GDELT气候变化适应识别的全球趋势及影响因素

IF 3.9 2区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES
Muhammad Mudassar, Tao Lin, Xiaotong Wang, Hongkai Geng
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引用次数: 0

摘要

发展中国家和发达国家对气候变化适应的认识对于解决环境脆弱性至关重要。本研究利用GDELT的新闻数据,通过使用2015年3月至2024年3月的月度数据,调查200个国家不同收入群体对CCA的认知(语气、关注和范围)。此外,通过使用2016年至2023年的年度数据,分析了全球174个国家影响CCA认可的社会经济、地理和人口指标。我们采用事后多重比较测试-邓恩测试来比较不同收入群体对CCA的认识。我们还采用了OLS,为了验证OLS,我们还使用了稳健的计量经济学技术,对异方差进行了Breusch-Pagan检验,对残差的正态性进行了Shapiro-Wilk检验,对稳健标准误差进行了HC1估计,以确保对异常值和杠杆点的稳健性,对范围模型采用了稳健回归技术M估计和准泊松回归。我们发现所有识别指标中位数显著(p
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Global trends and influential factors of climate change adaptation recognition in GDELT.

Global trends and influential factors of climate change adaptation recognition in GDELT.

Global trends and influential factors of climate change adaptation recognition in GDELT.

Global trends and influential factors of climate change adaptation recognition in GDELT.

Climate change adaptation recognition in developing and developed countries are crucial to tackle the environmental vulnerabilities. In this study news data from GDELT was utilized to investigate the CCA recognition (tone, concern, and scope) across different income groups of 200 countries by using monthly data from March 2015 to March 2024. Additionally, analysed socioeconomic, geographic, and demographic indicators that influence CCA recognition among 174 countries globally by using yearly data from 2016 to 2023. We employed post-hoc multiple comparison test-Dunn's test to compare CCA recognition across different income groups. We also employed OLS, and to validate OLS we also used robust econometric techniques Breusch-Pagan test for heteroskedasticity, Shapiro-Wilk test for normality of residuals, HC1 estimator for robust standard error, to ensure robustness against outliers and leverage points, robust regression techniques M estimation employed and quasi-Poisson regression for the scope model. We find that all recognition indicators median is significantly (p < 0.001) different among 4 different income level countries groups except scope indicator between low income and lower middle-income countries as well as upper middle income and high-income countries. Life expectancy causes to increase the tone and decrease the concern of CCA news significantly by 0.016 and - 0.018 respectively. Expected years of schooling has significant and positive relationship with tone and concern at coefficient 0.096, 0.025 respectively. The findings emphasize that countries with stronger socioeconomic indicators, favourable demographic profile, or reside at tropical geographic locations are more likely to prioritize and recognize climate change adaptation. The findings offer a novel approach to measuring climate change adaptation progress using news media, benefiting policymakers in enhancing sustainable development efforts.

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来源期刊
Scientific Reports
Scientific Reports Natural Science Disciplines-
CiteScore
7.50
自引率
4.30%
发文量
19567
审稿时长
3.9 months
期刊介绍: We publish original research from all areas of the natural sciences, psychology, medicine and engineering. You can learn more about what we publish by browsing our specific scientific subject areas below or explore Scientific Reports by browsing all articles and collections. Scientific Reports has a 2-year impact factor: 4.380 (2021), and is the 6th most-cited journal in the world, with more than 540,000 citations in 2020 (Clarivate Analytics, 2021). •Engineering Engineering covers all aspects of engineering, technology, and applied science. It plays a crucial role in the development of technologies to address some of the world''s biggest challenges, helping to save lives and improve the way we live. •Physical sciences Physical sciences are those academic disciplines that aim to uncover the underlying laws of nature — often written in the language of mathematics. It is a collective term for areas of study including astronomy, chemistry, materials science and physics. •Earth and environmental sciences Earth and environmental sciences cover all aspects of Earth and planetary science and broadly encompass solid Earth processes, surface and atmospheric dynamics, Earth system history, climate and climate change, marine and freshwater systems, and ecology. It also considers the interactions between humans and these systems. •Biological sciences Biological sciences encompass all the divisions of natural sciences examining various aspects of vital processes. The concept includes anatomy, physiology, cell biology, biochemistry and biophysics, and covers all organisms from microorganisms, animals to plants. •Health sciences The health sciences study health, disease and healthcare. This field of study aims to develop knowledge, interventions and technology for use in healthcare to improve the treatment of patients.
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