绿色港口电力需求预测:模型与未来研究方向

IF 6.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS
Adrian Carrillo-Galvez , Felipe do Carmo , Tiago Soares , Zenaida Mourão , Ilia Ponomarev , João Araújo , Eduardo Bandeira
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引用次数: 0

摘要

最近,人们越来越关注海上运输的脱碳,特别是关于港口的陆地运营。这促使制定和执行旨在提高港口活动的环境绩效的战略和政策。在这些战略中,港口基础设施电气化正在成为未来潜在的行业标准。然而,在了解港口电力消耗模式以及如何准确预测这些模式方面仍然存在重大差距。为了解决这一差距,本文回顾了目前关于港口电力需求的文献,研究了实际应用、采用的方法及其主要局限性。研究结果表明,尽管港口电力需求预测在支持电气化进程方面具有重要意义,但无论是在工业界还是学术研究中,都没有得到实质性的重视,而且没有明确制定的政策来支持港口当局获得必要的数据。最后,本文概述了未来研究的潜在方向,以及港口当局或地方政府机构如何为这些努力做出贡献。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Electricity demand forecasting in green ports: Modelling and future research directions
Recently, there has been growing attention on the decarbonisation of maritime transport, particularly regarding the landside operations at ports. This has spurred the development and implementation of strategies and policies aimed at enhancing the environmental performance of port activities. Among these strategies, the electrification of port infrastructure is emerging as a potential industry standard for the future. However, there remains a significant gap in understanding the patterns of electricity consumption in ports and how to forecast them accurately. To address this gap, this paper provides a review of the current literature on electricity demand in ports, examining practical applications, methodologies employed, and their key limitations. The findings indicate that, despite its importance in supporting the electrification process, electricity demand forecasting in ports has not received substantial attention in either industry or academic research, and there are no clearly established policies to support port authorities in obtaining the necessary data. Finally, the paper outlines potential directions for future research and how port authorities or local government agencies can contribute to these efforts.
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来源期刊
Transport Policy
Transport Policy Multiple-
CiteScore
12.10
自引率
10.30%
发文量
282
期刊介绍: Transport Policy is an international journal aimed at bridging the gap between theory and practice in transport. Its subject areas reflect the concerns of policymakers in government, industry, voluntary organisations and the public at large, providing independent, original and rigorous analysis to understand how policy decisions have been taken, monitor their effects, and suggest how they may be improved. The journal treats the transport sector comprehensively, and in the context of other sectors including energy, housing, industry and planning. All modes are covered: land, sea and air; road and rail; public and private; motorised and non-motorised; passenger and freight.
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