从不同的风险角度对风险类型的回顾和讨论。

IF 3.3 3区 医学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS
Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2025-07-28 DOI:10.1111/risa.70087
Terje Aven
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在科学和大众文献中,风险涉及不同类型的风险,包括不确定风险、可计算风险、看不见风险和未知风险。这些术语的含义并不总是很清楚。例如,每个定义的风险不是总是不确定的吗?事件可以是未知的,但风险可以是未知的吗?本文从不同的风险角度回顾和讨论了常见的风险类型。对各种类型风险的理解取决于这些观点。作为一个例子,考虑在将风险视为事件的观点与将不确定性视为风险的主要组成部分的观点之间的解释差异。在前一种情况下,谈论不确定的风险是有意义的,但在后一种情况下,其含义并不直接,需要进一步澄清。本文旨在通过对风险科学基本概念的回顾和探讨,获得新的一般性风险科学知识。举例说明如何利用这些知识指导和提高实践中对风险的理解和沟通。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Review and Discussion of Types of Risks in View of Different Risk Perspectives.

In the scientific and popular literature, different types of risk are referred to, including uncertain risk, calculable risk, unseen risk, and unknown risk. The meaning of these terms is not always clear. For example, is not risk per definition always uncertain? Events can be unknown, but can risks be unknown? The present article reviews and discusses common types of risk in view of different risk perspectives. The understanding of the various types of risk depends on these perspectives. As an illustration, think about the difference in interpretations between a perspective in which risk is considered an event compared to one in which uncertainty is a main component of risk. In the former case, it makes sense to talk about an uncertain risk, but, in the latter case, the meaning is not straightforward and needs further clarifications. Through this review and discussion, the article aims to obtain new generic risk science knowledge on basic risk science concepts. Examples are provided, showing how this knowledge can be used to guide and improve the understanding and communication of risk in practice.

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来源期刊
Risk Analysis
Risk Analysis 数学-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
7.50
自引率
10.50%
发文量
183
审稿时长
4.2 months
期刊介绍: Published on behalf of the Society for Risk Analysis, Risk Analysis is ranked among the top 10 journals in the ISI Journal Citation Reports under the social sciences, mathematical methods category, and provides a focal point for new developments in the field of risk analysis. This international peer-reviewed journal is committed to publishing critical empirical research and commentaries dealing with risk issues. The topics covered include: • Human health and safety risks • Microbial risks • Engineering • Mathematical modeling • Risk characterization • Risk communication • Risk management and decision-making • Risk perception, acceptability, and ethics • Laws and regulatory policy • Ecological risks.
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