基于改进层次分析法的架空输电在线野火风险评估

IF 2.4 4区 材料科学 Q3 MATERIALS SCIENCE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
Jun Xu, Chaoying Fang, Yunchu Cheng
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引用次数: 0

摘要

野火灾害的发生容易引发架空输电在线跳闸,从而对电力系统的安全稳定运行构成重大威胁。为了提高架空在线输电的野火防控能力,提出了一种基于改进层次分析法(AHP)的野火风险评估方法。首先,探讨了火灾发生的主要因素,构建了架空电网火灾风险指标体系。我们提出了一种新的火灾失控系数来评估火源对野火灾害的影响。其次,利用互信息法避免了层次分析法的主观随意性,提高了各指标权重的可靠性;结果表明,2023年福建省新增火灾事件约82.14%位于中、高、极高风险地区,证明了该方法的有效性。该方法为电力系统降低野火风险提供了基础。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Wildfire Risk Assessment to Overhead Transmission-Line Based on Improved Analytic Hierarchy Process

The occurrence of wildfire disasters can easily trigger tripping in overhead transmission-line, thereby posing a significant threat to the safe and stable operation of the power system. In order to enhance the wildfire prevention and control capability of overhead transmission-line, a wildfire risk assessment method based on the improved analytic hierarchy process (AHP) is proposed. First, the main factors of wildfire occurrence are explored, and the wildfire risk indicator system for overhead transmission-line is constructed. We propose a novel runaway coefficient of fire for assessing the impact of fire sources on wildfire disaster. Secondly, the mutual information method is used to avoid the subjective arbitrariness of AHP to improve the reliability of each index weight. The results show that about 82.14% of new fire events of 2023 in Fujian (China) are located in medium-, high-, and very-high-risk areas, demonstrating the effectiveness of the proposed method. This methodology offers a foundation for the power system to mitigate the risk of wildfire.

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来源期刊
Fire and Materials
Fire and Materials 工程技术-材料科学:综合
CiteScore
4.60
自引率
5.30%
发文量
72
审稿时长
3 months
期刊介绍: Fire and Materials is an international journal for scientific and technological communications directed at the fire properties of materials and the products into which they are made. This covers all aspects of the polymer field and the end uses where polymers find application; the important developments in the fields of natural products - wood and cellulosics; non-polymeric materials - metals and ceramics; as well as the chemistry and industrial applications of fire retardant chemicals. Contributions will be particularly welcomed on heat release; properties of combustion products - smoke opacity, toxicity and corrosivity; modelling and testing.
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