每一站都有价值:评估对不让步司机的新处罚修正案对减少台湾道路交通伤亡的影响

IF 6.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS
Cheng-Kai Hsu , Bonnie S. Wang , Hsuan Lo , Chin-Wei Chen
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引用次数: 0

摘要

行人安全仍然是世界范围内的一个重要问题,特别是在台湾等摩托车主导的环境中,不给行人让行权是一个普遍问题。​本研究通过研究这项重大立法改革对道路交通事故的频率和严重程度的影响,评估这项立法改革是否达到了预期目标。使用准实验研究设计,我们发现该政策导致事故频率逐渐下降,但撞车严重程度立即降低。它对行人碰撞事故发生频率的影响尤其明显,汽车对行人的伤害风险都降低了约11% (RR = 0.89;95% CI: 0.86, 0.92)和摩托车与行人碰撞(RR = 0.89;95% ci: 0.86, 0.91)。相比之下,致命结果的可能性下降得更快,在所有碰撞中观察到40%的降低(RR = 0.60;95% ci: 0.42, 0.85)。我们的研究结果表明,司机可能已经迅速适应了他们的驾驶模式,以遵守政策,减少了确实发生的撞车事故中的死亡人数,而事故频率的缓慢下降可能反映了更广泛的行为改变需要时间,比如提高屈服、注意力和遵守规则,成为常规。值得注意的是,在光线不足等低能见度路况下,该政策对降低严重程度的影响更大,这突显了该政策在降低具有挑战性的驾驶场景风险方面的特别有效性。调查结果强调了有针对性的立法行动的重要性,例如更严厉的处罚,作为促进屈服行为和提高行人安全的有效方法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Every Stop Counts: Evaluating the impact of a new penalty amendment for non-yielding drivers on reducing road traffic injuries and deaths in Taiwan
Pedestrian safety remains a critical concern worldwide, particularly in motorcycle-dominant settings such as Taiwan, where failure to yield the right-of-way to pedestrians is a prevalent issue. In response to growing public concerns over pedestrian safety, the Taiwan government implemented stricter monetary penalties for drivers failing to yield to pedestrians on June 30, 2023, representing a major legislative change aimed at deterring unsafe driving behavior, improving compliance with traffic laws, and fostering a more pedestrian-friendly road culture. This study evaluates whether this major legislative change has achieved its intended goals by examining its impact on the frequency and severity of road traffic incidents. Using a quasi-experimental study design, we found that the policy led to a gradual decline in incident frequency but an immediate reduction in crash severity. Its effect on incident frequency was particularly pronounced for pedestrian-involved crashes, with injury risks decreasing by approximately 11% for both car-to-pedestrian (RR = 0.89; 95% CI: 0.86, 0.92) and motorcycle-to-pedestrian crashes (RR = 0.89; 95% CI: 0.86, 0.91). In contrast, the likelihood of fatal outcomes dropped more sharply, with a 40% reduction observed across all crashes (RR = 0.60; 95 % CI: 0.42, 0.85). Our findings suggest that drivers may have quickly adapted their driving patterns to comply with the policy, reducing fatalities among crashes that did occur, while the slower decline in incident frequency likely reflects the time needed for broader behavioral changes, such as improved yielding, attentiveness, and rule adherence, to become routine. Notably, the policy's impact on reducing severity was stronger under low-visibility road conditions such as poorly lit settings, underscoring its particular effectiveness in mitigating risks in challenging driving scenarios. The findings underscore the importance of targeted legislative actions, such as stricter penalties, as an effective approach to promoting yielding behavior and enhancing pedestrian safety.
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来源期刊
Transport Policy
Transport Policy Multiple-
CiteScore
12.10
自引率
10.30%
发文量
282
期刊介绍: Transport Policy is an international journal aimed at bridging the gap between theory and practice in transport. Its subject areas reflect the concerns of policymakers in government, industry, voluntary organisations and the public at large, providing independent, original and rigorous analysis to understand how policy decisions have been taken, monitor their effects, and suggest how they may be improved. The journal treats the transport sector comprehensively, and in the context of other sectors including energy, housing, industry and planning. All modes are covered: land, sea and air; road and rail; public and private; motorised and non-motorised; passenger and freight.
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