非完全自愿接种策略下多维随机微分方程驱动的随机区室流行病模型

IF 1.1 4区 综合性期刊 Q3 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES
Benasquar Mohammed , Aissa Sghir , Dr. Said El Idrissi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

这项工作引入了一种新的区隔流行病模型,该模型集成了确定性和随机成分,以捕获自愿和不完善的疫苗接种策略下疾病传播的动力学。该模型以非线性发病率为特征,并区分了两类易感个体:选择接种疫苗的人和拒绝接种疫苗的人。确定性结构被表述为一个多维常微分方程系统。为了纳入环境波动,通过白噪声项将随机扰动引入传输速率来扩展模型,从而产生一个多维随机微分方程系统。导出基本繁殖数是为了确定疾病消灭或持续存在的条件。深入分析了疫苗接种策略的影响以及模型对参数变化的敏感性。进一步证明了模型解的存在唯一性,并刻画了模型的平衡点。最后通过数值模拟对分析结果进行了说明和验证。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A new stochastic compartmental epidemic model driven by a multidimensional stochastic differential equation under a voluntary and imperfect vaccination strategy
This work introduces a novel compartmental epidemic model that integrates both deterministic and stochastic components to capture the dynamics of disease transmission under a voluntary and imperfect vaccination strategy. The model features a nonlinear incidence rate and differentiates between two classes of susceptible individuals: those who opt for vaccination and those who decline it. The deterministic structure is formulated as a system of multidimensional ordinary differential equations. To incorporate environmental fluctuations, the model is extended by introducing stochastic perturbations into the transmission rate via a white noise term, yielding a system of multidimensional stochastic differential equations. The basic reproduction number is derived to establish the conditions under which the disease either dies out or persists. The effects of the vaccination strategy, as well as the model’s sensitivity to parameter variations, are thoroughly analyzed. Furthermore, the existence and uniqueness of solutions are proven, and the model’s equilibria are characterized. Finally, numerical simulations are conducted to illustrate and validate the analytical results.
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来源期刊
Kuwait Journal of Science
Kuwait Journal of Science MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES-
CiteScore
1.60
自引率
28.60%
发文量
132
期刊介绍: Kuwait Journal of Science (KJS) is indexed and abstracted by major publishing houses such as Chemical Abstract, Science Citation Index, Current contents, Mathematics Abstract, Micribiological Abstracts etc. KJS publishes peer-review articles in various fields of Science including Mathematics, Computer Science, Physics, Statistics, Biology, Chemistry and Earth & Environmental Sciences. In addition, it also aims to bring the results of scientific research carried out under a variety of intellectual traditions and organizations to the attention of specialized scholarly readership. As such, the publisher expects the submission of original manuscripts which contain analysis and solutions about important theoretical, empirical and normative issues.
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