Hairong Lan , Liukai Wang , Mengting Li , Yu Xiong , Yuqing Li
{"title":"网络中心性、多样化和投资组合回报:区块链行业的经济见解","authors":"Hairong Lan , Liukai Wang , Mengting Li , Yu Xiong , Yuqing Li","doi":"10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107247","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Asset allocation remains a central topic in emerging digital industry, yet traditional models often assume simple relationships and ignore complex interdependencies among assets. Recent studies have introduced network-based methods, but most fail to account for multiple forms of dependency and their economic implications. This study examines how network centrality and diversification shape portfolio performance in China's blockchain market. To obtain the complex structural relationships between firms, we construct a novel multilayer synthetic network using multidimensional correlation measures and particle swarm optimization. Empirical evidence shows that investing in central firms consistently improves returns and lowers risk. However, excessive diversification weakens portfolio efficiency, revealing a trade-off between risk reduction and return dilution. These findings are robust across various datasets, timeframes, and portfolio strategies. By connecting firm network positions to portfolio outcomes, this research advances the literature on asset allocation under structural complexity, offering new insights for investors in volatile and emerging digital markets.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48419,"journal":{"name":"Economic Modelling","volume":"152 ","pages":"Article 107247"},"PeriodicalIF":4.7000,"publicationDate":"2025-07-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Network centrality, diversification, and portfolio returns: Economic insights from blockchain industry\",\"authors\":\"Hairong Lan , Liukai Wang , Mengting Li , Yu Xiong , Yuqing Li\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107247\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>Asset allocation remains a central topic in emerging digital industry, yet traditional models often assume simple relationships and ignore complex interdependencies among assets. Recent studies have introduced network-based methods, but most fail to account for multiple forms of dependency and their economic implications. This study examines how network centrality and diversification shape portfolio performance in China's blockchain market. To obtain the complex structural relationships between firms, we construct a novel multilayer synthetic network using multidimensional correlation measures and particle swarm optimization. Empirical evidence shows that investing in central firms consistently improves returns and lowers risk. However, excessive diversification weakens portfolio efficiency, revealing a trade-off between risk reduction and return dilution. These findings are robust across various datasets, timeframes, and portfolio strategies. By connecting firm network positions to portfolio outcomes, this research advances the literature on asset allocation under structural complexity, offering new insights for investors in volatile and emerging digital markets.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":48419,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Economic Modelling\",\"volume\":\"152 \",\"pages\":\"Article 107247\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":4.7000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-07-23\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Economic Modelling\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264999325002421\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Economic Modelling","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264999325002421","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Network centrality, diversification, and portfolio returns: Economic insights from blockchain industry
Asset allocation remains a central topic in emerging digital industry, yet traditional models often assume simple relationships and ignore complex interdependencies among assets. Recent studies have introduced network-based methods, but most fail to account for multiple forms of dependency and their economic implications. This study examines how network centrality and diversification shape portfolio performance in China's blockchain market. To obtain the complex structural relationships between firms, we construct a novel multilayer synthetic network using multidimensional correlation measures and particle swarm optimization. Empirical evidence shows that investing in central firms consistently improves returns and lowers risk. However, excessive diversification weakens portfolio efficiency, revealing a trade-off between risk reduction and return dilution. These findings are robust across various datasets, timeframes, and portfolio strategies. By connecting firm network positions to portfolio outcomes, this research advances the literature on asset allocation under structural complexity, offering new insights for investors in volatile and emerging digital markets.
期刊介绍:
Economic Modelling fills a major gap in the economics literature, providing a single source of both theoretical and applied papers on economic modelling. The journal prime objective is to provide an international review of the state-of-the-art in economic modelling. Economic Modelling publishes the complete versions of many large-scale models of industrially advanced economies which have been developed for policy analysis. Examples are the Bank of England Model and the US Federal Reserve Board Model which had hitherto been unpublished. As individual models are revised and updated, the journal publishes subsequent papers dealing with these revisions, so keeping its readers as up to date as possible.