based on regional resource availabilities to achieve national carbon neutrality and address resource challenges.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":21153,"journal":{"name":"Resources Conservation and Recycling","volume":"223 ","pages":"Article 108528"},"PeriodicalIF":10.9000,"publicationDate":"2025-08-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Spatially explicit transition pathways for decarbonizing China’s steel industry during 2030–2050\",\"authors\":\"Fan Yang , Hans Meerman , Yuli Shan , Zhenhua Zhang , Jinrui Zhang , Qi Li , Bingquan Zhang , Tianyang Lei , André Faaij\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.resconrec.2025.108528\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>China’s steel industry has to achieve carbon-neutral by 2060, ideally by 2050. Current decarbonization roadmaps overlook the impact of resource geographical distribution on low-carbon technologies (scrap-based, H<sub>2</sub>-based and biomass combined CO<sub>2</sub> capture and storage [BECCS]). Here, we used a spatially explicit approach incorporating provincial available biomass/H<sub>2</sub>, steel plant locations and CO<sub>2</sub> storage sites combined a techno-economic selection model to explore carbon-neutral pathways for China’s steel industry (2030–2050). Results indicate that the modelling framework identifies the most cost-effective solutions for achieving nationwide carbon neutrality through a balanced mixture of above technologies, with BECCS being crucial. The mixture of options depend on the provincial availability and price levels of H<sub>2</sub> and biochar. Negative GHG emissions in one province can offset costly mitigation options in other provinces. Our results highlight the need for province-specific priorities for low-carbon steel plants based on regional resource availabilities to achieve national carbon neutrality and address resource challenges.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":21153,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Resources Conservation and Recycling\",\"volume\":\"223 \",\"pages\":\"Article 108528\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":10.9000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-08-06\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Resources Conservation and Recycling\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"93\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921344925004069\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"环境科学与生态学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ENGINEERING, ENVIRONMENTAL\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Resources Conservation and Recycling","FirstCategoryId":"93","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921344925004069","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ENGINEERING, ENVIRONMENTAL","Score":null,"Total":0}
Spatially explicit transition pathways for decarbonizing China’s steel industry during 2030–2050
China’s steel industry has to achieve carbon-neutral by 2060, ideally by 2050. Current decarbonization roadmaps overlook the impact of resource geographical distribution on low-carbon technologies (scrap-based, H2-based and biomass combined CO2 capture and storage [BECCS]). Here, we used a spatially explicit approach incorporating provincial available biomass/H2, steel plant locations and CO2 storage sites combined a techno-economic selection model to explore carbon-neutral pathways for China’s steel industry (2030–2050). Results indicate that the modelling framework identifies the most cost-effective solutions for achieving nationwide carbon neutrality through a balanced mixture of above technologies, with BECCS being crucial. The mixture of options depend on the provincial availability and price levels of H2 and biochar. Negative GHG emissions in one province can offset costly mitigation options in other provinces. Our results highlight the need for province-specific priorities for low-carbon steel plants based on regional resource availabilities to achieve national carbon neutrality and address resource challenges.
期刊介绍:
The journal Resources, Conservation & Recycling welcomes contributions from research, which consider sustainable management and conservation of resources. The journal prioritizes understanding the transformation processes crucial for transitioning toward more sustainable production and consumption systems. It highlights technological, economic, institutional, and policy aspects related to specific resource management practices such as conservation, recycling, and resource substitution, as well as broader strategies like improving resource productivity and restructuring production and consumption patterns.
Contributions may address regional, national, or international scales and can range from individual resources or technologies to entire sectors or systems. Authors are encouraged to explore scientific and methodological issues alongside practical, environmental, and economic implications. However, manuscripts focusing solely on laboratory experiments without discussing their broader implications will not be considered for publication in the journal.